Imperial Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
VAN -4.5✓ VAN covered by 20.5
VAN -4.5✓ VAN covered by 20.5Closing total149.5Over by 17.5
 SMC | This season | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 7-0 | Record | 7-0 |
| 5-2 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 5-2 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMC 75–79 VAN · ✓ VAN (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMC | 34 | 37 | 71 |
| VAN | 51 | 45 | 96 |
1st half: SMC 34, VAN 51 (VAN by 17). The model had VAN by 2.1 and a total of 72.0 (actual 85).
Team stats
| SMC | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-52 44% | Field goals | 35-67 52% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 18-20 90% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| SMC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulius Murauskas F | 36 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 6-13 | 1-6 |
| Joshua Dent G | 32 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Mikey Lewis G | 31 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 5-12 | 4-7 |
| Andrew McKeever C | 27 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Rory Hawke G | 24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dillan Shaw G | 20 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Harry Wessels C | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Liam Campbell G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tony Duckett G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Cade Bennett G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mantas Juzenas G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Oliver Faubert, Kevin Gad, Jazz Gardner, Trent MacLean
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 30 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Duke Miles G | 30 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 9-16 | 1-2 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 30 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| AK Okereke F | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 18 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Washington F | 25 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 7-11 | 2-4 |
| Frankie Collins G | 20 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Chandler Bing F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Tyler Harris F | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Mason Nicholson C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaylon Dean-Vines G | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Coleson Messer G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Miles Keeffe G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: George Kimble III, Mike James
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAN -4.5
ModelVAN -3.8
Model edgeSMC +0.7
L VAN covered
Total
Market149.5
Model153.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
W Over
Projected score
SMC 75.1 · VAN 78.8
SMC 71 · VAN 96
Win probability
VAN 63%
1st half
Spread
VAN -2.1
VAN -17.0
Total
72.0
85 points
Projected score
SMC 35 · VAN 37.1
SMC 34 · VAN 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -4.5
no move
CloseVAN -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▼ 2
Close149.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SMC +154 · VAN -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -4.5 · unchangedmodel VAN -4
model VAN -4
Opened 151.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 2 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMClast 7 | 7-0 100% | 5-2 71% | 5-2 71% |
| VANlast 7 | 7-0 100% | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMC 2–0 VANSMC leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · SMC has won the last 2 meetings · SMC 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024-25 | VAN 56 vs SMC 59 | SMC -4.5 | VAN W |
| Nov 23, 2022-23 | SMC 75 vs VAN 65 | VAN +7.5 | SMC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Mary's
7 games played
Straight up
7-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs STMN | W 84-58 | -13.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTC | W 87-66 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 11 | vs OHIO | W 90-60 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UNT | W 80-49 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs ARST | W 85-72 | -20.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 26 | vs WICH | W 70-65 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 27 | vs VT | W 77-66 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+12.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+5.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+16.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
−7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
+5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 84-58
+0.5
7
vsUTC
UTCW 87-66
+7.5
11
vsOHIO
OHIOW 90-60
+5.5
14
vsUNT
UNTW 80-49
+0.5
19
vsARST
ARSTW 85-72
+7.5
26
vsWICH
WICHW 70-65
−4.5
27
vsVT
VTW 77-66
−1.5
over 5under 2avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Vanderbilt
7 games played
Straight up
7-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
over 5under 2avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Mary's
7-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Virginia Tech77–66
- Wvs Wichita St70–65
- Wvs Arkansas St85–72
- Wvs North Texas80–49
- Wvs Ohio90–60
1 day since their last game.
Vanderbilt
7-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs VCU89–74
- Wvs Western KY83–78
- Wvs Texas Southern109–74
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff104–75
- Wvs E Kentucky92–62
1 day since their last game.