Coleman Coliseum · at Alabama · Conference game
Closing line
ALA -11.5✓ TEX covered by 15.5
ALA -11.5✓ TEX covered by 15.5Closing total177.5Over by 2.5
 TEX | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 8-6 | Record | 11-4 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 7-8 |
| 9-5 | O/U | 8-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TEX 84–95 ALA · ✗ ALA (84%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 46 | 46 | 92 |
| ALA | 45 | 43 | 88 |
1st half: TEX 46, ALA 45 (TEX by 1). The model had ALA by 6.5 and a total of 83.5 (actual 91).
Team stats
| TEX | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-66 45% | Field goals | 29-66 44% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 11-28 39% |
| 22-32 69% | Free throws | 19-27 70% |
| 48 18 off | Rebounds | 38 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 6 | Blocks | 9 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 24 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramon Mark G | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 6-14 | 2-4 |
| Camden Heide F | 34 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Jordan Pope G | 30 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 8-17 | 6-13 |
| Dailyn Swain G | 23 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-2 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 18 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lassina Traore F | 22 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Chendall Weaver G | 22 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Lewis Obiorah, Declan Duru Jr., Anthon McDermott, Brandon Taylor, Nic Codie, John Clark, Cole Bott
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Allen G | 32 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 32 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 8-17 | 0-5 |
| Aden Holloway G | 29 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| London Jemison F | 22 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 26 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-3 |
| Houston Mallette G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Noah Williamson C | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Keitenn Bristow F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Jacob Martin, Klark James, Collins Onyejiaka, Jack Fagan, Davion Hannah, Latrell Wrightsell Jr., Preston Murphy Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketALA -11.5
ModelALA -11.2
Model edgeTEX +0.3
W TEX covered
Total
Market177.5
Model178.4
Model edgeOver 0.9
W Over
Projected score
TEX 83.6 · ALA 94.8
TEX 92 · ALA 88
Win probability
ALA 84%
1st half
Spread
ALA -6.5
TEX -1.0
Total
83.5
91 points
Projected score
TEX 38.5 · ALA 45
TEX 46 · ALA 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALA -13.5
2 → TEX
CloseALA -11.5
2 pts toward TEX
Total
Open179.5
▼ 2
Close177.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
TEX +550 · ALA -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALA -13.5 · closed ALA -11.5 · moved 2 toward TEXmodel ALA -11
model ALA -11
Opened 179.5 · closed 177.5 · moved 2 downmodel 178.5
model 178.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
| ALA | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TEX 0–1 ALAALA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TEX 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024-25 | ALA 103 @ TEX 80 | TEX +4.5 | ALA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas
14 games played
Straight up
8-6
57% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs NCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @ TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
over 9under 5avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
15 games played
Straight up
11-4
73% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs USF | W 104-93 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs KENN | W 92-81 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Dec 29 | vs YALE | W 102-78 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs UK | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAN | L 90-96 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
−3.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
+9.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
−2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
+18.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
−10.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
+9.5
over 8under 7avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas
8-6 overall · 0-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee71–85
- Lvs Mississippi St98–101
- Wvs MD Eastern94–71
- Wvs Le Moyne95–53
- L@ UConn63–71
4 days since their last game.
Alabama
11-4 overall · 1-1 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Vanderbilt90–96
- Wvs Kentucky89–74
- Wvs Yale102–78
- Wvs Kennesaw St92–81
- Wvs South Florida104–93
3 days since their last game.