Dahlberg Arena · at Montana · Conference game
Closing line
MONT -2.5✓ MTST covered by 13.5
MONT -2.5✓ MTST covered by 13.5Closing total145.5Over by 7.5
 MTST | This season | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| 11-11 | Record | 11-10 |
| 13-9 | ATS | 12-9 |
| 11-11 | O/U | 9-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTST 72–74 MONT · ✗ MONT (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 38 | 44 | 82 |
| MONT | 37 | 34 | 71 |
1st half: MTST 38, MONT 37 (MTST by 1). The model had MONT by 0.6 and a total of 68.3 (actual 75).
Team stats
| MTST | MONT | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-57 51% | Field goals | 24-54 44% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 15-17 88% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 33 6 off |
| 16 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MTST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian King F | 36 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Patrick McMahon G | 36 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-3 |
| Jed Miller G | 32 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 4-11 | 3-6 |
| Jeremiah Davis G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Chris Hodges F | 22 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Seth Amunrud G | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Jaden Steppe F | 17 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 7-10 | 1-3 |
| Howie Keene G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: James Steward, Cavin Holden, CJ Purdie, Davian Brown, Grayson Gaddis, Calum Rutherfurd, Waka Mbatch
| MONT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money Williams G | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 6-16 | 2-6 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer F | 33 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 9-16 | 4-10 |
| Grant Kepley G | 31 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Kenyon Aguino F | 26 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Thompson G | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brooklyn Hicks G | 23 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Isaak G | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Amari Jedkins F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Trae Taylor F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Moxon, Chase Henderson, Connor Dick, Kadyn Betts, Courtney Anderson Jr.
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMONT -2.5
ModelMONT -1.2
Model edgeMTST +1.3
W MTST covered
Total
Market145.5
Model145.8
Model edgeOver 0.3
W Over
Projected score
MTST 72.3 · MONT 73.5
MTST 82 · MONT 71
Win probability
MONT 54%
1st half
Spread
MONT -0.6
MTST -1.0
Total
68.3
75 points
Projected score
MTST 33.8 · MONT 34.4
MTST 38 · MONT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMONT -1.5
1 → MONT
CloseMONT -2.5
1 pt toward MONT
Total
Open144.5
▲ 1
Close145.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MTST +114 · MONT -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MONT -1.5 · closed MONT -2.5 · moved 1 toward MONTmodel MONT -1
model MONT -1
Opened 144.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| MONT | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MTST 5–5 MONTSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · MTST 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | MONT 67 @ MTST 76 | MTST -5.5 | MTST W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | MONT 89 @ MTST 85 | MTST -1.5 | MONT W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MTST 70 @ MONT 77 | MONT -3.5 | MONT W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | MTST 85 vs MONT 70 | MONT -6.5 | MTST W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | MTST 69 @ MONT 88 | MONT -7.5 | MONT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana St
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
13-9
59% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ COLO | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs DEN | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 12 | @ STAN | L 68-77 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ BOIS | L 58-62 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 21 | @ LBSU | W 78-72 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | @ USU | L 81-84 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs STMN | W 82-74 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ORU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ ORST | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 16 | @ CP | W 83-80 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 1 | vs UNCO | W 89-75 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs NAU | W 77-68 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | @ EWU | W 68-64 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | @ IDHO | L 89-92 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vsMONT | W 76-67 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | @UNCO | W 73-68 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 22 | vs IDST | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs WEB | W 91-88 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 29 | @ SAC | L 80-83 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ PRST | L 54-63 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 5 | vsIDHO | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsEWU | L 71-72 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
−9.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
+5.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
+12.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+2.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+14.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+5.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−8.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+0.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+11.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
−1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
+1.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
−1.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
+3.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
+7.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
+6.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
−3.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
−7.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−4.5
5
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-66
+4.5
7
vsEWU
EWUL 71-72
−6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 9avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
+1.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
−3.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
−27.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+9.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+16.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+8.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−16.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+3.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+9.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
+1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
−24.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
+36.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
−7.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
−12.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
−8.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
+31.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
+9.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−21.5
5
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-66
−8.5
7
vsEWU
EWUL 71-72
−5.5
over 11under 11avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Montana
21 games played
Straight up
11-10
52% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @STAN | L 68-91 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNLV | W 102-93 | +10.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 14 | vsCP | W 90-82 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | @ TA&M | L 81-86 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs LAM | L 63-68 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 25 | vs OAK | L 87-95 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vs NDSU | L 72-81 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UND | W 79-75 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 20 | @ LOU | L 54-94 | +30.5 | L −9.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 1 | vsNAU | W 78-64 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 3 | vsUNCO | W 88-79 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @IDHO | W 79-73 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @EWU | L 65-66 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @MTST | L 67-76 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | @NAU | W 98-72 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 22 | vsWEB | W 81-65 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | vsIDST | W 69-60 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 29 | @PRST | W 64-60 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @SAC | L 79-86 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 5 | vsEWU | L 74-82 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsIDHO | W 73-68 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@STAN
STANL 68-91
−10.5
11
@UNLV
UNLVW 102-93
+19.5
14
vsCP
CPW 90-82
+0.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 81-86
+12.5
23
vsLAM
LAML 63-68
−9.5
25
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
−12.5
3
vsNDSU
NDSUL 72-81
−12.5
6
@UND
UNDW 79-75
−1.5
20
@LOU
LOUL 54-94
−9.5
1
vsNAU
NAUW 78-64
+8.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOW 88-79
+10.5
8
@IDHO
IDHOW 79-73
+10.5
10
@EWU
EWUL 65-66
+0.5
17
@MTST
MTSTL 67-76
−3.5
19
@NAU
NAUW 98-72
+22.5
22
vsWEB
WEBW 81-65
+11.5
24
vsIDST
IDSTW 69-60
+4.5
29
@PRST
PRSTW 64-60
+8.5
31
@SAC
SACL 79-86
−10.5
5
vsEWU
EWUL 74-82
−13.5
7
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-68
+3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@STAN
STANL 68-91
+8.5
11
@UNLV
UNLVW 102-93
+37.5
14
vsCP
CPW 90-82
+3.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 81-86
+2.5
23
vsLAM
LAML 63-68
−17.5
25
vsOAK
OAKL 87-95
+19.5
3
vsNDSU
NDSUL 72-81
−0.5
6
@UND
UNDW 79-75
−0.5
20
@LOU
LOUL 54-94
−18.5
1
vsNAU
NAUW 78-64
−7.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOW 88-79
+5.5
8
@IDHO
IDHOW 79-73
−2.5
10
@EWU
EWUL 65-66
−30.5
17
@MTST
MTSTL 67-76
−7.5
19
@NAU
NAUW 98-72
+23.5
22
vsWEB
WEBW 81-65
−11.5
24
vsIDST
IDSTW 69-60
−19.5
29
@PRST
PRSTW 64-60
−19.5
31
@SAC
SACL 79-86
+9.5
5
vsEWU
EWUL 74-82
+4.5
7
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-68
−11.5
over 9under 12avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana St
11-11 overall · 8-4 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs E Washington71–72
- Wvs Idaho73–66
- L@ Portland St54–63
- L@ Sacramento St80–83
- Wvs Weber St91–88
A week or more of rest.
Montana
11-10 overall · 8-4 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Idaho73–68
- Lvs E Washington74–82
- L@ Sacramento St79–86
- W@ Portland St64–60
- Wvs Idaho St69–60
A week or more of rest.