Groniger Arena · at E Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
TNST -3.5✓ EIU covered by 7.5
TNST -3.5✓ EIU covered by 7.5Closing total144.5Under by 0.5
| TNST | This season | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | Record | 3-10 |
| 9-3 | ATS | 9-4 |
| 7-5 | O/U | 5-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNST 74–72 EIU · ✗ TNST (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 33 | 37 | 70 |
| EIU | 42 | 32 | 74 |
1st half: TNST 33, EIU 42 (EIU by 9). The model had TNST by 1.8 and a total of 68.4 (actual 75).
Team stats
| TNST | EIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-59 41% | Field goals | 28-61 46% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 35 11 off | Rebounds | 38 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 8 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris G | 37 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Travis Harper II G | 33 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 31 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 14 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carlous Williams F | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Khalil London G | 25 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 8-15 | 3-9 |
| Kavien Jones F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Damon Howard Jr. G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jabrion Spikes, Jean Lafleur, Jayden Jones, Ogien Ayo, Maddux Bodenhamer, JC Brooks, Alex Garcia
| EIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kooper Jacobi F | 39 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5-11 | 1-2 |
| Meechie White G | 31 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Nazareth Fisher F | 29 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Andre Washington G | 19 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Terry McMorris F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zion Fruster G | 31 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 7-14 | 1-5 |
| Preston Turner G | 23 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 4-5 |
| Malik Olafioye G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Prince Johnson F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Shane Sims, Andrew Austin, Markus Blackwell, Kyle Layton, JT Elder
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTNST -3.5
ModelTNST -2.8
Model edgeEIU +0.7
W EIU covered
Total
Market144.5
Model146.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
L Under
Projected score
TNST 74.4 · EIU 71.6
TNST 70 · EIU 74
Win probability
TNST 60%
1st half
Spread
TNST -1.8
EIU -9.0
Total
68.4
75 points
Projected score
TNST 35.1 · EIU 33.3
TNST 33 · EIU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNST -4.5
1 → EIU
CloseTNST -3.5
1 pt toward EIU
Total
Open142.5
▲ 2
Close144.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TNST -175 · EIU +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNST -4.5 · closed TNST -3.5 · moved 1 toward EIUmodel TNST -3
model TNST -3
Opened 142.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 upmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
| EIU | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
TNST 7–1 EIUTNST leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · TNST has won the last 7 meetings · TNST 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | TNST 66 @ EIU 49 | EIU +1.5 | TNST W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | EIU 65 @ TNST 84 | TNST -4.5 | TNST W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | EIU 73 @ TNST 78 | TNST -6 | EIU W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | TNST 64 @ EIU 60 | EIU +2.5 | TNST W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | TNST 65 @ EIU 61 | EIU +2.5 | TNST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee St
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
9-3
75% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ WKU | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ TENN | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ UNCA | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTC | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ AAMU | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNLV | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vs UTM | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | vs SEMO | L 82-91 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 30 | @ TNTC | W 88-76 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @ LR | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ WIU | W 90-68 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+4.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
−7.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+10.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+3.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+15.5
covered 9didn’t cover 3avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+7.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
+21.5
30
@TNTC
TNTCW 88-76
+8.5
3
@LR
LRW 84-79
+18.5
8
@WIU
WIUW 90-68
+12.5
over 7under 5avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
E Illinois
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ VAL | L 63-66 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 7 | vs NICH | W 65-57 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 11 | @ ND | L 58-78 | +23.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 14 | @ UK | L 53-99 | +35.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | @ CARK | L 60-81 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 28 | @ PUR | L 62-109 | +40.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | vs LIN | L 74-82 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs EKU | L 59-68 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 14 | @ ISU | L 53-78 | +43.5 | W +18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 18 | vs SIUE | W 76-72 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 1 | @SEMO | L 59-68 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | @UTM | L 61-65 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 8 | vsTNTC | W 71-61 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@VAL
VALL 63-66
+2.5
7
vsNICH
NICHW 65-57
+10.5
11
@ND
NDL 58-78
+3.5
14
@UK
UKL 53-99
−10.5
25
@CARK
CARKL 60-81
−15.5
28
@PUR
PURL 62-109
−6.5
6
vsLIN
LINL 74-82
+0.5
10
vsEKU
EKUL 59-68
−2.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 53-78
+18.5
18
vsSIUE
SIUEW 76-72
+10.5
1
@SEMO
SEMOL 59-68
+3.5
3
@UTM
UTML 61-65
+6.5
8
vsTNTC
TNTCW 71-61
+11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@VAL
VALL 63-66
−15.5
7
vsNICH
NICHW 65-57
−13.5
11
@ND
NDL 58-78
−7.5
14
@UK
UKL 53-99
+4.5
25
@CARK
CARKL 60-81
+1.5
28
@PUR
PURL 62-109
+29.5
6
vsLIN
LINL 74-82
+10.5
10
vsEKU
EKUL 59-68
−22.5
14
@ISU
ISUL 53-78
−13.5
18
vsSIUE
SIUEW 76-72
+13.5
1
@SEMO
SEMOL 59-68
−19.5
3
@UTM
UTML 61-65
−7.5
8
vsTNTC
TNTCW 71-61
−8.5
over 5under 8avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee St
7-5 overall · 4-1 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ W Illinois90–68
- W@ Little Rock84–79
- W@ Tennessee Tech88–76
- Lvs SE Missouri82–91
- Wvs UT Martin78–71
2 days since their last game.
E Illinois
3-10 overall · 2-3 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tennessee Tech71–61
- L@ UT Martin61–65
- L@ SE Missouri59–68
- Wvs SIUE76–72
- L@ Iowa State53–78
2 days since their last game.