Great Southern Bank Arena · at Missouri St · Conference game
Closing line
WKU -1.5✓ MOST covered by 14.5
WKU -1.5✓ MOST covered by 14.5Closing total152.5Over by 8.5
| WKU | This season | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| 16-11 | Record | 10-16 |
| 15-12 | ATS | 15-11 |
| 13-14 | O/U | 16-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WKU 76–74 MOST · ✗ WKU (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | 38 | 36 | 74 |
| MOST | 43 | 44 | 87 |
1st half: WKU 38, MOST 43 (MOST by 5). The model had WKU by 1.3 and a total of 70.3 (actual 81).
Team stats
| WKU | MOST | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-58 43% | Field goals | 28-54 52% |
| 2-13 15% | 3-pointers | 10-21 48% |
| 22-32 69% | Free throws | 21-29 72% |
| 34 13 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 7 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| WKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Newell F | 27 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Teagan Moore G | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 8-14 | 0-0 |
| LJ Hackman G | 22 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-2 |
| Terrion Murdix G | 20 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Blaise Keita F | 20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Armelo Boone G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Ryan Myers G | 19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Leeroy Odiahi F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cade Stinnett G | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Edelen G | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kade Unseld G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Cam Haffner G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Noah Boyde C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lawson Rice, Louie Semona III, Bryant Selebangue
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 38 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 7-15 | 3-7 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 33 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Keith Palek III F | 27 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Kobi Williams G | 26 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Melakih Cunningham G | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zaxton King G | 29 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 13 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Tyrique Brooks G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Cameron Boone F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Antwan Burnett G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Logan Epes G | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Collin Clark, Amar Kuljuhovic, Ryder Cheesman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWKU -1.5
ModelWKU -1.9
Model edgeWKU +0.4
L MOST covered
Total
Market152.5
Model150.2
Model edgeUnder 2.3
L Over
Projected score
WKU 76.1 · MOST 74.2
WKU 74 · MOST 87
Win probability
WKU 57%
1st half
Spread
WKU -1.3
MOST -5.0
Total
70.3
81 points
Projected score
WKU 35.8 · MOST 34.5
WKU 38 · MOST 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWKU -1.5
no move
CloseWKU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
no move
Close152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WKU -110 · MOST -110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WKU -1.5 · unchangedmodel WKU -2
model WKU -2
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| MOST | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WKU 1–0 MOSTWKU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WKU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | MOST 72 @ WKU 87 | WKU -6.5 | WKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Western KY
27 games played
Straight up
16-11
59% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-14
48% overs · avg −0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TNTC | W 82-70 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 10 | @ EKU | W 87-79 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | vs TNST | W 95-82 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs VAN | L 78-83 | +18.5 | W +13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs USF | L 91-97 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs WICH | W 75-70 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | vs EVAN | W 80-79 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ MRSH | L 61-77 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs TLSA | L 81-82 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ JXST | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | vs SHSU | W 102-91 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | vs LT | W 66-61 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | @ NMSU | L 64-80 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTEP | W 68-56 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 14 | vsMOST | W 87-72 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vs KENN | L 65-81 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | vs LIB | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | @SHSU | L 58-73 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 28 | @KENN | L 69-72 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | @ MTSU | W 65-60 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 5 | vsJXST | L 66-71 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | vs FIU | W 80-70 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 14 | vsMTSU | W 82-80 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 18 | @ DEL | W 88-87 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 21 | @LIB | W 94-73 | +7.5 | W +28.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 26 | vsNMSU | W 93-70 | -4.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 28 | vsUTEP | W 97-65 | -9.5 | W +22.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−2.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+6.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+0.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
+13.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+1.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
+9.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
−10.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−14.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+1.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
−13.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+5.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−4.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−13.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
+8.5
14
vsMOST
MOSTW 87-72
+8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNL 65-81
−23.5
21
vsLIB
LIBL 69-76
−5.5
24
@SHSU
SHSUL 58-73
−9.5
28
@KENN
KENNL 69-72
+1.5
31
@MTSU
MTSUW 65-60
+11.5
5
vsJXST
JXSTL 66-71
−9.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 80-70
+5.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 82-80
−1.5
18
@DEL
DELW 88-87
−3.5
21
@LIB
LIBW 94-73
+28.5
26
vsNMSU
NMSUW 93-70
+18.5
28
vsUTEP
UTEPW 97-65
+22.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−1.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+3.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+9.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
−7.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+20.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
−10.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
+11.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−21.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+4.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
+2.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+24.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−18.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−10.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
−20.5
14
vsMOST
MOSTW 87-72
+10.5
17
vsKENN
KENNL 65-81
−19.5
21
vsLIB
LIBL 69-76
−3.5
24
@SHSU
SHSUL 58-73
−25.5
28
@KENN
KENNL 69-72
−19.5
31
@MTSU
MTSUW 65-60
−15.5
5
vsJXST
JXSTL 66-71
−3.5
7
vsFIU
FIUW 80-70
−9.5
14
vsMTSU
MTSUW 82-80
+16.5
18
@DEL
DELW 88-87
+35.5
21
@LIB
LIBW 94-73
+19.5
26
vsNMSU
NMSUW 93-70
+11.5
28
vsUTEP
UTEPW 97-65
+16.5
over 13under 14avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri St
26 games played
Straight up
10-16
38% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-10
62% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs ARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @DEL | W 61-43 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vsUTEP | W 79-55 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | vsNMSU | W 89-82 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | @KENN | L 80-90 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vsFIU | W 79-71 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 14 | @WKU | L 72-87 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | @MTSU | L 87-90 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 22 | @NMSU | W 84-75 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | @UTEP | W 62-57 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 28 | vsSHSU | L 71-80 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | vsJXST | W 74-67 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 7 | @LIB | L 76-79 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 12 | vsLT | L 78-79 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsDEL | L 67-76 | -9.5 | L −18.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 18 | vsKENN | L 87-91 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 21 | @FIU | L 67-70 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 26 | @LT | L 70-72 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | @SHSU | L 81-86 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
+16.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+20.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+5.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
−3.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
+5.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
−8.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+2.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+15.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
+3.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
−10.5
31
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-67
+2.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 76-79
+6.5
12
vsLT
LTL 78-79
−4.5
14
vsDEL
DELL 67-76
−18.5
18
vsKENN
KENNL 87-91
−5.5
21
@FIU
FIUL 67-70
+0.5
26
@LT
LTL 70-72
+0.5
28
@SHSU
SHSUL 81-86
+1.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
−27.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+2.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+36.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
+17.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
−3.5
14
@WKU
WKUL 72-87
+10.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+39.5
22
@NMSU
NMSUW 84-75
+14.5
24
@UTEP
UTEPW 62-57
−20.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 71-80
+2.5
31
vsJXST
JXSTW 74-67
+5.5
7
@LIB
LIBL 76-79
+14.5
12
vsLT
LTL 78-79
+20.5
14
vsDEL
DELL 67-76
+7.5
18
vsKENN
KENNL 87-91
+25.5
21
@FIU
FIUL 67-70
−17.5
26
@LT
LTL 70-72
+3.5
28
@SHSU
SHSUL 81-86
+14.5
over 16under 10avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Western KY
16-11 overall · 11-7 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTEP97–65
- Wvs New Mexico St93–70
- W@ Liberty94–73
- W@ Delaware88–87
- Wvs MTSU82–80
5 days since their last game.
Missouri St
10-16 overall · 7-11 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Sam Houston81–86
- L@ Louisiana Tech70–72
- L@ FIU67–70
- Lvs Kennesaw St87–91
- Lvs Delaware67–76
5 days since their last game.