State Farm Field House · Neutral site
Closing line
MIA -5.5✓ MIA covered by 7.5
MIA -5.5✓ MIA covered by 7.5Closing total151.5Under by 8.5
| MIA | This season | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 5-1 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 4-3 | O/U | 5-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIA 81–75 GTWN · ✓ MIA (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 41 | 37 | 78 |
| GTWN | 20 | 45 | 65 |
1st half: MIA 41, GTWN 20 (MIA by 21). The model had MIA by 3.7 and a total of 72.7 (actual 61).
Team stats
| MIA | GTWN | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-51 59% | Field goals | 21-59 36% |
| 6-10 60% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 16-24 67% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 31 17 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| MIA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson G | 33 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Tru Washington G | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Malik Reneau F | 27 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 8-14 | 3-3 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. C | 26 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Shelton Henderson F | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dante Allen G | 26 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Allen F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Salih Altuntas C | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Timo Malovec F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Noam Dovrat G | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
Did not play: Treyvon Maddox, Jordyn Kee, JJ Laboy
| GTWN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Mack G | 34 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Julius Halaifonua C | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Caleb Williams F | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 8-14 | 5-10 |
| KJ Lewis G | 30 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3-12 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Abraham F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeShawn Harris-Smith G | 19 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Williams G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Fort F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Langston Love G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Seal Diouf C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kayvaun Mulready G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Van Raaphorst G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Vince Iwuchukwu, Austin Montgomery, Hashem Asadallah, Mason Moses
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIA -5.5
ModelMIA -5.9
Model edgeMIA +0.4
W MIA covered
Total
Market151.5
Model155.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
L Under
Projected score
MIA 80.6 · GTWN 74.7
MIA 78 · GTWN 65
Win probability
MIA 70%
1st half
Spread
MIA -3.7
MIA -21.0
Total
72.7
61 points
Projected score
MIA 38.2 · GTWN 34.5
MIA 41 · GTWN 20
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIA -5.5
no move
CloseMIA -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▼ 2
Close151.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIA -5.5 · unchangedmodel MIA -6
model MIA -6
Opened 153.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIAlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 4-3 57% | 4-3 57% |
| GTWNlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% | 5-1 83% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +7.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs JAX | W 86-69 | -18.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 6 | vs BCU | W 101-61 | -16.5 | W +23.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs STET | W 102-61 | -34.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | vs FLA | L 68-82 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 171.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 20 | vs ELON | W 99-72 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DSU | W 97-41 | -34.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs BYU | L 62-72 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
−1.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+23.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+6.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−3.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+7.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
+21.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsJAX
JAXW 86-69
+12.5
6
vsBCU
BCUW 101-61
+7.5
10
vsSTET
STETW 102-61
+1.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 68-82
−21.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 99-72
+6.5
23
vsDSU
DSUW 97-41
−13.5
27
vsBYU
BYUL 62-72
−31.5
over 4under 3avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgetown
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-1
83% overs · avg +9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MORG
MORGW 87-70
−10.5
7
@
MD
MDW 70-60
+14.5
12
vs
BING
BINGW 83-70
−14.5
15
vs
CLEM
CLEMW 79-74
+6.5
22
vs
WAG
WAGW 92-75
−8.5
27
vs
DAY
DAYL 79-84
−3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMORG
MORGW 87-70
+2.5
7
@MD
MDW 70-60
−14.5
12
vsBING
BINGW 83-70
+11.5
15
vsCLEM
CLEMW 79-74
+10.5
22
vsWAG
WAGW 92-75
+26.5
27
vsDAY
DAYL 79-84
+17.5
over 5under 1avg +9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs BYU62–72
- Wvs Delaware St97–41
- Wvs Elon99–72
- Lvs Florida68–82
- Wvs Stetson102–61
1 day since their last game.
Georgetown
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Dayton79–84
- Wvs Wagner92–75
- Wvs Clemson79–74
- Wvs Binghamton83–70
- W@ Maryland70–60
1 day since their last game.