University Arena (MI) · at W Michigan · Conference game
Closing line
WMU -5.5✓ WMU covered by 6.5
WMU -5.5✓ WMU covered by 6.5Closing total148.5Under by 6.5
 CMU | This season | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-14 | Record | 6-11 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 11-6 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 10-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CMU 73–78 WMU · ✓ WMU (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 31 | 34 | 65 |
| WMU | 35 | 42 | 77 |
1st half: CMU 31, WMU 35 (WMU by 4). The model had WMU by 3.2 and a total of 70.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| CMU | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-58 36% | Field goals | 24-54 44% |
| 4-23 17% | 3-pointers | 6-19 32% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 23-33 70% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 39 10 off |
| 12 | Assists | 7 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| CMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Garner F | 35 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Logan McIntire G | 33 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3-10 | 3-10 |
| Phat Phat Brooks G | 32 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Nathan Claerbaut C | 27 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-0 |
| Tamario Adley G | 26 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Kampen G | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Nick Mullen F | 13 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaxson Whitaker G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kayden Nation F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Will Ashford G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jorden Brooks, Kareem Aburashed, Nsikan Usen, Uchenna Amene, Rodney Johnson Jr.
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Williams G | 37 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4-14 | 4-9 |
| Max Burton F | 32 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Brewer G | 29 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 7-14 | 0-2 |
| EJ Ryans G | 26 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Brady Swartz G | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carson Vis G | 17 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Griffith G | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Trey Lewis G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Declan Peterson, Camden Thompson, Nicholas Errica, Junior Sileu, Hudson Ward
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWMU -5.5
ModelWMU -5.7
Model edgeWMU +0.2
W WMU covered
Total
Market148.5
Model150.6
Model edgeOver 2.1
L Under
Projected score
CMU 72.5 · WMU 78.1
CMU 65 · WMU 77
Win probability
WMU 69%
1st half
Spread
WMU -3.2
WMU -4.0
Total
70.5
66 points
Projected score
CMU 33.6 · WMU 36.9
CMU 31 · WMU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWMU -4.5
1 → WMU
CloseWMU -5.5
1 pt toward WMU
Total
Open153.5
▼ 5
Close148.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
CMU +190 · WMU -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WMU -4.5 · closed WMU -5.5 · moved 1 toward WMUmodel WMU -5.5 matches the line
model WMU -5.5 = line ✓
Opened 153.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 5 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CMU | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| WMU | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CMU 6–2 WMUCMU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CMU has won the last 4 meetings · CMU 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | CMU 86 @ WMU 57 | WMU +2.5 | CMU W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | WMU 52 @ CMU 73 | CMU -5.5 | CMU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | WMU 42 @ CMU 69 | CMU -5.5 | CMU W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | CMU 62 @ WMU 55 | WMU -3.5 | CMU W |
| Mar 3, 2022-23 | CMU 65 @ WMU 81 | WMU -6.5 | WMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Michigan
17 games played
Straight up
3-14
18% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs APP | W 82-66 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 8 | @ BRAD | L 54-85 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 13 | vs USA | L 64-66 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs COPP | W 82-59 | -10.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | vs NKU | L 66-90 | -4.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 22 | @ MARQ | L 71-85 | +25.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 2 | @ LUC | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 7 | @ SLU | L 65-107 | +24.5 | L −17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ STBK | L 55-78 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 20 | @ NIU | L 73-74 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ WIS | L 61-88 | +26.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs OHIO | L 64-80 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs TOL | L 75-78 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 6 | @ AKR | L 69-82 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | vs KENT | W 87-85 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 13 | @ M-OH | L 61-100 | +15.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vs BALL | L 67-68 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+14.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−21.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
+3.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
+12.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
−28.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+11.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
−4.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
−17.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−15.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
+1.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−0.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−9.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
+4.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
+10.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+12.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
−23.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
+0.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAPP
APPW 82-66
+5.5
8
@BRAD
BRADL 54-85
−8.5
13
vsUSA
USAL 64-66
−12.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 82-59
−1.5
20
vsNKU
NKUL 66-90
+9.5
22
@MARQ
MARQL 71-85
+3.5
2
@LUC
LUCL 72-83
+14.5
7
@SLU
SLUL 65-107
+11.5
13
@STBK
STBKL 55-78
−12.5
20
@NIU
NIUL 73-74
−2.5
22
@WIS
WISL 61-88
−3.5
30
vsOHIO
OHIOL 64-80
−7.5
3
vsTOL
TOLL 75-78
−5.5
6
@AKR
AKRL 69-82
−13.5
10
vsKENT
KENTW 87-85
+15.5
13
@M-OH
M-OHL 61-100
+2.5
20
vsBALL
BALLL 67-68
−7.5
over 7under 10avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Michigan
17 games played
Straight up
6-11
35% wins
Against the spread
11-6
65% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-7
59% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @ CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vs PFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | @ IOWA | L 51-91 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUF | L 71-88 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 30 | @TOL | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @M-OH | L 76-87 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs EMU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vs MASS | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @AKR | L 89-104 | +21.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | vs BGSU | L 54-72 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
−14.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
−14.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+5.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
+18.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+2.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+6.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−11.5
covered 11didn’t cover 6avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
+4.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
+8.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
−4.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+9.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+29.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−26.5
over 10under 7avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Michigan
3-14 overall · 1-6 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Ball State67–68
- L@ Miami OH61–100
- Wvs Kent State87–85
- L@ Akron69–82
- Lvs Toledo75–78
4 days since their last game.
W Michigan
6-11 overall · 1-6 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Bowling Green54–72
- L@ Akron89–104
- Lvs UMass82–85
- Wvs E Michigan79–62
- L@ Miami OH76–87
4 days since their last game.