Stony Brook Arena · at Stony Brook · Conference game
Closing line
UNCW -6.5✓ STBK covered by 2.5
UNCW -6.5✓ STBK covered by 2.5Closing total133.5Over by 12.5
| UNCW | This season | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| 13-2 | Record | 7-8 |
| 6-9 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 8-7 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCW 71–64 STBK · ✓ UNCW (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 21 | 54 | 75 |
| STBK | 43 | 28 | 71 |
1st half: UNCW 21, STBK 43 (STBK by 22). The model had UNCW by 4.4 and a total of 63.6 (actual 64).
Team stats
| UNCW | STBK | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 28-60 47% |
| 12-25 48% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 7-15 47% | Free throws | 5-6 83% |
| 36 11 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 17 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge G | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 8-17 | 6-12 |
| Greedy Williams G | 35 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 33 | 14 | 12 | 1 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Noah Ross G | 32 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Christian May G | 31 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madison Durr G | 21 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-4 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe G | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matija Prodanovic, Adam Tokpah, JoJo Fullwood, Makel Smith, CJ Luster II, Grady Whitt, Gavin Walsh
| STBK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Brown III G | 36 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 8-12 | 6-9 |
| Erik Pratt G | 36 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 10-20 | 3-8 |
| Andrej Shoshkikj G | 24 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Quin Gorman F | 23 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Richard Goods F | 20 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Oleg Kojenets F | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Tomas Valentiny F | 17 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Toby Onyekonwu G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Jonah Butler G | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Jake Harbatkin, Andrew Okafor, Ethan Simmon, Liam Dagostino, Collin O'Connor, Leon Nahar
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCW -6.5
ModelUNCW -7.2
Model edgeUNCW +0.7
L STBK covered
Total
Market133.5
Model135.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
W Over
Projected score
UNCW 71.4 · STBK 64.3
UNCW 75 · STBK 71
Win probability
UNCW 73%
1st half
Spread
UNCW -4.4
STBK -22.0
Total
63.6
64 points
Projected score
UNCW 34 · STBK 29.6
UNCW 21 · STBK 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCW -8.5
2 → STBK
CloseUNCW -6.5
2 pts toward STBK
Total
Open132.5
▲ 1
Close133.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNCW -355 · STBK +280
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCW -8.5 · closed UNCW -6.5 · moved 2 toward STBKmodel UNCW -7
model UNCW -7
Opened 132.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 1 upmodel 135.5
model 135.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCW | 9-1 90% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| STBK | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNCW 3–1 STBKUNCW leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · UNCW 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | STBK 70 @ UNCW 80 | UNCW -17.5 | STBK W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UNCW 78 @ STBK 86 | STBK +3.5 | STBK W |
| Feb 23, 2022-23 | STBK 69 @ UNCW 76 | UNCW -9.5 | STBK W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | UNCW 62 @ STBK 51 | STBK +6.5 | UNCW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Wilmington
15 games played
Straight up
13-2
87% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ KENT | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs UPST | W 73-60 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs ECU | W 85-60 | -6.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | @ RAD | W 81-73 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs SELA | W 70-57 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs NAVY | W 87-57 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs GWEB | W 88-62 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | vs MRSH | W 70-69 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UL | W 70-63 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ VAL | W 73-70 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOW | L 66-67 | -15.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | @ NCAT | W 87-78 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vs DREX | W 65-53 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAMP | W 49-45 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 94 |
| Jan 8 | @ NE | W 87-78 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
−5.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−1.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+3.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
+1.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+21.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+7.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−7.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
−5.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
−1.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−16.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
−1.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−0.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−8.5
8
@NE
NEW 87-78
+4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
+6.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−22.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
−0.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+2.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
−10.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+5.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+2.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−11.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
+2.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
+6.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−8.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
+18.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−19.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−46.5
8
@NE
NEW 87-78
+22.5
over 8under 7avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stony Brook
15 games played
Straight up
7-8
47% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −7.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs ME | W 71-60 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 131.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 15 | @ YALE | L 79-86 | +20.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 20 | vs BRWN | W 80-70 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 24 | vs PAC | L 58-86 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs BCU | W 61-54 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 28 | @ LMU | W 71-68 | +10.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ DUQ | L 75-84 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 9 | vs COLU | W 77-73 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 13 | vs CMU | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | vs UALB | L 55-71 | -10.5 | L −26.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 21 | @ MRST | L 51-70 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | @HAMP | L 59-62 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 31 | @ W&M | L 57-76 | +11.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | vsNCAT | W 81-80 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 8 | @DREX | L 37-56 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 132.5 | U 93 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsME
MEW 71-60
+7.5
15
@YALE
YALEL 79-86
+13.5
20
vsBRWN
BRWNW 80-70
+6.5
24
vsPAC
PACL 58-86
−23.5
25
vsBCU
BCUW 61-54
+11.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 71-68
+13.5
6
@DUQ
DUQL 75-84
+0.5
9
vsCOLU
COLUW 77-73
+8.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 78-55
+15.5
17
vsUALB
UALBL 55-71
−26.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 51-70
−12.5
29
@HAMP
HAMPL 59-62
−0.5
31
@W&M
W&ML 57-76
−7.5
3
vsNCAT
NCATW 81-80
−3.5
8
@DREX
DREXL 37-56
−13.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsME
MEW 71-60
−0.5
15
@YALE
YALEL 79-86
+14.5
20
vsBRWN
BRWNW 80-70
+13.5
24
vsPAC
PACL 58-86
−1.5
25
vsBCU
BCUW 61-54
−30.5
28
@LMU
LMUW 71-68
+0.5
6
@DUQ
DUQL 75-84
+8.5
9
vsCOLU
COLUW 77-73
+3.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 78-55
−12.5
17
vsUALB
UALBL 55-71
−20.5
21
@MRST
MRSTL 51-70
−16.5
29
@HAMP
HAMPL 59-62
−19.5
31
@W&M
W&ML 57-76
−26.5
3
vsNCAT
NCATW 81-80
+19.5
8
@DREX
DREXL 37-56
−39.5
over 6under 9avg −7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Wilmington
13-2 overall · 4-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Northeastern87–78
- Wvs Hampton49–45
- Wvs Drexel65–53
- W@ NC A&T87–78
- Lvs Howard66–67
2 days since their last game.
Stony Brook
7-8 overall · 1-3 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Drexel37–56
- Wvs NC A&T81–80
- L@ William & Mary57–76
- L@ Hampton59–62
- L@ Marist51–70
2 days since their last game.