Cadence Bank Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
MISS -20.5✓ AAMU covered by 6.5
MISS -20.5✓ AAMU covered by 6.5Closing total135.5Over by 10.5
 AAMU | This season | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 6-4 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 2-8 |
| 3-5 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AAMU 60–80 MISS · ✓ MISS (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAMU | 29 | 37 | 66 |
| MISS | 44 | 36 | 80 |
1st half: AAMU 29, MISS 44 (MISS by 15). The model had MISS by 11.7 and a total of 65.3 (actual 73).
Team stats
| AAMU | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-51 43% | Field goals | 27-50 54% |
| 9-18 50% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 18-30 60% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 33 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 19 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 24 | Fouls | 18 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| AAMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koron Davis G | 36 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-16 | 2-6 |
| Kintavious Dozier G | 34 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 6-13 | 3-3 |
| Sami Pissis G | 34 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 5-10 | 3-5 |
| Angok Anyang F | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| James Flippin F | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gabe Kincy G | 23 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Samuel Onu F | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Lou Hutchinson III G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bilal Abdur-Rahman G | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tajden Davis, Isaiah Ramey, Jayden Jackson, Jalen Carruth, Peyton Daniels Sr., PJ Eason, James Graham III
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 33 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Malik Dia F | 32 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 9-19 | 3-5 |
| AJ Storr G | 32 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Corey Chest F | 23 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Travis Perry G | 22 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kezza Giffa G | 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| James Scott F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Koren Johnson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hobert Grayson IV, Zach Day, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Tylis Jordan
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMISS -20.5
ModelMISS -19.6
Model edgeAAMU +0.9
W AAMU covered
Total
Market135.5
Model139.4
Model edgeOver 3.9
W Over
Projected score
AAMU 59.9 · MISS 79.5
AAMU 66 · MISS 80
Win probability
MISS 96%
1st half
Spread
MISS -11.7
MISS -15.0
Total
65.3
73 points
Projected score
AAMU 26.8 · MISS 38.5
AAMU 29 · MISS 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMISS -19.5
1 → MISS
CloseMISS -20.5
1 pt toward MISS
Total
Open135.5
no move
Close135.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
AAMU +2000 · MISS -6500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MISS -19.5 · closed MISS -20.5 · moved 1 toward MISSmodel MISS -19.5
model MISS -19.5
Opened 135.5 · unchangedmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAMUlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 5-3 63% | 3-5 38% |
| MISS | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama A&M
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ IU | L 51-98 | +30.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 13 | vs CHSO | W 68-64 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 16 | vs LIN | W 74-65 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 28 | @ CLEM | L 56-92 | +27.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ CCU | L 60-67 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | vs TNST | W 80-53 | +4.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | @ LIP | L 58-92 | +11.5 | L −22.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 15 | vs UNA | W 68-60 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@IU
IUL 51-98
−16.5
13
vsCHSO
CHSOW 68-64
+2.5
16
vsLIN
LINW 74-65
+5.5
28
@CLEM
CLEML 56-92
−8.5
30
@CCU
CCUL 60-67
+0.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTW 80-53
+31.5
7
@LIP
LIPL 58-92
−22.5
15
vsUNA
UNAW 68-60
+12.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@IU
IUL 51-98
+1.5
13
vsCHSO
CHSOW 68-64
−20.5
16
vsLIN
LINW 74-65
−10.5
28
@CLEM
CLEML 56-92
+6.5
30
@CCU
CCUL 60-67
−13.5
3
vsTNST
TNSTW 80-53
−14.5
7
@LIP
LIPL 58-92
+3.5
15
vsUNA
UNAW 68-60
−12.5
over 3under 5avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ole Miss
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
2-8
20% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
covered 2didn’t cover 8avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
over 6under 4avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama A&M
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Alabama68–60
- L@ Lipscomb58–92
- Wvs Tennessee St80–53
- L@ Coastal60–67
- L@ Clemson56–92
2 days since their last game.
Ole Miss
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern Miss71–67
- L@ St John's58–63
- Lvs Miami66–75
- Lvs Utah74–75
- Lvs Iowa69–74
4 days since their last game.