McKenzie Arena · at Chattanooga · Conference game
Closing line
UTC -1.5✓ WOF covered by 27.5
UTC -1.5✓ WOF covered by 27.5Closing total150.5Under by 14.5
 WOF | This season | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| 12-7 | Record | 6-12 |
| 11-8 | ATS | 8-10 |
| 11-8 | O/U | 9-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WOF 75–76 UTC · ✗ UTC (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WOF | 42 | 39 | 81 |
| UTC | 22 | 33 | 55 |
1st half: WOF 42, UTC 22 (WOF by 20). The model had WOF by 0.1 and a total of 70.6 (actual 64).
Team stats
| WOF | UTC | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-70 43% | Field goals | 19-56 34% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 6-29 21% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 11-19 58% |
| 49 18 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 19 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| WOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Machowski G | 34 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 5-14 | 1-6 |
| Cayden Vasko G | 33 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Chace Watley G | 32 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Brian Sumpter F | 25 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Kahmare Holmes G | 22 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-15 | 3-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brendan Rigsbee G | 20 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Tyler G | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Rex Stirling F | 13 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Callum Richard C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Grayson Collins G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Davis Miller G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Flynn, Cannon Richards, Alessandro Perotti, Max Ortega
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Watkins G | 33 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Jordan Frison G | 30 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Tate Darner G | 29 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Jikari Johnson G | 20 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Josh Bowman F | 13 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Billy Smith G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
| Collin Mulholland F | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Parker Robison G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Makai Richards C | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Houston Holland G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Lopez G | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Latif Diouf, Liam Vitters, Zach Bleshoy, Teddy Washington Jr., Sean Cusano, Sebastian Hartmann
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTC -1.5
ModelUTC -0.1
Model edgeWOF +1.4
W WOF covered
Total
Market150.5
Model150.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
L Under
Projected score
WOF 75.4 · UTC 75.5
WOF 81 · UTC 55
Win probability
UTC 50%
1st half
Spread
WOF -0.1
WOF -20.0
Total
70.6
64 points
Projected score
WOF 35.3 · UTC 35.3
WOF 42 · UTC 22
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWOF -1.5
3 → UTC
CloseUTC -1.5
3 pts toward UTC
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WOF +100 · UTC -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WOF -1.5 · closed UTC -1.5 · moved 3 toward UTCmodel UTC -0
model UTC -0
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WOF | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| UTC | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 12 since 2021-22
WOF 2–10 UTCUTC leads · 12 games since 2021-22 · UTC has won the last 7 meetings · WOF 3-9 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | UTC 76 @ WOF 67 | WOF -5.5 | UTC W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | UTC 79 @ WOF 70 | WOF -1.5 | UTC W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | WOF 81 @ UTC 83 | UTC -2.5 | WOF W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | WOF 57 vs UTC 75 | UTC -4.5 | UTC W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | WOF 65 @ UTC 81 | UTC -7.5 | UTC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wofford
19 games played
Straight up
12-7
63% wins
Against the spread
11-8
58% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GMU | L 46-70 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 8 | vs MILW | W 86-76 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | @ AUB | L 62-93 | +27.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 15 | @ BELL | W 94-86 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNF | W 86-78 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | @ NKU | L 83-93 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | @ EKU | W 83-77 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs PRES | W 63-56 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 6 | vs ELON | L 52-73 | -4.5 | L −25.5 | 161.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 15 | @ GWEB | W 83-57 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 17 | @ WICH | L 73-84 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 31 | @ WCU | W 79-74 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ CIT | W 95-86 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | vs UNCG | W 97-85 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 10 | @ MER | L 97-109 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 206 |
| Jan 14 | vsUTC | L 67-76 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @ FUR | W 74-70 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | vs SAM | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 24 | vsMER | W 80-77 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GMU
GMUL 46-70
−9.5
8
vsMILW
MILWW 86-76
+13.5
11
@AUB
AUBL 62-93
−3.5
15
@BELL
BELLW 94-86
+4.5
19
vsUNF
UNFW 86-78
−2.5
26
@NKU
NKUL 83-93
−6.5
29
@EKU
EKUW 83-77
+4.5
3
vsPRES
PRESW 63-56
+2.5
6
vsELON
ELONL 52-73
−25.5
15
@GWEB
GWEBW 83-57
+15.5
17
@WICH
WICHL 73-84
+1.5
31
@WCU
WCUW 79-74
+2.5
3
@CIT
CITW 95-86
−0.5
7
vsUNCG
UNCGW 97-85
+4.5
10
@MER
MERL 97-109
−8.5
14
vsUTC
UTCL 67-76
−14.5
17
@FUR
FURW 74-70
+8.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 88-78
+6.5
24
vsMER
MERW 80-77
+5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 8avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GMU
GMUL 46-70
−24.5
8
vsMILW
MILWW 86-76
+11.5
11
@AUB
AUBL 62-93
+2.5
15
@BELL
BELLW 94-86
+23.5
19
vsUNF
UNFW 86-78
+2.5
26
@NKU
NKUL 83-93
+26.5
29
@EKU
EKUW 83-77
+6.5
3
vsPRES
PRESW 63-56
−19.5
6
vsELON
ELONL 52-73
−36.5
15
@GWEB
GWEBW 83-57
−15.5
17
@WICH
WICHL 73-84
+12.5
31
@WCU
WCUW 79-74
−1.5
3
@CIT
CITW 95-86
+36.5
7
vsUNCG
UNCGW 97-85
+28.5
10
@MER
MERL 97-109
+49.5
14
vsUTC
UTCL 67-76
−11.5
17
@FUR
FURW 74-70
−5.5
21
vsSAM
SAMW 88-78
+11.5
24
vsMER
MERW 80-77
−0.5
over 11under 8avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Chattanooga
18 games played
Straight up
6-12
33% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-9
50% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SMC | L 66-87 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ UNLV | L 69-101 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 15 | @ FGCU | L 73-91 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SCST | W 78-66 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNA | W 71-57 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 30 | vs TNST | L 64-70 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs SEMO | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 13 | vsAUB | L 78-92 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | @BELL | L 64-79 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ AAMU | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 1 | @UNCG | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ VMI | L 71-79 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | vsFUR | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 10 | vsSAM | W 88-79 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | @WOF | W 76-67 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @WCU | W 90-82 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 21 | vs ETSU | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @SAM | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
−5.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
−24.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
−19.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
+0.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
+4.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−14.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−7.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+5.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−16.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+4.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
−7.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
−14.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−8.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+7.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
+14.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+9.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
+3.5
24
@SAM
SAML 64-75
−6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
+7.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
+14.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
+11.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
−10.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−21.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−5.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+19.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−3.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+0.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
+1.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
+0.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−1.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+18.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
−11.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+21.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
−10.5
24
@SAM
SAML 64-75
−13.5
over 9under 9avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wofford
12-7 overall · 6-2 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mercer80–77
- Wvs Samford88–78
- W@ Furman74–70
- Lvs Chattanooga67–76
- L@ Mercer97–109
5 days since their last game.
Chattanooga
6-12 overall · 3-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Samford64–75
- Lvs ETSU66–67
- W@ W Carolina90–82
- W@ Wofford76–67
- Wvs Samford88–79
5 days since their last game.