Rocket Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
SBU -6.5✓ OHIO covered by 11.5
SBU -6.5✓ OHIO covered by 11.5Closing total150.5Over by 20.5
| SBU | This season | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| 9-1 | Record | 3-6 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 6-4 | O/U | 5-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SBU 79–74 OHIO · ✗ SBU (67%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBU | 32 | 38 | 13 | 83 |
| OHIO | 34 | 36 | 18 | 88 |
1st half: SBU 32, OHIO 34 (OHIO by 2). The model had SBU by 3.2 and a total of 71.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| SBU | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-70 44% | Field goals | 35-64 55% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 7-23 30% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 35 14 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 16 | Assists | 14 |
| 10 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| SBU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dasonte Bowen G | 42 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Frank Mitchell F | 42 | 27 | 15 | 3 | 12-20 | 0-0 |
| Darryl Simmons II G | 41 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-14 | 1-7 |
| Cayden Charles G | 34 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Joe Grahovac F | 20 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Egbuniwe F | 29 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Amar'e Marshall G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Achille Lonati G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Andrew Osasuyi F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ilia Ermakov G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: John Ikpotokin, Brayden Jackson, Xander Wedlow, Jack DeRose, Broek Ostrom
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 40 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 9-15 | 2-4 |
| Ajay Sheldon G | 38 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
| Aidan Hadaway F | 38 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 6-10 | 2-4 |
| JJ Kelly G | 33 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Javan Simmons F | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 8-12 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Breath F | 16 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Elliott G | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Dior Conners G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Zay Mosley, Carter Reese, Ayden Evans, Jordan Fisher, Jesse Burris, Chase Boals
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSBU -6.5
ModelSBU -5.1
Model edgeOHIO +1.4
W OHIO covered
Total
Market150.5
Model152.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
W Over
Projected score
SBU 78.9 · OHIO 73.8
SBU 83 · OHIO 88
Win probability
SBU 67%
1st half
Spread
SBU -3.2
OHIO -2.0
Total
71.5
66 points
Projected score
SBU 37.4 · OHIO 34.1
SBU 32 · OHIO 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSBU -5.5
1 → SBU
CloseSBU -6.5
1 pt toward SBU
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SBU -265 · OHIO +215
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SBU -5.5 · closed SBU -6.5 · moved 1 toward SBUmodel SBU -5
model SBU -5
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SBU | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| OHIOlast 9 | 3-6 33% | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St Bonaventure
10 games played
Straight up
9-1
90% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRAD | W 69-63 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs CAN | W 89-70 | -21.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIE | W 75-66 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs YSU | W 84-80 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs RMU | W 75-61 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNC | L 70-85 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs ECU | W 67-58 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 30 | @ FAU | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUF | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 10 | vs COLG | W 85-77 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRAD
BRADW 69-63
+4.5
8
vsCAN
CANW 89-70
−2.5
12
vsSIE
SIEW 75-66
−0.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 84-80
−5.5
20
vsRMU
RMUW 75-61
+2.5
25
vsUNC
UNCL 70-85
−4.5
27
vsECU
ECUW 67-58
−1.5
30
@FAU
FAUW 70-65
+6.5
6
@BUF
BUFW 77-69
+2.5
10
vsCOLG
COLGW 85-77
−1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRAD
BRADW 69-63
−7.5
8
vsCAN
CANW 89-70
+22.5
12
vsSIE
SIEW 75-66
+0.5
15
vsYSU
YSUW 84-80
+17.5
20
vsRMU
RMUW 75-61
−10.5
25
vsUNC
UNCL 70-85
+2.5
27
vsECU
ECUW 67-58
−19.5
30
@FAU
FAUW 70-65
−11.5
6
@BUF
BUFW 77-69
+1.5
10
vsCOLG
COLGW 85-77
+19.5
over 6under 4avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio
9 games played
Straight up
3-6
33% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARST | L 85-89 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 6 | vs ILST | W 72-68 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMC | L 60-90 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ LOU | L 81-106 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 19 | vs BCU | L 73-76 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs GMU | L 69-92 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs LMU | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | vs ME | W 79-57 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs MRSH | W 88-81 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
−15.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−8.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
+9.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
+18.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−16.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
−2.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+11.5
over 5under 4avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St Bonaventure
9-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colgate85–77
- W@ Buffalo77–69
- W@ FAU70–65
- Wvs East Carolina67–58
- Lvs North Carolina70–85
3 days since their last game.
Ohio
3-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marshall88–81
- Wvs Maine79–57
- Lvs LMU58–70
- Lvs George Mason69–92
- Lvs Bethune73–76
A week or more of rest.