UNF Arena · at North Florida · Conference game
Closing line
LIP -10.5✓ UNF covered by 4.5
LIP -10.5✓ UNF covered by 4.5Closing total165.5Over by 28.5
| LIP | This season | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | Record | 3-17 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 12-8 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 13-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIP 89–80 UNF · ✓ LIP (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 36 | 64 | 100 |
| UNF | 45 | 49 | 94 |
1st half: LIP 36, UNF 45 (UNF by 9). The model had LIP by 5.7 and a total of 78.8 (actual 81).
Team stats
| LIP | UNF | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-66 61% | Field goals | 31-65 48% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 17-39 44% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 15-16 94% |
| 27 5 off | Rebounds | 36 13 off |
| 21 | Assists | 19 |
| 10 | Steals | 2 |
| 0 | Blocks | 0 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 58 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| LIP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Williams C | 31 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 8-14 | 0-4 |
| Mateo Esmeraldo G | 31 | 24 | 3 | 9 | 9-11 | 2-4 |
| Titas Sargiunas F | 29 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Grant Asman F | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Or Ashkenazi F | 24 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ethan Duncan G | 22 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 6-7 | 4-4 |
| Ross Candelino G | 18 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Cole Middleton F | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kennedy Okpara F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Kellan Boylan F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Scott, Devyn Martin, Luke Jack, Luke Carter, Miles White, Logan Suber
| UNF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent Jackson G | 36 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 8-19 | 8-17 |
| Kamrin Oriol G | 36 | 35 | 3 | 10 | 11-20 | 7-12 |
| Mason Lee G | 32 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 8-11 | 1-3 |
| BJ Plummer G | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Nestor Dyachok F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dalton Gayman F | 23 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Dante Oliver G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trey Cady G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Devin Hines G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Taylor Thompson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex Vargo, Mason Watkins, Gabe Jacobs, Arden Begaj
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIP -10.5
ModelLIP -9.4
Model edgeUNF +1.1
W UNF covered
Total
Market165.5
Model168.6
Model edgeOver 3.1
W Over
Projected score
LIP 89 · UNF 79.6
LIP 100 · UNF 94
Win probability
LIP 79%
1st half
Spread
LIP -5.7
UNF -9.0
Total
78.8
81 points
Projected score
LIP 42.3 · UNF 36.6
LIP 36 · UNF 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIP -12.5
2 → UNF
CloseLIP -10.5
2 pts toward UNF
Total
Open168.5
▼ 3
Close165.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
LIP -675 · UNF +490
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIP -12.5 · closed LIP -10.5 · moved 2 toward UNFmodel LIP -9.5
model LIP -9.5
Opened 168.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 3 downmodel 168.5
model 168.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| UNF | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
LIP 4–2 UNFLIP leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · LIP has won the last 2 meetings · LIP 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | UNF 74 @ LIP 82 | LIP -18.5 | UNF W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | LIP 96 @ UNF 64 | UNF +5.5 | LIP W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | LIP 76 @ UNF 85 | UNF +2.5 | UNF W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | UNF 114 @ LIP 111 | LIP -7.5 | UNF W |
| Mar 1, 2021-22 | UNF 65 @ LIP 74 | LIP -3.5 | LIP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lipscomb
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VAN | L 61-105 | +26.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 9 | @ MER | L 77-92 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNCA | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ BEL | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | vs WCU | W 83-62 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 26 | @ MRSH | W 90-67 | +7.5 | W +30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ SEMO | W 88-77 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs TNTC | W 83-80 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 7 | vs AAMU | W 92-58 | -11.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 16 | @ DUKE | L 73-97 | +32.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 29 | @ CIN | L 62-89 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 1 | vs JAX | W 76-57 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | vsUNF | W 82-74 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 8 | @ STET | L 83-91 | -11.5 | L −19.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | @ FGCU | W 84-77 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 15 | vs BELL | W 81-71 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | vs APSU | W 82-78 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 22 | vsSTET | W 79-74 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 23 | vsFGCU | W 86-71 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 29 | @JAX | L 65-70 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
−17.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
−11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
+1.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
+5.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
+15.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
+30.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+14.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
−7.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+22.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+8.5
29
@CIN
CINL 62-89
−13.5
1
vsJAX
JAXW 76-57
+6.5
3
vsUNF
UNFW 82-74
−10.5
8
@STET
STETL 83-91
−19.5
10
@FGCU
FGCUW 84-77
+9.5
15
vsBELL
BELLW 81-71
−1.5
17
vsAPSU
APSUW 82-78
+1.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 79-74
−10.5
23
vsFGCU
FGCUW 86-71
+9.5
29
@JAX
JAXL 65-70
−8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
+11.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
+11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
−25.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
−15.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
−6.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
−0.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+11.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
+10.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+3.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+18.5
29
@CIN
CINL 62-89
+0.5
1
vsJAX
JAXW 76-57
−14.5
3
vsUNF
UNFW 82-74
−16.5
8
@STET
STETL 83-91
+23.5
10
@FGCU
FGCUW 84-77
+3.5
15
vsBELL
BELLW 81-71
−2.5
17
vsAPSU
APSUW 82-78
+4.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 79-74
−4.5
23
vsFGCU
FGCUW 86-71
+3.5
29
@JAX
JAXL 65-70
−7.5
over 11under 9avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Florida
20 games played
Straight up
3-17
15% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-7
65% overs · avg +8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ FLA | L 64-104 | +43.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ TENN | L 66-99 | +41.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 19 | @ WOF | L 78-86 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs USM | L 83-92 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 23 | vs PV | L 82-85 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 2 | vs SIUE | L 63-72 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ GONZ | L 58-109 | +42.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 13 | @ DAY | L 61-84 | +30.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 18 | @ CHSO | L 90-113 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 203 |
| Dec 21 | @ MIA | L 67-105 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 171.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 28 | vs COLU | L 82-90 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 1 | @APSU | L 83-102 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 3 | @LIP | L 74-82 | +18.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 8 | vs WGA | L 73-85 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs QUC | L 82-89 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 15 | @ UNA | W 105-91 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 157.5 | O 196 |
| Jan 17 | @ CARK | L 69-98 | +12.5 | L −16.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 22 | vs EKU | W 87-85 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 24 | vsBELL | W 117-114 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | O 231 |
| Jan 29 | vsSTET | L 77-84 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@FLA
FLAL 64-104
+3.5
12
@TENN
TENNL 66-99
+8.5
19
@WOF
WOFL 78-86
+2.5
22
vsUSM
USML 83-92
+0.5
23
vsPV
PVL 82-85
+0.5
2
vsSIUE
SIUEL 63-72
−1.5
7
@GONZ
GONZL 58-109
−8.5
13
@DAY
DAYL 61-84
+7.5
18
@CHSO
CHSOL 90-113
−12.5
21
@MIA
MIAL 67-105
−0.5
28
vsCOLU
COLUL 82-90
+3.5
1
@APSU
APSUL 83-102
−3.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 74-82
+10.5
8
vsWGA
WGAL 73-85
−9.5
10
vsQUC
QUCL 82-89
+4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 105-91
+23.5
17
@CARK
CARKL 69-98
−16.5
22
vsEKU
EKUW 87-85
+10.5
24
vsBELL
BELLW 117-114
+6.5
29
vsSTET
STETL 77-84
−5.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@FLA
FLAL 64-104
−1.5
12
@TENN
TENNL 66-99
+9.5
19
@WOF
WOFL 78-86
+2.5
22
vsUSM
USML 83-92
+20.5
23
vsPV
PVL 82-85
+6.5
2
vsSIUE
SIUEL 63-72
−18.5
7
@GONZ
GONZL 58-109
+0.5
13
@DAY
DAYL 61-84
−14.5
18
@CHSO
CHSOL 90-113
+39.5
21
@MIA
MIAL 67-105
+0.5
28
vsCOLU
COLUL 82-90
+9.5
1
@APSU
APSUL 83-102
+22.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 74-82
−16.5
8
vsWGA
WGAL 73-85
−6.5
10
vsQUC
QUCL 82-89
−2.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 105-91
+38.5
17
@CARK
CARKL 69-98
+2.5
22
vsEKU
EKUW 87-85
+5.5
24
vsBELL
BELLW 117-114
+66.5
29
vsSTET
STETL 77-84
−4.5
over 13under 7avg +8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lipscomb
12-8 overall · 7-2 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Jacksonville65–70
- Wvs FGCU86–71
- Wvs Stetson79–74
- Wvs Austin Peay82–78
- Wvs Bellarmine81–71
2 days since their last game.
North Florida
3-17 overall · 3-6 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Stetson77–84
- Wvs Bellarmine117–114
- Wvs E Kentucky87–85
- L@ C Arkansas69–98
- W@ North Alabama105–91
2 days since their last game.