Mizzou Arena · at Missouri
Closing line
MIZ -31.5✓ CLE covered by 4.5
MIZ -31.5✓ CLE covered by 4.5Closing total170.5Under by 25.5
 CLE | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 7-0 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 5-1 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLE 71–97 MIZ · ✓ MIZ (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 24 | 35 | 59 |
| MIZ | 46 | 40 | 86 |
1st half: CLE 24, MIZ 46 (MIZ by 22). The model had MIZ by 15.5 and a total of 78.8 (actual 70).
Team stats
| CLE | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-57 37% | Field goals | 32-67 48% |
| 11-29 38% | 3-pointers | 11-38 29% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 26 9 off | Rebounds | 47 18 off |
| 12 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| CLE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaidon Lipscomb G | 30 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Dayan Nessah G | 29 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-1 |
| Preist Ryan F | 26 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| David Giddens G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| Holden Pierre-Louis F | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chevalier Emery G | 27 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Foster Wonders G | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Lucas Burton F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kevo St. Hilaire F | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Manny Hill G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kamari Jones, Josiah Harris, Tre Beard, Waqo Tessema, Ivan Spirov
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 30 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 29 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Sebastian Mack G | 25 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Jevon Porter F | 18 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 16 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Crews G | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 7-15 | 4-10 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Annor Boateng G | 14 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Luke Northweather F | 14 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Trent Burns C | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jayden Stone, Aaron Rowe, Trent Pierce
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIZ -31.5
ModelMIZ -25.9
Model edgeCLE +5.6
W CLE covered
Total
Market170.5
Model168.3
Model edgeUnder 2.2
W Under
Projected score
CLE 71.2 · MIZ 97.1
CLE 59 · MIZ 86
Win probability
MIZ 99%
1st half
Spread
MIZ -15.5
MIZ -22.0
Total
78.8
70 points
Projected score
CLE 31.6 · MIZ 47.1
CLE 24 · MIZ 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIZ -31.5
no move
CloseMIZ -31.5
No change since the open
Total
Open170.5
no move
Close170.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CLE +2000 · MIZ -6500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIZ -31.5 · unchangedmodel MIZ -26
model MIZ -26
Opened 170.5 · unchangedmodel 168.5
model 168.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLElast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 5-1 83% |
| MIZlast 7 | 7-0 100% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cleveland St
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-1
83% overs · avg +13.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
LUC
LUCL 88-91
+14.5
10
@
NU
NUL 63-110
−23.5
15
vs
KENT
KENTL 95-102
+4.5
16
vs
RAD
RADW 87-82
+13.5
19
vs
VAL
VALL 75-90
−17.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@LUC
LUCL 88-91
+27.5
10
@NU
NUL 63-110
+21.5
15
vsKENT
KENTL 95-102
+31.5
16
vsRAD
RADW 87-82
+6.5
19
vsVAL
VALL 75-90
+6.5
22
@KENT
KENTL 71-91
−10.5
over 5under 1avg +13.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
7 games played
Straight up
7-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
over 3under 4avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cleveland St
1-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kent State71–91
- Lvs Valparaiso75–90
- Wvs Radford87–82
- Lvs Kent State95–102
- L@ Northwestern63–110
6 days since their last game.
Missouri
7-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SC State98–66
- Wvs South Dakota102–68
- Wvs Prairie View91–73
- Wvs Minnesota83–60
- Wvs VMI106–68
3 days since their last game.