Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · at CA Baptist
Closing line
CBU -12.5✓ SOU covered by 4.5
CBU -12.5✓ SOU covered by 4.5Closing total155.5Under by 13.5
 SOU | This season | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 8-3 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 6-5 |
| 6-1 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SOU 72–83 CBU · ✓ CBU (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOU | 32 | 35 | 67 |
| CBU | 34 | 41 | 75 |
1st half: SOU 32, CBU 34 (CBU by 2). The model had CBU by 6.1 and a total of 72.6 (actual 66).
Team stats
| SOU | CBU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-58 38% | Field goals | 22-60 37% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 10-33 30% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 21-26 81% |
| 39 12 off | Rebounds | 40 14 off |
| 6 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| SOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Amboree G | 34 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 6-16 | 5-10 |
| Brandon Hardy G | 29 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Joe Manning G | 24 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-4 |
| DaMariee Jones F | 21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Lionel Bell C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fazl Oshodi G | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| AJ Barnes F | 22 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-4 |
| Terrance Dixon Jr. F | 21 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Malek Abdelgowad F | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Puoch Dobuol F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ashton Magee G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Femi Olaniyan, Trey Shephard, Rondae Hill, Andre Nunley, Jayce Depron, Michael Jacobs, Keith Lamar
| CBU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. G | 40 | 30 | 6 | 6 | 10-21 | 4-10 |
| Martel Williams G | 37 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-6 |
| Jordan Muller G | 33 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2-13 | 2-8 |
| Thomas Ndong F | 29 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Devon Malcolm G | 23 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bradey Henige F | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Jackson G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Rene D'Amelio F | 9 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Monty Bowser G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Chase Mayo Harmon, Nate Garcia, OJ Blankson, Miles Daniels, Jalen Dollar, Mouhamadou Dioum, Jonathan Griman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCBU -12.5
ModelCBU -10.3
Model edgeSOU +2.2
W SOU covered
Total
Market155.5
Model155.1
Model edgeUnder 0.4
W Under
Projected score
SOU 72.4 · CBU 82.7
SOU 67 · CBU 75
Win probability
CBU 82%
1st half
Spread
CBU -6.1
CBU -2.0
Total
72.6
66 points
Projected score
SOU 33.2 · CBU 39.3
SOU 32 · CBU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCBU -10.5
2 → CBU
CloseCBU -12.5
2 pts toward CBU
Total
Open154.5
▲ 1
Close155.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SOU +625 · CBU -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CBU -10.5 · closed CBU -12.5 · moved 2 toward CBUmodel CBU -10.5
model CBU -10.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOUlast 7 | 1-6 14% | 3-4 43% | 6-1 86% |
| CBU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-1
86% overs · avg +18.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
ARK
ARKL 77-109
−5.5
5
@
MARQ
MARQL 82-100
+6.5
18
@
WASH
WASHL 93-99
+17.5
21
@
SJSU
SJSUL 66-80
−8.5
29
@
NWST
NWSTW 75-73
−1.5
8
@
TEX
TEXL 69-95
−3.5
10
@
TXST
TXSTL 83-86
+0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ARK
ARKL 77-109
+35.5
5
@MARQ
MARQL 82-100
+26.5
18
@WASH
WASHL 93-99
+34.5
21
@SJSU
SJSUL 66-80
−4.5
29
@NWST
NWSTW 75-73
+3.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 69-95
+5.5
10
@TXST
TXSTL 83-86
+26.5
over 6under 1avg +18.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
CA Baptist
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UPST | W 87-75 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | @ UCI | W 69-61 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs WIU | W 69-59 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCR | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | vs GRAM | W 72-59 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 25 | vs USD | W 76-61 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 29 | @ ORST | W 75-69 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 1 | @ COLO | L 70-78 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ BYU | L 60-91 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | @ UTAH | L 85-91 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 12 | @ EWU | W 88-83 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUPST
UPSTW 87-75
−2.5
7
@UCI
UCIW 69-61
+16.5
14
vsWIU
WIUW 69-59
−5.5
18
vsUCR
UCRW 80-57
+10.5
21
vsGRAM
GRAMW 72-59
−1.5
25
vsUSD
USDW 76-61
+7.5
29
@ORST
ORSTW 75-69
+7.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
+5.5
3
@BYU
BYUL 60-91
−12.5
6
@UTAH
UTAHL 85-91
−0.5
12
@EWU
EWUW 88-83
+1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUPST
UPSTW 87-75
+9.5
7
@UCI
UCIW 69-61
−17.5
14
vsWIU
WIUW 69-59
−12.5
18
vsUCR
UCRW 80-57
−5.5
21
vsGRAM
GRAMW 72-59
−13.5
25
vsUSD
USDW 76-61
−9.5
29
@ORST
ORSTW 75-69
+6.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
−2.5
3
@BYU
BYUL 60-91
−2.5
6
@UTAH
UTAHL 85-91
+30.5
12
@EWU
EWUW 88-83
+17.5
over 4under 7avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas St83–86
- L@ Texas69–95
- W@ N'Western St75–73
- L@ San José St66–80
- L@ Washington93–99
6 days since their last game.
CA Baptist
8-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ E Washington88–83
- L@ Utah85–91
- L@ BYU60–91
- L@ Colorado70–78
- W@ Oregon St75–69
4 days since their last game.