Allen Arena · at Lipscomb · Conference game
Closing line
LIP -5.5✓ LIP covered by 9.5
LIP -5.5✓ LIP covered by 9.5Closing total153.5Over by 3.5
 FGCU | This season | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| 6-12 | Record | 11-7 |
| 5-13 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 11-7 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FGCU 77–81 LIP · ✓ LIP (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FGCU | 30 | 41 | 71 |
| LIP | 37 | 49 | 86 |
1st half: FGCU 30, LIP 37 (LIP by 7). The model had LIP by 2.7 and a total of 73.9 (actual 67).
Team stats
| FGCU | LIP | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-56 43% | Field goals | 26-55 47% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 20-37 54% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 14-16 88% |
| 28 11 off | Rebounds | 35 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 20 |
| 1 | Steals | 2 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 12 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| FGCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Stewart F | 38 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 4-14 | 4-11 |
| Isaiah Malone F | 32 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 9-10 | 1-1 |
| Michael Duax F | 32 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Ellerbee G | 29 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Rahmir Barno G | 26 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Reddick G | 17 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Darren Williams G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Tristen Guillouette C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| George Washington III G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: BB Washington, Evan Barlow, Gabe Tanner, Matt McCarthy, Chase Konieczny, Brandon Dwyer, J.R. Konieczny
| LIP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Esmeraldo G | 27 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Titas Sargiunas F | 26 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Grant Asman F | 22 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Charlie Williams C | 18 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Or Ashkenazi F | 16 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ross Candelino G | 29 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 6-8 | 5-7 |
| Ethan Duncan G | 28 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 5-11 | 5-8 |
| Kennedy Okpara F | 15 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Cole Middleton F | 15 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-3 |
| Kellan Boylan F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Logan Suber, Miles White, Luke Carter, Luke Jack, Devyn Martin, Josh Scott
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIP -5.5
ModelLIP -4.7
Model edgeFGCU +0.8
L LIP covered
Total
Market153.5
Model157.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
W Over
Projected score
FGCU 76.6 · LIP 81.3
FGCU 71 · LIP 86
Win probability
LIP 66%
1st half
Spread
LIP -2.7
LIP -7.0
Total
73.9
67 points
Projected score
FGCU 35.6 · LIP 38.3
FGCU 30 · LIP 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIP -6.5
1 → FGCU
CloseLIP -5.5
1 pt toward FGCU
Total
Open155.5
▼ 2
Close153.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
FGCU +210 · LIP -258
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIP -6.5 · closed LIP -5.5 · moved 1 toward FGCUmodel LIP -4.5
model LIP -4.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 downmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FGCU | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| LIP | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
FGCU 1–4 LIPLIP leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · LIP has won the last 4 meetings · FGCU 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | LIP 84 @ FGCU 77 | FGCU -2.5 | LIP W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | FGCU 68 @ LIP 82 | LIP -7.5 | LIP W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | LIP 98 @ FGCU 72 | FGCU +1.5 | LIP W |
| Feb 22, 2022-23 | LIP 73 @ FGCU 64 | FGCU -3.5 | LIP W |
| Feb 5, 2021-22 | FGCU 77 @ LIP 68 | LIP +1 | FGCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
FGCU
18 games played
Straight up
6-12
33% wins
Against the spread
5-13
28% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ ILL | L 70-113 | +29.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs GASO | L 94-95 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTC | W 91-73 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SAM | W 77-62 | +5.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORU | W 93-88 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 25 | vs RICE | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs KENN | L 100-102 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 3 | @ FIU | L 83-89 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | vs FAU | L 76-81 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 14 | @ UNM | L 59-75 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 20 | @ UCF | L 80-102 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 1 | @ CARK | L 83-85 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNA | W 72-55 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | vs APSU | L 71-82 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | vsLIP | L 77-84 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 15 | vs QUC | L 74-85 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 17 | vs WGA | W 90-72 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | @APSU | L 62-83 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@ILL
ILLL 70-113
−13.5
11
vsGASO
GASOL 94-95
−4.5
15
vsUTC
UTCW 91-73
+19.5
19
@SAM
SAMW 77-62
+20.5
24
vsORU
ORUW 93-88
−6.5
25
vsRICE
RICEW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsKENN
KENNL 100-102
−3.5
3
@FIU
FIUL 83-89
−7.5
7
vsFAU
FAUL 76-81
−2.5
14
@UNM
UNML 59-75
−0.5
20
@UCF
UCFL 80-102
−4.5
1
@CARK
CARKL 83-85
−4.5
3
@UNA
UNAW 72-55
+14.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 71-82
−14.5
10
vsLIP
LIPL 77-84
−9.5
15
vsQUC
QUCL 74-85
−12.5
17
vsWGA
WGAW 90-72
+8.5
22
@APSU
APSUL 62-83
−14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 13avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@ILL
ILLL 70-113
+22.5
11
vsGASO
GASOL 94-95
+25.5
15
vsUTC
UTCW 91-73
+11.5
19
@SAM
SAMW 77-62
−15.5
24
vsORU
ORUW 93-88
+27.5
25
vsRICE
RICEW 78-63
−8.5
26
vsKENN
KENNL 100-102
+41.5
3
@FIU
FIUL 83-89
+17.5
7
vsFAU
FAUL 76-81
+6.5
14
@UNM
UNML 59-75
−25.5
20
@UCF
UCFL 80-102
+20.5
1
@CARK
CARKL 83-85
+11.5
3
@UNA
UNAW 72-55
−20.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 71-82
−0.5
10
vsLIP
LIPL 77-84
+3.5
15
vsQUC
QUCL 74-85
−7.5
17
vsWGA
WGAW 90-72
+9.5
22
@APSU
APSUL 62-83
−10.5
over 11under 7avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lipscomb
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VAN | L 61-105 | +26.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 9 | @ MER | L 77-92 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNCA | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ BEL | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | vs WCU | W 83-62 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 26 | @ MRSH | W 90-67 | +7.5 | W +30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ SEMO | W 88-77 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs TNTC | W 83-80 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 7 | vs AAMU | W 92-58 | -11.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 16 | @ DUKE | L 73-97 | +32.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 29 | @ CIN | L 62-89 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 1 | vs JAX | W 76-57 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNF | W 82-74 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 8 | @ STET | L 83-91 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | @FGCU | W 84-77 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 15 | vs BELL | W 81-71 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | vsAPSU | W 82-78 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 22 | vsSTET | W 79-74 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
−17.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
−11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
+1.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
+5.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
+15.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
+30.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+14.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
−7.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+22.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+8.5
29
@CIN
CINL 62-89
−13.5
1
vsJAX
JAXW 76-57
+6.5
3
vsUNF
UNFW 82-74
−10.5
8
@STET
STETL 83-91
−19.5
10
@FGCU
FGCUW 84-77
+9.5
15
vsBELL
BELLW 81-71
−1.5
17
vsAPSU
APSUW 82-78
+1.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 79-74
−10.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
+11.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
+11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
−25.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
−15.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
−6.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
−0.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+11.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
+10.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+3.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+18.5
29
@CIN
CINL 62-89
+0.5
1
vsJAX
JAXW 76-57
−14.5
3
vsUNF
UNFW 82-74
−16.5
8
@STET
STETL 83-91
+23.5
10
@FGCU
FGCUW 84-77
+3.5
15
vsBELL
BELLW 81-71
−2.5
17
vsAPSU
APSUW 82-78
+4.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 79-74
−4.5
over 10under 8avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
FGCU
6-12 overall · 2-5 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Austin Peay62–83
- Wvs West Georgia90–72
- Lvs Queens University Royals74–85
- Lvs Lipscomb77–84
- Lvs Austin Peay71–82
1 day since their last game.
Lipscomb
11-7 overall · 6-1 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Stetson79–74
- Wvs Austin Peay82–78
- Wvs Bellarmine81–71
- W@ FGCU84–77
- L@ Stetson83–91
1 day since their last game.