UNF Arena · at North Florida · Conference game
Closing line
WGA -2.5✓ WGA covered by 9.5
WGA -2.5✓ WGA covered by 9.5Closing total164.5Under by 6.5
| WGA | This season | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | Record | 0-13 |
| 9-3 | ATS | 8-5 |
| 7-5 | O/U | 9-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WGA 85–83 UNF · ✓ WGA (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WGA | 46 | 39 | 85 |
| UNF | 36 | 37 | 73 |
1st half: WGA 46, UNF 36 (WGA by 10). The model had WGA by 1.4 and a total of 78.4 (actual 82).
Team stats
| WGA | UNF | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-62 48% | Field goals | 28-63 44% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 9-33 27% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 8-11 73% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 32 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| WGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelton Williams-Dryden F | 36 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 11-19 | 0-2 |
| Malcolm Noel G | 35 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 6-9 | 5-7 |
| Kolten Griffin F | 27 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Kenneth Chime PF | 23 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Brady Hardewig G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith G | 30 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 6-16 | 3-8 |
| JaVar Daniel F | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Matija Zuzic G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Xavier Shegog F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maddox Fowles, Chas Lewless, Cameron Merritt, Max Young, Eric Baldassarre, Micah Smith, Nate Jones
| UNF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamrin Oriol G | 38 | 28 | 1 | 4 | 10-19 | 2-9 |
| Mason Lee G | 35 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| BJ Plummer G | 32 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Kent Jackson G | 29 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-7 |
| Nestor Dyachok F | 19 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dalton Gayman F | 23 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 7-11 | 2-2 |
| Dante Oliver G | 21 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Gabe Jacobs G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Watkins, Trey Cady, Alex Vargo, Arden Begaj, Taylor Thompson, Devin Hines
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWGA -2.5
ModelWGA -2.2
Model edgeUNF +0.3
L WGA covered
Total
Market164.5
Model167.6
Model edgeOver 3.1
L Under
Projected score
WGA 84.9 · UNF 82.7
WGA 85 · UNF 73
Win probability
WGA 58%
1st half
Spread
WGA -1.4
WGA -10.0
Total
78.4
82 points
Projected score
WGA 39.9 · UNF 38.5
WGA 46 · UNF 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWGA -2.5
no move
CloseWGA -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open167.5
▼ 3
Close164.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
WGA -155 · UNF +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WGA -2.5 · unchangedmodel WGA -2
model WGA -2
Opened 167.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 3 downmodel 167.5
model 167.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WGA | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% |
| UNF | 0-10 0% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WGA 1–0 UNFWGA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WGA 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | UNF 72 @ WGA 92 | WGA +7.5 | WGA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
West Georgia
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
9-3
75% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NEB | L 53-86 | +24.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 10 | @ UCLA | L 62-83 | +30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs CIT | W 100-92 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 17 | @ TNTC | W 61-59 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 21 | vs UPST | W 72-64 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 23 | @ GT | L 66-82 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 1 | @ TROY | W 93-89 | +17.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 6 | vsTNTC | L 59-87 | -1.5 | L −29.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs GASO | L 85-91 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 22 | @ UGA | L 74-103 | +36.5 | W +7.5 | 173.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 1 | vs BELL | W 87-85 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | vs EKU | W 88-76 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NEB
NEBL 53-86
−8.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-83
+9.5
14
vsCIT
CITW 100-92
+1.5
17
@TNTC
TNTCW 61-59
+6.5
21
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-64
+5.5
23
@GT
GTL 66-82
+2.5
1
@TROY
TROYW 93-89
+21.5
6
vsTNTC
TNTCL 59-87
−29.5
13
vsGASO
GASOL 85-91
−2.5
22
@UGA
UGAL 74-103
+7.5
1
vsBELL
BELLW 87-85
+3.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 88-76
+13.5
covered 9didn’t cover 3avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NEB
NEBL 53-86
−14.5
10
@UCLA
UCLAL 62-83
−1.5
14
vsCIT
CITW 100-92
+41.5
17
@TNTC
TNTCW 61-59
−32.5
21
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-64
−17.5
23
@GT
GTL 66-82
+3.5
1
@TROY
TROYW 93-89
+31.5
6
vsTNTC
TNTCL 59-87
−4.5
13
vsGASO
GASOL 85-91
+21.5
22
@UGA
UGAL 74-103
+3.5
1
vsBELL
BELLW 87-85
+20.5
3
vsEKU
EKUW 88-76
+7.5
over 7under 5avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Florida
13 games played
Straight up
0-13
0% wins
Against the spread
8-5
62% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-4
69% overs · avg +4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ FLA | L 64-104 | +43.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ TENN | L 66-99 | +41.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 19 | @ WOF | L 78-86 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs USM | L 83-92 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 23 | vs PV | L 82-85 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 2 | vs SIUE | L 63-72 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ GONZ | L 58-109 | +42.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 13 | @ DAY | L 61-84 | +30.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 18 | @ CHSO | L 90-113 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 203 |
| Dec 21 | @ MIA | L 67-105 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 171.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 28 | vs COLU | L 82-90 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 1 | @ APSU | L 83-102 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 3 | @ LIP | L 74-82 | +18.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@FLA
FLAL 64-104
+3.5
12
@TENN
TENNL 66-99
+8.5
19
@WOF
WOFL 78-86
+2.5
22
vsUSM
USML 83-92
+0.5
23
vsPV
PVL 82-85
+0.5
2
vsSIUE
SIUEL 63-72
−1.5
7
@GONZ
GONZL 58-109
−8.5
13
@DAY
DAYL 61-84
+7.5
18
@CHSO
CHSOL 90-113
−12.5
21
@MIA
MIAL 67-105
−0.5
28
vsCOLU
COLUL 82-90
+3.5
1
@APSU
APSUL 83-102
−3.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 74-82
+10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 5avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@FLA
FLAL 64-104
−1.5
12
@TENN
TENNL 66-99
+9.5
19
@WOF
WOFL 78-86
+2.5
22
vsUSM
USML 83-92
+20.5
23
vsPV
PVL 82-85
+6.5
2
vsSIUE
SIUEL 63-72
−18.5
7
@GONZ
GONZL 58-109
+0.5
13
@DAY
DAYL 61-84
−14.5
18
@CHSO
CHSOL 90-113
+39.5
21
@MIA
MIAL 67-105
+0.5
28
vsCOLU
COLUL 82-90
+9.5
1
@APSU
APSUL 83-102
+22.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 74-82
−16.5
over 9under 4avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
West Georgia
6-6 overall · 2-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Kentucky88–76
- Wvs Bellarmine87–85
- L@ Georgia74–103
- Lvs GA Southern85–91
- Lvs Tennessee Tech59–87
5 days since their last game.
North Florida
0-13 overall · 0-2 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Lipscomb74–82
- L@ Austin Peay83–102
- Lvs Columbia82–90
- L@ Miami67–105
- L@ Charleston So90–113
5 days since their last game.