Siegel Center · at VCU
Closing line
VCU -8.5✓ UNM covered by 11.5
VCU -8.5✓ UNM covered by 11.5Closing total157.5Over by 1.5
 UNM | This season | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 6-3 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 6-3 |
| 6-2 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNM 73–80 VCU · ✗ VCU (73%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | 41 | 40 | 81 |
| VCU | 46 | 32 | 78 |
1st half: UNM 41, VCU 46 (VCU by 5). The model had VCU by 4.1 and a total of 71.5 (actual 87).
Team stats
| UNM | VCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-54 50% | Field goals | 24-62 39% |
| 8-18 44% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 19-22 86% | Free throws | 23-28 82% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 37 17 off |
| 11 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| UNM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Hall G | 32 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 9-15 | 5-7 |
| Chris Howell G | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Antonio Chol F | 27 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Tomislav Buljan F | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Deyton Albury G | 22 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Uriah Tenette G | 27 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Luke Haupt G | 20 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| JT Rock C | 18 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Kevin Patton Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kallai Patton, Milos Vicentic, Tajavis Miller, Sir Marius Jones, Timeo Pons
| VCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Evans F | 33 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Lazar Djokovic F | 32 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Brandon Jennings G | 31 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Jadrian Tracey G | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Nyk Lewis G | 26 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Belle F | 25 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Terrence Hill Jr. G | 16 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Tyrell Ward G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jordann Dumont, Obinnaya Okafor, Christian Fermin, Jordan Tillery, Ahmad Nowell
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVCU -8.5
ModelVCU -7.1
Model edgeUNM +1.4
W UNM covered
Total
Market157.5
Model152.7
Model edgeUnder 4.8
L Over
Projected score
UNM 72.8 · VCU 79.9
UNM 81 · VCU 78
Win probability
VCU 73%
1st half
Spread
VCU -4.1
VCU -5.0
Total
71.5
87 points
Projected score
UNM 33.7 · VCU 37.8
UNM 41 · VCU 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVCU -10.5
2 → UNM
CloseVCU -8.5
2 pts toward UNM
Total
Open152.5
▲ 5
Close157.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
UNM +320 · VCU -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VCU -10.5 · closed VCU -8.5 · moved 2 toward UNMmodel VCU -7
model VCU -7
Opened 152.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 5 upmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNMlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 3-5 38% | 6-2 75% |
| VCUlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 6-3 67% | 4-5 44% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNM 1–0 VCUUNM leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UNM 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | VCU 71 @ UNM 78 | UNM -3.5 | UNM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Mexico
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs ETAM | W 76-54 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTA | W 74-56 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs UCR | W 82-68 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ NMSU | L 68-76 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 20 | vs NEB | L 72-84 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs MSST | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALST | W 93-87 | -19.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | vs SCU | W 98-71 | -1.5 | W +25.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−0.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
+4.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
−5.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
−11.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
−3.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+8.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
−13.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+25.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsETAM
ETAMW 76-54
−13.5
8
vsUTA
UTAW 74-56
−15.5
11
vsUCR
UCRW 82-68
+8.5
15
@NMSU
NMSUL 68-76
+4.5
20
vsNEB
NEBL 72-84
+4.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 80-78
+6.5
26
vsALST
ALSTW 93-87
+31.5
6
vsSCU
SCUW 98-71
+15.5
over 6under 2avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
VCU
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WAG | W 103-74 | -25.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 7 | vs USU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs SPU | W 78-61 | -20.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 17 | @ NCSU | L 79-85 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs COPP | W 101-58 | -32.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 26 | vs USF | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs VAN | L 74-89 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs VT | W 86-68 | -2.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 5 | vs SAM | W 83-57 | -19.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+3.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−0.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−3.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
+5.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+10.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
+10.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
−8.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+15.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
+6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWAG
WAGW 103-74
+43.5
7
vsUSU
USUL 77-80
−6.5
12
vsSPU
SPUW 78-61
−8.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUL 79-85
−0.5
22
vsCOPP
COPPW 101-58
+7.5
26
vsUSF
USFW 78-66
−28.5
27
vsVAN
VANL 74-89
+1.5
28
vsVT
VTW 86-68
+0.5
5
vsSAM
SAMW 83-57
−14.5
over 4under 5avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Mexico
6-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Santa Clara98–71
- Wvs Alabama St93–87
- Wvs Mississippi St80–78
- Lvs Nebraska72–84
- L@ New Mexico St68–76
4 days since their last game.
VCU
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Samford83–57
- Wvs Virginia Tech86–68
- Lvs Vanderbilt74–89
- Wvs South Florida78–66
- Wvs Coppin St101–58
5 days since their last game.