LJVM Coliseum · at Wake Forest · Conference game
Closing line
WAKE -5.5✓ VT covered by 2.5
WAKE -5.5✓ VT covered by 2.5Closing total153.5Over by 5.5
 VT | This season | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2 | Record | 9-5 |
| 8-6 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VT 77–81 WAKE · ✓ WAKE (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 32 | 46 | 78 |
| WAKE | 36 | 45 | 81 |
1st half: VT 32, WAKE 36 (WAKE by 4). The model had WAKE by 2.8 and a total of 74.0 (actual 68).
Team stats
| VT | WAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-53 47% | Field goals | 30-67 45% |
| 10-30 33% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 18-25 72% | Free throws | 14-16 88% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 34 13 off |
| 15 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| VT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jailen Bedford G | 35 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 9-18 | 5-11 |
| Neo Avdalas G | 34 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Jaden Schutt G | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Amani Hansberry F | 28 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 7-9 | 2-3 |
| Christian Gurdak C | 27 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Hammond G | 27 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Sin'Cere Jones F | 17 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Izaiah Pasha G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Antonio Dorn, Solomon Davis, Shamarius Peterkin, Brett Freeman, Tobi Lawal, Tyler Johnson
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juke Harris G | 36 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 4-12 | 0-3 |
| Tre'Von Spillers F | 32 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 7-13 | 0-1 |
| Nate Calmese G | 32 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 9-18 | 3-6 |
| Myles Colvin G | 26 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Omaha Biliew F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cooper Schwieger F | 25 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Mekhi Mason G | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Sebastian Akins G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Marqus Marion F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Cross G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dimitrije Kovacevic, Vincent Ricchiuti, Anson Beard Jr., Isaac Carr, Owen Kmety, Will Underwood
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWAKE -5.5
ModelWAKE -5.0
Model edgeVT +0.5
W VT covered
Total
Market153.5
Model157.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
W Over
Projected score
VT 76.5 · WAKE 81.4
VT 78 · WAKE 81
Win probability
WAKE 67%
1st half
Spread
WAKE -2.8
WAKE -4.0
Total
74.0
68 points
Projected score
VT 35.6 · WAKE 38.4
VT 32 · WAKE 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWAKE -5.5
no move
CloseWAKE -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▲ 3
Close153.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
VT +215 · WAKE -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WAKE -5.5 · unchangedmodel WAKE -5
model WAKE -5
Opened 150.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 3 upmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| WAKE | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
VT 1–4 WAKEWAKE leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · VT 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | WAKE 72 @ VT 63 | VT +3.5 | WAKE W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | WAKE 76 @ VT 87 | VT -1.5 | VT W |
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | VT 63 @ WAKE 86 | WAKE -3.5 | WAKE W |
| Dec 31, 2022-23 | VT 75 @ WAKE 77 | WAKE +1.5 | WAKE W |
| Dec 4, 2021-22 | WAKE 80 @ VT 61 | VT -9.5 | WAKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Virginia Tech
14 games played
Straight up
12-2
86% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHSO | W 98-67 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 8 | vs PROV | W 107-101 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 12 | vs JOES | W 94-59 | -12.5 | W +22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLT | W 84-76 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | vs BRY | W 78-61 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 26 | vs CSU | W 66-64 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs SMC | L 66-77 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VCU | L 68-86 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ SC | W 86-83 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs GMU | W 73-62 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 11 | vs WCU | W 96-74 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 14 | vs UMES | W 82-53 | -27.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs ELON | W 82-81 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vs UVA | W 95-85 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+12.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+8.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
+22.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
−10.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−7.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−2.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−5.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
−15.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+5.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
+6.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+1.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
+1.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
−11.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+15.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+18.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+50.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
−5.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
+14.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−12.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−23.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−1.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
+0.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+19.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
−9.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+17.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
−4.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
+4.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+26.5
over 8under 6avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wake Forest
14 games played
Straight up
9-5
64% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AMER | W 88-74 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MORE | W 81-65 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | vs MICH | L 84-85 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs UML | W 109-75 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 20 | vs TTU | L 83-84 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MEM | W 69-68 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAM | W 99-51 | -17.5 | W +30.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 28 | vs NE | W 86-73 | -17.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs OU | L 68-86 | -4.5 | L −22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs WVU | W 75-66 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs QUC | W 111-73 | -18.5 | W +19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 17 | vs LONG | W 71-68 | -24.5 | L −21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs VAN | L 67-98 | +5.5 | L −25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ NCSU | L 57-70 | +10.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
−5.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+14.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+3.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+8.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−1.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
+30.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
−4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−22.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
+11.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+19.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−21.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
−25.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
+22.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+0.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−23.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
−9.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
+4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−5.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
−2.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+18.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−24.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
+0.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−32.5
over 7under 7avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Virginia Tech
12-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Virginia95–85
- Wvs Elon82–81
- Wvs MD Eastern82–53
- Wvs W Carolina96–74
- Wvs George Mason73–62
3 days since their last game.
Wake Forest
9-5 overall · 0-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ NC State57–70
- Lvs Vanderbilt67–98
- Wvs Longwood71–68
- Wvs Queens University Royals111–73
- Wvs West Virginia75–66
3 days since their last game.