Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center · at Youngstown St
Closing line
YSU -6.5✓ YSU covered by 2.5
YSU -6.5✓ YSU covered by 2.5Closing total141.5Under by 2.5
 UPST | This season | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-6 | Record | 5-5 |
| 8-3 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UPST 71–77 YSU · ✓ YSU (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 28 | 37 | 65 |
| YSU | 40 | 34 | 74 |
1st half: UPST 28, YSU 40 (YSU by 12). The model had YSU by 3.8 and a total of 69.1 (actual 68).
Team stats
| UPST | YSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-53 40% | Field goals | 23-54 43% |
| 4-15 27% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 19-25 76% | Free throws | 20-29 69% |
| 34 8 off | Rebounds | 37 10 off |
| 6 | Assists | 14 |
| 2 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Smith G | 36 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Karmani Gregory G | 32 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 10-17 | 2-5 |
| Mason Bendinger G | 31 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-1 |
| Learic Davis F | 23 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carmelo Adkins G | 24 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Skinner G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Breylin Garcia F | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Chico Johnson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Coen Collier C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kanye Jones G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nic Book, TJ Lewis, CJ Rich
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cris Carroll F | 36 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 8-16 | 3-6 |
| Rich Rolf F | 26 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Jason Nelson G | 23 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 16 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaiden Haynes G | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Drew King G | 23 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Vlad Salaridze F | 22 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Tae Blackshear G | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-8 |
| Tyler Robinett F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Shaheed Solebo, Cam Polak, Derrick Anderson, Markus Navarra, Connor Swider
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYSU -6.5
ModelYSU -6.5
Model edge—
YSU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model147.5
Model edgeOver 6.0
L Under
Projected score
UPST 70.5 · YSU 77
UPST 65 · YSU 74
Win probability
YSU 71%
1st half
Spread
YSU -3.8
YSU -12.0
Total
69.1
68 points
Projected score
UPST 32.7 · YSU 36.4
UPST 28 · YSU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYSU -7.5
1 → UPST
CloseYSU -6.5
1 pt toward UPST
Total
Open142.5
▼ 1
Close141.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UPST +260 · YSU -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YSU -7.5 · closed YSU -6.5 · moved 1 toward UPSTmodel YSU -6.5 matches the line
model YSU -6.5 = line ✓
Opened 142.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| YSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UPST 0–1 YSUYSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UPST 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | YSU 72 @ UPST 64 | UPST +7.5 | YSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SC Upstate
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
8-3
73% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CBU | L 75-87 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 5 | @ FRES | W 67-66 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNCW | L 60-73 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | vs TNTC | L 84-88 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | @ WGA | L 64-72 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs NCCU | W 82-67 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ NEB | L 63-72 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs CCU | W 85-78 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs WCU | W 78-67 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNC | L 62-80 | +29.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | @ SCST | W 78-72 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+2.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
+10.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
+1.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
−6.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−5.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+7.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
+16.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+4.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
+8.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
+11.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
−4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 3avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+9.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
−31.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
−22.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
+21.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−17.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+0.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
−22.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+18.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
−4.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
−9.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
+2.5
over 5under 6avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Youngstown St
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PITT | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | @ GCU | W 90-81 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ SBU | L 80-84 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ TOL | L 75-92 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCG | L 62-68 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 24 | vs GASO | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs CHST | W 87-64 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs WRST | W 69-68 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ IUIN | W 78-55 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ RMU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−0.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+24.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+5.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
−15.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−11.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
+4.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+8.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−2.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
+16.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
−0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−12.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+18.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+17.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
+6.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−22.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
−35.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+4.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−7.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
−38.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
+16.5
over 5under 5avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SC Upstate
5-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ SC State78–72
- L@ North Carolina62–80
- Wvs W Carolina78–67
- Wvs Coastal85–78
- L@ Nebraska63–72
4 days since their last game.
Youngstown St
5-5 overall · 2-1 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Robert Morris77–80
- W@ IU Indy78–55
- Wvs Wright St69–68
- Wvs Chicago St87–64
- Wvs GA Southern67–61
3 days since their last game.