Redhawk Center · at Seattle U · Conference game
Closing line
SEA -2.5✓ SF covered by 10.5
SEA -2.5✓ SF covered by 10.5Closing total146.5Under by 20.5
 SF | This season | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | Record | 9-2 |
| 7-5 | ATS | 4-7 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 6-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SF 70–71 SEA · ✗ SEA (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 32 | 35 | 67 |
| SEA | 30 | 29 | 59 |
1st half: SF 32, SEA 30 (SF by 2). The model had SEA by 0.1 and a total of 66.0 (actual 62).
Team stats
| SF | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-56 36% | Field goals | 20-73 27% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 4-23 17% |
| 19-24 79% | Free throws | 15-18 83% |
| 44 8 off | Rebounds | 43 15 off |
| 11 | Assists | 6 |
| 1 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 7 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vukasin Masic G | 35 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-7 | 3-4 |
| Ryan Beasley G | 34 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4-10 | 3-8 |
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 30 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| David Fuchs F | 25 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mookie Cook F | 20 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Veniamin Abosi F | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Legend Smiley G | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Junjie Wang F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Saba Gigiberia, Aidan Braccia, Weilun Zhao, Sean Blakely Drummond, Isa Silva, Ndewedo Newbury
| SEA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Heimbrodt F | 35 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-1 |
| Junseok Yeo F | 34 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-6 |
| Brayden Maldonado G | 32 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-16 | 1-8 |
| Austin Maurer C | 20 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-1 |
| Maleek Arington G | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Christofilis G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Houran Dan C | 17 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-0 |
| Jojo Murphy G | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Miles Amos G | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Brock Felder F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JT White, Stratos Papastavrou, Jeremiah Harshman, Yuto Kawashima, Eric Zheng, Ray Adams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSEA -2.5
ModelSEA -0.3
Model edgeSF +2.1
W SF covered
Total
Market146.5
Model140.9
Model edgeUnder 5.6
W Under
Projected score
SF 70.3 · SEA 70.6
SF 67 · SEA 59
Win probability
SEA 51%
1st half
Spread
SEA -0.1
SF -2.0
Total
66.0
62 points
Projected score
SF 33 · SEA 33.1
SF 32 · SEA 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSF -1.5
4 → SEA
CloseSEA -2.5
4 pts toward SEA
Total
Open142.5
▲ 4
Close146.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
SF +124 · SEA -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SF -1.5 · closed SEA -2.5 · moved 4 toward SEAmodel SEA -0.5
model SEA -0.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 4 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| SEA | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SF 1–0 SEASF leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SF 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023-24 | SEA 59 @ SF 62 | SF -9.5 | SEA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Francisco
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | @ SLU | L 75-85 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LUC | W 85-71 | -11.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | vs MORG | W 94-64 | -25.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+2.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+2.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
13
@SLU
SLUL 75-85
+4.5
17
vsLUC
LUCW 85-71
+12.5
21
vsMORG
MORGW 94-64
+12.5
over 6under 6avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Seattle U
11 games played
Straight up
9-2
82% wins
Against the spread
4-7
36% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DEN | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs CP | L 71-73 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs EWU | W 94-67 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDST | W 83-74 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ STAN | W 77-69 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs TXST | W 66-52 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs UCSB | L 71-74 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTEP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCD | W 79-78 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 19 | vs WASH | W 70-66 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTSA | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
−2.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−12.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+18.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
−2.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
+18.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
+6.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
−5.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
−5.5
17
@UCD
UCDW 79-78
−1.5
19
vsWASH
WASHW 70-66
+11.5
22
@UTSA
UTSAW 71-68
−7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 7avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEN
DENW 84-73
+20.5
8
vsCP
CPL 71-73
−20.5
12
vsEWU
EWUW 94-67
+12.5
15
vsIDST
IDSTW 83-74
+18.5
21
@STAN
STANW 77-69
−6.5
28
vsTXST
TXSTW 66-52
−18.5
29
vsUCSB
UCSBL 71-74
+2.5
7
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-68
+6.5
17
@UCD
UCDW 79-78
+13.5
19
vsWASH
WASHW 70-66
−15.5
22
@UTSA
UTSAW 71-68
−9.5
over 6under 5avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Francisco
7-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Morgan St94–64
- Wvs Loyola Chicago85–71
- L@ Saint Louis75–85
- Wvs Mississippi St65–62
- Lvs North Alabama63–65
A week or more of rest.
Seattle U
9-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UTSA71–68
- Wvs Washington70–66
- W@ UC Davis79–78
- Wvs UTEP75–68
- Lvs Santa Barbara71–74
6 days since their last game.