William H. Pitt Center · at Sacred Heart · Conference game
Closing line
SHU -1.5✓ MRMK covered by 9.5
SHU -1.5✓ MRMK covered by 9.5Closing total144.5Over by 7.5
 MRMK | This season | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7 | Record | 4-8 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 6-6 |
| 4-9 | O/U | 4-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRMK 71–73 SHU · ✗ SHU (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 38 | 42 | 80 |
| SHU | 32 | 40 | 72 |
1st half: MRMK 38, SHU 32 (MRMK by 6). The model had SHU by 0.9 and a total of 67.4 (actual 70).
Team stats
| MRMK | SHU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 25-57 44% |
| 12-30 40% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 16-23 70% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 29 7 off | Rebounds | 38 13 off |
| 19 | Assists | 22 |
| 12 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tye Dorset G | 40 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 5-11 | 3-8 |
| Ernest Shelton G | 36 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 5-13 | 3-8 |
| Kevair Kennedy G | 35 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 6-10 | 1-1 |
| Todd Brogna F | 32 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 26 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 4-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 18 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Stinson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Munro, Aliou Cisse, Jacob Moore, Quinn Kwasniak, Malik Edmead, Brendan Johnson, Brandon Legris
| SHU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dashon Gittens G | 33 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Yann Farell F | 32 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-5 |
| Nyle Ralph-Beyer G | 32 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 6-12 | 4-8 |
| Mekhi Conner G | 28 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Abdou Yadd F | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Slaughter G | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Taj Bryant G | 21 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Fallou Gueye G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kevin Pikiell, Jeremiah Jacobs, Mooda Gittens, Alex Woodring, Malik Sheppard, Lucius Gibson-Savadel, Griffin Barrouk, Anquan Hill
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSHU -1.5
ModelSHU -1.7
Model edgeSHU +0.2
L MRMK covered
Total
Market144.5
Model143.8
Model edgeUnder 0.7
L Over
Projected score
MRMK 71 · SHU 72.7
MRMK 80 · SHU 72
Win probability
SHU 56%
1st half
Spread
SHU -0.9
MRMK -6.0
Total
67.4
70 points
Projected score
MRMK 33.2 · SHU 34.1
MRMK 38 · SHU 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSHU -1.5
no move
CloseSHU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▲ 3
Close144.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MRMK +105 · SHU -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SHU -1.5 · unchangedmodel SHU -1.5 matches the line
model SHU -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 141.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 3 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| SHU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MRMK 7–3 SHUMRMK leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MRMK 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | SHU 62 vs MRMK 66 | MRMK -3.5 | MRMK W |
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | SHU 60 @ MRMK 59 | MRMK -5.5 | SHU W |
| Jan 10, 2024-25 | MRMK 66 @ SHU 65 | SHU +2.5 | SHU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | MRMK 85 @ SHU 89 | SHU +3.5 | SHU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | SHU 58 @ MRMK 82 | MRMK -4.5 | MRMK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Merrimack
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-9
31% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SDST | L 66-75 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ AUB | L 57-95 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | @ TAR | L 62-76 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BU | W 91-79 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ME | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ FLA | L 45-80 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | @ PENN | L 65-77 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOF | L 58-78 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs LAS | W 66-60 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 4 | vs RID | W 68-66 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | vs FAIR | W 74-63 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PRIN | W 59-56 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 14 | @ UVM | L 59-66 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−9.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+14.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+0.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
+1.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−9.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
−14.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
+8.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−7.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
+7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
+5.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−4.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+34.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+6.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
−33.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−10.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
+0.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
−6.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−4.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
−7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
−19.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−11.5
over 4under 9avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Sacred Heart
12 games played
Straight up
4-8
33% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ DUQ | L 80-92 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | @ VILL | L 60-94 | +19.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | @ QUC | L 64-81 | +5.5 | L −11.5 | 165.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs HC | W 79-66 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 24 | @ CCSU | L 106-108 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Nov 29 | @ PSU | L 59-90 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | @ MSM | W 87-80 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 7 | vs IONA | L 69-81 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 163.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ NJIT | W 65-49 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 16 | @ UML | L 82-87 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 19 | vs DART | W 85-63 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | @ TOW | L 47-72 | +13.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@DUQ
DUQL 80-92
+0.5
11
@VILL
VILLL 60-94
−14.5
15
@QUC
QUCL 64-81
−11.5
21
vsHC
HCW 79-66
+5.5
24
@CCSU
CCSUL 106-108
+1.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 59-90
−16.5
3
@MSM
MSMW 87-80
+5.5
7
vsIONA
IONAL 69-81
−13.5
13
@NJIT
NJITW 65-49
+9.5
16
@UML
UMLL 82-87
−7.5
19
vsDART
DARTW 85-63
+23.5
22
@TOW
TOWL 47-72
−11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@DUQ
DUQL 80-92
+14.5
11
@VILL
VILLL 60-94
−6.5
15
@QUC
QUCL 64-81
−20.5
21
vsHC
HCW 79-66
−7.5
24
@CCSU
CCSUL 106-108
+70.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 59-90
−11.5
3
@MSM
MSMW 87-80
+14.5
7
vsIONA
IONAL 69-81
−13.5
13
@NJIT
NJITW 65-49
−37.5
16
@UML
UMLL 82-87
+17.5
19
vsDART
DARTW 85-63
−7.5
22
@TOW
TOWL 47-72
−26.5
over 4under 8avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Merrimack
6-7 overall · 2-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Vermont59–66
- W@ Princeton59–56
- Wvs Fairfield74–63
- Wvs Rider68–66
- Wvs La Salle66–60
A week or more of rest.
Sacred Heart
4-8 overall · 1-1 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Towson47–72
- Wvs Dartmouth85–63
- L@ UMass Lowell82–87
- W@ NJIT65–49
- Lvs Iona69–81
A week or more of rest.