When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
225 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 62–70 · pick one to list those games
42% went over. Of the 93 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 23% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
All 225 games
2023–2026 · Totals 62–70 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 8 |
USA -1.5 | 66.5 | 3121933 | U | MRSH Q2 | 13–20 |
2026 · Week 7 |
HOU -4 | 62.5 | 10174567 | Q4 | OKST Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
32–35 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WVU -1.5 | 64.5 | 7354987 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2026 · Week 7 |
TXST -15.5 | 69.5 | 21669393 | Q3 | TXST Q1 | 27–66 |
 MCN @  LSU2026 · Week 5 |
LSU -53.5 | 62.5 | 14356377 | Q3 | MCN Q1 | 14–63 |
 TXSO @  FAU2026 · Week 5 |
FAU -47.5 | 62.5 | 31596976 | Q3 | FAU Q3 | 10–66 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ILL -9.5 | 62.5 | 3202341 | U | PUR Q1 | 24–17 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ALA -5.5 | 62.5 | 21456579 | Q3 | ALA Q1 | 56–23 |
 UIW @  TXST2026 · Week 4 |
TXST -30.5 | 66.5 | 35525273 | Q4 | TXST Q2 Late over |
10–63 |
 CARK @  FSU2026 · Week 4 |
FSU -45.5 | 62.5 | 14314141 | U | CARK Q1 | 7–34 |
 BUCK @  PITT2026 · Week 4 |
PITT -54.5 | 63.5 | 14354259 | U | PITT Q4 Late cover flip |
0–59 |
2026 · Week 3 |
FAU -5.5 | 62.5 | 10172326 | U | FAU Q3 | 10–16 |
 WAG @  CAL2026 · Week 3 |
CAL -58.5 | 65.5 | 29465356 | U | WAG Q1 | 7–49 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TXST -3 | 62.5 | 28566384 | Q3 | TXST Q3 | 35–49 |
 CAM @  FLA2026 · Week 2 |
FLA -51.5 | 66.5 | 13485555 | U | CAM Q1 | 3–52 |
2026 · Week 2 |
TXST -1.5 | 65.5 | 7244057 | U | UTSA Q4 | 31–26 |
 HOW @  IU2026 · Week 2 |
IU -57.5 | 67.5 | 20415555 | U | HOW Q1 | 0–55 |
 FAMU @  MIA2026 · Week 2 |
MIA -59.5 | 66.5 | 21497784 | Q3 | MIA Q3 | 7–77 |
 UNA @  ARK2026 · Week 1 |
ARK -40.5 | 63.5 | 7142845 | U | UNA Q1 | 14–31 |
 FUR @  TENN2026 · Week 1 |
TENN -49.5 | 66.5 | 7285265 | U | FUR Q1 | 9–56 |
 UAPB @  MIZ2026 · Week 1 |
MIZ -55.5 | 62.5 | 14404768 | Q4 | UAPB Q1 Late over |
14–54 |
2025 · Postseason |
UTSA -7.5 | 63.5 | 28456077 | Q4 | UTSA Q2 | 20–57 |
2025 · Postseason |
UNLV -6.5 | 64.5 | 061727 | U | OHIO Q1 | 10–17 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UNT -1.5 | 66.5 | 14314455 | U | TULN Q1 | 21–34 |
2025 · Week 15 |
KENN -3 | 62.5 | 071034 | U | KENN Q2 | 19–15 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TENN -2.5 | 66.5 | 14425269 | Q4 | VAN Q1 | 45–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TXST -9.5 | 62.5 | 17284275 | Q4 | TXST Q2 | 26–49 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MRSH -10.5 | 62.5 | 17203643 | U | GASO Q1 | 24–19 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ECU -6.5 | 66.5 | 24454545 | U | ECU Q1 | 42–3 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UNT -20.5 | 65.5 | 21425977 | Q4 | UNT Q2 | 25–52 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MISS -7.5 | 62.5 | 21313757 | U | MISS Q2 | 38–19 |
2025 · Week 13 |
CONN -5.5 | 64.5 | 27446593 | Q3 | FAU Q3 | 48–45 |
2025 · Week 13 |
USF -22.5 | 68.5 | 17274466 | U | USF Q3 | 48–18 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ODU -10.5 | 62.5 | 14314855 | U | ODU Q1 | 45–10 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UNLV -2.5 | 64.5 | 17343448 | U | UNLV Q1 | 10–38 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNLV -4.5 | 68.5 | 923334655 | U | USU Q1 Lead lost |
26–29 |
2025 · Week 12 |
USM -3.5 | 65.5 | 10273455 | U | TXST Q1 | 41–14 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNT -17.5 | 69.5 | 21386477 | Q4 | UNT Q1 | 53–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
USF -8.5 | 62.5 | 17334079 | Q4 | NAVY Q1 | 38–41 |
2025 · Week 12 |
CONN -7.5 | 64.5 | 13162642 | U | CONN Q4 | 16–26 |
2025 · Week 11 |
SJSU -6.5 | 68.5 | 3192242 | U | AFA Q1 | 26–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
TXST -3.5 | 63.5 | 17525581 | Q4 | UL Q1 | 39–42 |
2025 · Week 11 |
DUKE -7.5 | 62.5 | 17345171 | Q4 | CONN Q1 Lead lost |
34–37 |
 CIT @  MISS2025 · Week 11 |
MISS -52.5 | 63.5 | 21354249 | U | CIT Q1 | 0–49 |
2025 · Week 11 |
USF -13.5 | 66.5 | 17556878 | Q3 | USF Q2 | 23–55 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ARK -5.5 | 66.5 | 7204973 | Q4 | MSST Q4 Late over Lead lost |
38–35 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ILL -12.5 | 63.5 | 7274148 | U | ILL Q2 | 13–35 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UNT -6.5 | 68.5 | 14344848 | U | UNT Q1 | 17–31 |
2025 · Week 9 |
CIN -3.5 | 69.5 | 14303961 | U | CIN Q1 | 20–41 |
2025 · Week 9 |
NAVY -14.5 | 63.5 | 24343474 | Q4 | FAU Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
32–42 |
USA
MRSH
OKST
HOU
CIN
WVU
CSU
PUR
ILL
ALA
MSST
FIU
UNT
UTSA
UNLV
OHIO
TULN
KENN
JXST
VAN
GASO
ECU
TEM
CONN
USF
UAB
ODU
HAW
USU
USM
NAVY
AFA
SJSU
UL
DUKE
RUTG
BAYWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 113
Q2 16% 36
Q3 15% 34
Q4 17% 39
OT 0% 1
Push 1% 2
The team leading at halftime won 87% and covered 67% of 204 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 65% of 221 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 21 | 100% 21 |
| 1–3 | 11 | 100% 11 |
| 4–7 | 10 | 90% 9 |
| 8–10 | 10 | 70% 7 |
| 11–14 | 19 | 58% 11 |
| 15–17 | 21 | 52% 11 |
| 18–21 | 26 | 46% 12 |
| 22+ | 107 | 10% 11 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.