NIU Convocation Center · at N Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
BGSU -7.5✓ BGSU covered by 8.5
BGSU -7.5✓ BGSU covered by 8.5Closing total144.5Under by 24.5
| BGSU | This season | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-10 | Record | 6-14 |
| 9-12 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 7-14 | O/U | 7-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BGSU 76–69 NIU · ✓ BGSU (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | 38 | 30 | 68 |
| NIU | 19 | 33 | 52 |
1st half: BGSU 38, NIU 19 (BGSU by 19). The model had BGSU by 4.6 and a total of 67.8 (actual 57).
Team stats
| BGSU | NIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-54 50% | Field goals | 18-57 32% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 5-27 19% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 39 5 off | Rebounds | 31 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 14 |
| 13 | Steals | 4 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| BGSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Towns F | 35 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Javontae Campbell G | 30 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Justin Thomas G | 27 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Shackelford G | 22 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Troy Glover II F | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mayar Wol F | 25 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 6-9 | 3-4 |
| Javon Ruffin G | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Aiden Goins F | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Makhi Leach G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Camden Karel, Greg Spurgin, Jaxon Pardon, Christian Dedivanaj, Jason Kimbrough, Alijah Adem, Preston Squire, Mohamed Maxamud
| NIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhai Valentine G | 33 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4-13 | 3-10 |
| Gianni Cobb G | 32 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Dylan Ducommun G | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-11 | 1-9 |
| Taj Walters G | 28 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Hassan Washington F | 16 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daemar Kelly G | 23 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Gustav Winther F | 19 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Stewart G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ladji Kante F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Wharton F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Carlos Coronado G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Max Laskey, Jao Ituka, JJ Taylor, Lataevyon Taylor, Isaiah Washington
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBGSU -7.5
ModelBGSU -7.6
Model edgeBGSU +0.1
W BGSU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model144.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
L Under
Projected score
BGSU 76.2 · NIU 68.7
BGSU 68 · NIU 52
Win probability
BGSU 75%
1st half
Spread
BGSU -4.6
BGSU -19.0
Total
67.8
57 points
Projected score
BGSU 36.2 · NIU 31.6
BGSU 38 · NIU 19
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBGSU -6.5
1 → BGSU
CloseBGSU -7.5
1 pt toward BGSU
Total
Open141.5
▲ 3
Close144.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
BGSU -325 · NIU +260
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BGSU -6.5 · closed BGSU -7.5 · moved 1 toward BGSUmodel BGSU -7.5 matches the line
model BGSU -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 141.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 3 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| NIU | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
BGSU 5–1 NIUBGSU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · BGSU has won the last 3 meetings · BGSU 5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | BGSU 71 @ NIU 58 | NIU +4.5 | BGSU W |
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | NIU 77 @ BGSU 84 | BGSU -6.5 | BGSU W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | BGSU 83 @ NIU 72 | NIU +1.5 | BGSU W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | NIU 86 @ BGSU 78 | BGSU -5.5 | NIU W |
| Feb 5, 2021-22 | NIU 65 @ BGSU 87 | BGSU -9 | BGSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bowling Green
21 games played
Straight up
11-10
52% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TXST | W 83-48 | -5.5 | W +29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 9 | vs LEM | W 83-60 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 15 | @ DAV | L 87-91 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 19 | vs W&M | L 74-82 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs BUCK | W 71-66 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs VMI | W 81-48 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 1 | @ KSU | W 82-66 | +12.5 | W +28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVU | L 71-82 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs CHST | W 76-55 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ OHIO | W 68-58 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vs M-OH | L 83-93 | -6.5 | L −16.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | @ MASS | W 101-100 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 6 | @ KENT | L 93-96 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 189 |
| Jan 9 | vs AKR | L 67-77 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs EMU | W 85-79 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 20 | @ WMU | W 72-54 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | @ TOL | L 72-73 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 27 | vs BUF | L 78-89 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | @ CMU | L 59-62 | -8.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 3 | vs BALL | W 77-52 | -11.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 7 | @ ARST | L 54-91 | +2.5 | L −34.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
+29.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
+11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+0.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−16.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−5.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
+21.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
+28.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
−9.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−0.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOW 68-58
+8.5
30
vsM-OH
M-OHL 83-93
−16.5
3
@MASS
MASSW 101-100
−0.5
6
@KENT
KENTL 93-96
+0.5
9
vsAKR
AKRL 67-77
−5.5
17
vsEMU
EMUW 85-79
−5.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 72-54
+11.5
24
@TOL
TOLL 72-73
−2.5
27
vsBUF
BUFL 78-89
−18.5
31
@CMU
CMUL 59-62
−11.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 77-52
+13.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 54-91
−34.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTXST
TXSTW 83-48
−15.5
9
vsLEM
LEMW 83-60
−11.5
15
@DAV
DAVL 87-91
+33.5
19
vsW&M
W&ML 74-82
−11.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 71-66
−7.5
26
vsVMI
VMIW 81-48
−19.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 82-66
−11.5
6
vsUVU
UVUL 71-82
+8.5
16
vsCHST
CHSTW 76-55
−17.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOW 68-58
−27.5
30
vsM-OH
M-OHL 83-93
+25.5
3
@MASS
MASSW 101-100
+48.5
6
@KENT
KENTL 93-96
+33.5
9
vsAKR
AKRL 67-77
−19.5
17
vsEMU
EMUW 85-79
+22.5
20
@WMU
WMUW 72-54
−26.5
24
@TOL
TOLL 72-73
−10.5
27
vsBUF
BUFL 78-89
+16.5
31
@CMU
CMUL 59-62
−28.5
3
vsBALL
BALLW 77-52
−8.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 54-91
−9.5
over 7under 14avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Illinois
20 games played
Straight up
6-14
30% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-13
35% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ULM | W 102-82 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 7 | @ WIS | L 72-97 | +28.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 10 | @ GCU | L 59-88 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNI | L 57-70 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ LUC | W 76-59 | +13.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 25 | @ APSU | L 59-77 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs LIN | L 64-99 | -3.5 | L −38.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @ BRAD | L 55-84 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 13 | @ ELON | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 20 | vsCMU | W 74-73 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 31 | vsBUF | L 67-81 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 3 | @KENT | L 73-77 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 6 | vsTOL | L 61-75 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 13 | @EMU | L 59-77 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | vsMASS | W 70-68 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @OHIO | L 77-80 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 24 | @BALL | L 53-58 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 111 |
| Jan 27 | vsWMU | W 85-65 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | @M-OH | L 61-85 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | @ GAST | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+12.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+3.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−6.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
+6.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
+30.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
−38.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−10.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+5.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−1.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−7.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
+12.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−6.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−10.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
+10.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+8.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
+0.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+18.5
31
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-85
−7.5
7
@GAST
GASTW 75-74
+5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsULM
ULMW 102-82
+36.5
7
@WIS
WISL 72-97
+11.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 59-88
−16.5
18
@UNI
UNIL 57-70
−19.5
21
@LUC
LUCW 76-59
−13.5
25
@APSU
APSUL 59-77
−11.5
2
vsLIN
LINL 64-99
+15.5
6
@BRAD
BRADL 55-84
−7.5
13
@ELON
ELONL 79-85
+7.5
20
vsCMU
CMUW 74-73
−2.5
31
vsBUF
BUFL 67-81
−4.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 73-77
−7.5
6
vsTOL
TOLL 61-75
−25.5
13
@EMU
EMUL 59-77
−5.5
17
vsMASS
MASSW 70-68
−19.5
20
@OHIO
OHIOL 77-80
+2.5
24
@BALL
BALLL 53-58
−30.5
27
vsWMU
WMUW 85-65
+3.5
31
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-85
−12.5
7
@GAST
GASTW 75-74
+5.5
over 7under 13avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bowling Green
11-10 overall · 5-6 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas St54–91
- Wvs Ball State77–52
- L@ C Michigan59–62
- Lvs Buffalo78–89
- L@ Toledo72–73
4 days since their last game.
N Illinois
6-14 overall · 3-7 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Georgia St75–74
- L@ Miami OH61–85
- Wvs W Michigan85–65
- L@ Ball State53–58
- L@ Ohio77–80
4 days since their last game.