Haas Pavilion · at California
Closing line
CAL -10.5✓ PRES covered by 0.5
CAL -10.5✓ PRES covered by 0.5Closing total124.5Under by 0.5
 PRES | This season | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 3-1 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 1-4 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PRES 65–84 CAL · ✓ CAL (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRES | 29 | 28 | 57 |
| CAL | 31 | 36 | 67 |
1st half: PRES 29, CAL 31 (CAL by 2). The model had CAL by 11.2 and a total of 69.7 (actual 60).
Team stats
| PRES | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 38% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 6-17 35% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 9-16 56% |
| 34 16 off | Rebounds | 30 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 2 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| PRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triston Wilson G | 34 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Carl Parrish G | 34 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 5-16 | 5-11 |
| Josh Pickett G | 32 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jonah Pierce F | 30 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Peterson F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Iverson King G | 25 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Chidi Chiakwelu F | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| JD Bowden G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Khalon Hudson G | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Amare Anderson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Allison, Erik Taylor, Augustine Ayelyine
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dai Dai Ames G | 34 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Justin Pippen G | 34 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Lee Dort F | 32 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Chris Bell F | 31 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| John Camden F | 30 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rytis Petraitis F | 19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Semetri Carr G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Milos Ilic C | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mantas Kocanas, Stephon Marbury II, Jovani Ruff, Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut, Sammie Yeanay, Nolan Dorsey, BJ Fisher, Jorell Clark, Luke Butler, DeJuan Campbell
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCAL -10.5
ModelCAL -18.8
Model edgeCAL +8.3
L PRES covered
Total
Market124.5
Model148.8
Model edgeOver 24.3
L Under
Projected score
PRES 65 · CAL 83.8
PRES 57 · CAL 67
Win probability
CAL 95%
1st half
Spread
CAL -11.2
CAL -2.0
Total
69.7
60 points
Projected score
PRES 29.3 · CAL 40.5
PRES 29 · CAL 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCAL -19.5
9 → PRES
CloseCAL -10.5
9 pts toward PRES
Total
Open145.5
▼ 21
Close124.5
Down 21 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CAL -19.5 · closed CAL -10.5 · moved 9 toward PRESmodel CAL -19
model CAL -19
Opened 145.5 · closed 124.5 · moved 21 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRESlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% | 1-4 20% |
| CALlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Presbyterian
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −11.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−17.5
8
vs
ETSU
ETSUW 68-64
+10.5
10
@
GAST
GASTW 63-61
+5.5
12
@
SC
SCL 61-81
−3.5
16
@
SAC
SACL 62-64
+4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−10.5
8
vsETSU
ETSUW 68-64
−9.5
10
@GAST
GASTW 63-61
−17.5
12
@SC
SCL 61-81
+4.5
16
@SAC
SACL 62-64
−24.5
over 1under 4avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
California
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg +5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CSUB
CSUBW 87-60
+11.5
6
vs
WRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vs
CSUF
CSUFW 93-65
+5.5
13
@
KSU
KSUL 96-99
+3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
−0.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
−4.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+30.5
over 1under 3avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Presbyterian
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Sacramento St62–64
- L@ South Carolina61–81
- W@ Georgia St63–61
- Wvs ETSU68–64
- Lvs Navy55–76
2 days since their last game.
California
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kansas St96–99
- Wvs Fullerton93–65
- Wvs Wright St77–67
- Wvs Bakersfield87–60
5 days since their last game.