University Credit Union Pavilion · at Saint Mary's · Conference game
Closing line
SMC -15.5✓ WSU covered by 9.5
SMC -15.5✓ WSU covered by 9.5Closing total143.5Over by 26.5
 WSU | This season | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| 7-9 | Record | 14-2 |
| 7-9 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WSU 65–79 SMC · ✓ SMC (89%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSU | 38 | 44 | 82 |
| SMC | 50 | 38 | 88 |
1st half: WSU 38, SMC 50 (SMC by 12). The model had SMC by 8.3 and a total of 67.5 (actual 88).
Team stats
| WSU | SMC | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-55 55% | Field goals | 27-56 48% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 14-30 47% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 20-20 100% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 29 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 19 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 27 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| WSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rihards Vavers F | 35 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Eemeli Yalaho F | 32 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Ace Glass G | 30 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 7-13 | 2-6 |
| Jerone Morton G | 27 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| ND Okafor C | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Emmanuel Ugbo F | 23 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Adria Rodriguez G | 18 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Simon Hildebrandt F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Parker Gerrits G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tomas Thrastarson, Kase Wynott, Brunel Madzou, Dio Blakely, Dominik Robinson
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulius Murauskas F | 40 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 8-17 | 2-7 |
| Joshua Dent G | 40 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 9-14 | 6-9 |
| Dillan Shaw G | 32 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 23 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 4-11 | 3-6 |
| Harry Wessels C | 15 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew McKeever C | 25 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Liam Campbell G | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Rory Hawke G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Oliver Faubert, Tony Duckett, Mantas Juzenas, Kevin Gad, Trent MacLean, Cade Bennett, Jazz Gardner
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSMC -15.5
ModelSMC -14.2
Model edgeWSU +1.3
W WSU covered
Total
Market143.5
Model144.0
Model edgeOver 0.5
W Over
Projected score
WSU 64.9 · SMC 79.1
WSU 82 · SMC 88
Win probability
SMC 89%
1st half
Spread
SMC -8.3
SMC -12.0
Total
67.5
88 points
Projected score
WSU 29.6 · SMC 37.9
WSU 38 · SMC 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMC -15.5
no move
CloseSMC -15.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
no move
Close143.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
WSU +900 · SMC -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMC -15.5 · unchangedmodel SMC -14
model SMC -14
Opened 143.5 · unchangedmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| SMC | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WSU 0–2 SMCSMC leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · SMC has won the last 2 meetings · WSU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | WSU 56 @ SMC 77 | SMC -15.5 | SMC W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | SMC 80 @ WSU 75 | WSU +5.5 | WSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Washington St
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IDHO | L 81-83 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 7 | @ DAV | L 69-85 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 10 | vs STMN | W 81-71 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 14 | vs WASH | L 69-81 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 19 | vs SUU | W 98-74 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 25 | vs ASU | L 94-100 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs HALL | L 61-75 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | @ BRAD | L 60-64 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 7 | vs NEV | L 64-78 | -2.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 14 | @ USC | L 61-68 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 17 | vs EWU | W 78-63 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 20 | vs MER | W 84-78 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 28 | @ PORT | W 67-62 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 30 | @ SEA | L 55-69 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 2 | vs LMU | W 78-76 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 4 | vs ORST | W 81-67 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-83
−9.5
7
@DAV
DAVL 69-85
−11.5
10
vsSTMN
STMNW 81-71
+7.5
14
vsWASH
WASHL 69-81
−3.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 98-74
+11.5
25
vsASU
ASUL 94-100
−1.5
26
vsHALL
HALLL 61-75
−5.5
2
@BRAD
BRADL 60-64
+1.5
7
vsNEV
NEVL 64-78
−16.5
14
@USC
USCL 61-68
+5.5
17
vsEWU
EWUW 78-63
+8.5
20
vsMER
MERW 84-78
−1.5
28
@PORT
PORTW 67-62
+1.5
30
@SEA
SEAL 55-69
−7.5
2
vsLMU
LMUW 78-76
−1.5
4
vsORST
ORSTW 81-67
+7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIDHO
IDHOL 81-83
+9.5
7
@DAV
DAVL 69-85
+0.5
10
vsSTMN
STMNW 81-71
−5.5
14
vsWASH
WASHL 69-81
−8.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 98-74
+14.5
25
vsASU
ASUL 94-100
+36.5
26
vsHALL
HALLL 61-75
−11.5
2
@BRAD
BRADL 60-64
−24.5
7
vsNEV
NEVL 64-78
−3.5
14
@USC
USCL 61-68
−27.5
17
vsEWU
EWUW 78-63
−12.5
20
vsMER
MERW 84-78
+10.5
28
@PORT
PORTW 67-62
−23.5
30
@SEA
SEAL 55-69
−20.5
2
vsLMU
LMUW 78-76
+11.5
4
vsORST
ORSTW 81-67
+7.5
over 7under 9avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Mary's
16 games played
Straight up
14-2
88% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsSTMN | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTC | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs OHIO | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UNT | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARST | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs WICH | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs VT | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VAN | L 71-96 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 7 | @DAV | W 70-61 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 14 | vs BOIS | L 67-68 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAU | W 88-75 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs UNI | W 63-58 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 28 | @LMU | W 78-73 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | @ PEPP | W 72-45 | -19.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | vsPORT | W 78-57 | -18.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 4 | vsSEA | W 93-76 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+12.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+5.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+16.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
+5.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
−20.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
+0.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−3.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
−0.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−6.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
−4.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
+7.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
+2.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+0.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+7.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+5.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+0.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
+7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
−1.5
28
vsVAN
VANL 71-96
+17.5
7
@DAV
DAVW 70-61
−6.5
14
vsBOIS
BOISL 67-68
−4.5
19
vsFAU
FAUW 88-75
+17.5
22
vsUNI
UNIW 63-58
−11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 78-73
+7.5
30
@PEPP
PEPPW 72-45
−24.5
2
vsPORT
PORTW 78-57
−11.5
4
vsSEA
SEAW 93-76
+29.5
over 9under 7avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Washington St
7-9 overall · 3-1 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oregon St81–67
- Wvs LMU78–76
- L@ Seattle U55–69
- W@ Portland67–62
- Wvs Mercer84–78
6 days since their last game.
Saint Mary's
14-2 overall · 4-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Seattle U93–76
- Wvs Portland78–57
- W@ Pepperdine72–45
- W@ LMU78–73
- Wvs Northern Iowa63–58
6 days since their last game.