Haas Pavilion · at California
Closing line
CAL -19.5✓ NWST covered by 10.5
CAL -19.5✓ NWST covered by 10.5Closing total145.5Over by 3.5
 NWST | This season | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 8-1 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 7-1 | O/U | 3-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NWST 65–85 CAL · ✓ CAL (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWST | 37 | 33 | 70 |
| CAL | 37 | 42 | 79 |
1st half: NWST 37, CAL 37 (tied). The model had CAL by 11.9 and a total of 70.5 (actual 74).
Team stats
| NWST | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-51 45% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 11-24 46% | 3-pointers | 12-26 46% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 27 5 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| NWST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Williams F | 33 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Landyn Jumawan G | 32 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Micah Thomas G | 31 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 4-11 | 3-7 |
| Izzy Miles G | 30 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 7-14 | 3-4 |
| Chris Mubiru G | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justin Redmond G | 17 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Omar Adegbola G | 16 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Moustapha Loum F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kordrick Turner F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chip Brunt, Seth Ned, CJ Larry, J.C. Riley Jr., Quentin Bolton
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dai Dai Ames G | 37 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 8-20 | 3-6 |
| John Camden F | 36 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 7-11 | 6-9 |
| Semetri Carr G | 34 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 4-7 | 2-5 |
| Lee Dort F | 33 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Chris Bell F | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nolan Dorsey G | 22 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| DeJuan Campbell G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Milos Ilic C | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Butler, Jorell Clark, BJ Fisher, Mantas Kocanas, Stephon Marbury II, Justin Pippen, Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut, Rytis Petraitis, Sammie Yeanay, Jovani Ruff
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCAL -19.5
ModelCAL -20.0
Model edgeCAL +0.5
L NWST covered
Total
Market145.5
Model150.5
Model edgeOver 5.0
W Over
Projected score
NWST 65.3 · CAL 85.3
NWST 70 · CAL 79
Win probability
CAL 96%
1st half
Spread
CAL -11.9
tied
Total
70.5
74 points
Projected score
NWST 29.3 · CAL 41.2
NWST 37 · CAL 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCAL -20.5
1 → NWST
CloseCAL -19.5
1 pt toward NWST
Total
Open147.5
▼ 2
Close145.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
NWST +1100 · CAL -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CAL -20.5 · closed CAL -19.5 · moved 1 toward NWSTmodel CAL -20
model CAL -20
Opened 147.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWSTlast 8 | 1-7 13% | 4-4 50% | 7-1 88% |
| CALlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 5-4 56% | 3-6 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NWST 0–1 CALCAL leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · NWST 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | NWST 66 @ CAL 84 | CAL -16.5 | CAL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N'Western St
8 games played
Straight up
1-7
13% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-1
88% overs · avg +8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TA&M | L 68-98 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | @ UNT | L 53-80 | +11.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNA | L 83-87 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 18 | @ SF | L 64-84 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 21 | @ GCU | L 72-85 | +18.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 29 | vs SOU | L 73-75 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | @ MCN | L 54-92 | +19.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ SELA | W 76-68 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 133.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-98
−8.5
6
@UNT
UNTL 53-80
−15.5
11
@UNA
UNAL 83-87
+2.5
18
@SF
SFL 64-84
−3.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 72-85
+5.5
29
vsSOU
SOUL 73-75
+1.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 54-92
−18.5
7
@SELA
SELAW 76-68
+15.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-98
+12.5
6
@UNT
UNTL 53-80
−4.5
11
@UNA
UNAL 83-87
+27.5
18
@SF
SFL 64-84
+4.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 72-85
+9.5
29
vsSOU
SOUL 73-75
+3.5
5
@MCN
MCNL 54-92
+6.5
7
@SELA
SELAW 76-68
+10.5
over 7under 1avg +8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
California
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CSUB | W 87-60 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 6 | vs WRST | W 77-67 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 10 | vs CSUF | W 93-65 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 13 | @ KSU | L 96-99 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 18 | vs PRES | W 67-57 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 124.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAC | W 91-67 | -21.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTAH | W 79-72 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs PAC | W 67-61 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
+11.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
+5.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+3.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+2.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+15.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−0.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−1.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
−0.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
−4.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+30.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+3.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+8.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−1.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−16.5
over 3under 6avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N'Western St
1-7 overall · 1-1 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ SE Louisiana76–68
- L@ McNeese54–92
- Lvs Southern73–75
- L@ Grand Canyon72–85
- L@ San Francisco64–84
6 days since their last game.
California
8-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Pacific67–61
- Wvs Utah79–72
- Wvs UCLA80–72
- Wvs Sacramento St91–67
- Wvs Presbyterian67–57
A week or more of rest.