Raider Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
LSU -11.5✓ DRKE covered by 2.5
LSU -11.5✓ DRKE covered by 2.5Closing total151.5Under by 18.5
| LSU | This season | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| 5-0 | Record | 2-2 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 4-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LSU 85–70 DRKE · ✓ LSU (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 38 | 33 | 71 |
| DRKE | 24 | 38 | 62 |
1st half: LSU 38, DRKE 24 (LSU by 14). The model had LSU by 9.2 and a total of 72.2 (actual 62).
Team stats
| LSU | DRKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-56 46% | Field goals | 22-61 36% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 8-30 27% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 10-13 77% |
| 41 5 off | Rebounds | 34 6 off |
| 16 | Assists | 15 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. G | 33 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 6-14 | 2-6 |
| Max Mackinnon G | 29 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 27 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 22 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 21 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rashad King G | 20 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Jalen Reed F | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Robert Miller III F | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| PJ Carter G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Jalen Reece G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jaden Bobbett, Matt Gilhool, Ron Zipper, Mazi Mosley
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Alia G | 36 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jalen Quinn G | 27 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-3 |
| Wilguens Jr. Exacte F | 26 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 25 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-6 |
| Okku Federiko F | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Appelhans G | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 22 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Isaiah Carr F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Owen Larson, LJ Rush, Bryson Bahl, Heri Bukinga
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLSU -11.5
ModelLSU -15.0
Model edgeLSU +3.5
L DRKE covered
Total
Market151.5
Model154.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
L Under
Projected score
LSU 84.6 · DRKE 69.5
LSU 71 · DRKE 62
Win probability
LSU 91%
1st half
Spread
LSU -9.2
LSU -14.0
Total
72.2
62 points
Projected score
LSU 40.7 · DRKE 31.5
LSU 38 · DRKE 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLSU -11.5
no move
CloseLSU -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
no move
Close151.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
LSU -900 · DRKE +600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LSU -11.5 · unchangedmodel LSU -15
model LSU -15
Opened 151.5 · unchangedmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSUlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% |
| DRKElast 4 | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +11.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
TAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vs
NOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vs
FIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vs
ALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vs
OMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
over 4under 1avg +11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Drake
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vs
RMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vs
SIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@
COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
over 2under 2avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Omaha99–73
- Wvs Alcorn St107–81
- Wvs FIU98–81
- Wvs LSU N Orleans93–58
- Wvs Tarleton St96–60
A week or more of rest.
Drake
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Charleston71–62
- Lvs SIUE59–61
- Lvs Robert Morris79–81
- Wvs N Arizona77–71
A week or more of rest.