Chaifetz Arena · at Saint Louis
Closing line
SLU -12.5✓ SF covered by 2.5
SLU -12.5✓ SF covered by 2.5Closing total155.5Over by 4.5
 SF | This season | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 8-1 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 6-3 |
| 3-6 | O/U | 5-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SF 71–82 SLU · ✓ SLU (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 30 | 45 | 75 |
| SLU | 31 | 54 | 85 |
1st half: SF 30, SLU 31 (SLU by 1). The model had SLU by 6.4 and a total of 71.4 (actual 61).
Team stats
| SF | SLU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-62 40% | Field goals | 30-62 48% |
| 10-36 28% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 44 13 off |
| 11 | Assists | 20 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| SF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Riley IV G | 37 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-5 |
| Ryan Beasley G | 34 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 6-14 | 3-8 |
| Mookie Cook F | 26 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Vukasin Masic G | 22 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Guillermo Diaz-Graham F | 11 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Junjie Wang F | 28 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Veniamin Abosi F | 21 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Legend Smiley G | 19 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-9 |
| Saba Gigiberia C | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Blakely Drummond, Weilun Zhao, David Fuchs, Aidan Braccia, Ndewedo Newbury, Isa Silva
| SLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Jones G | 34 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Amari McCottry G | 31 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 6-14 | 0-3 |
| Dion Brown G | 25 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-2 |
| Robbie Avila C | 24 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Trey Green G | 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ishan Sharma F | 24 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Kellen Thames G | 19 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Brady Dunlap F | 18 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Paul Otieno F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Laczkowski, Cam Hutson, Jaden Schertz, Badara Diakite, Jax Kerr, Isaac Holmes, Kalu Anya, Dylan Warlick
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSLU -12.5
ModelSLU -10.8
Model edgeSF +1.7
W SF covered
Total
Market155.5
Model152.5
Model edgeUnder 3.0
L Over
Projected score
SF 70.8 · SLU 81.7
SF 75 · SLU 85
Win probability
SLU 83%
1st half
Spread
SLU -6.4
SLU -1.0
Total
71.4
61 points
Projected score
SF 32.5 · SLU 38.9
SF 30 · SLU 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSLU -10.5
2 → SLU
CloseSLU -12.5
2 pts toward SLU
Total
Open148.5
▲ 7
Close155.5
Up 7 since the open
Moneyline
SF +600 · SLU -900
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SLU -10.5 · closed SLU -12.5 · moved 2 toward SLUmodel SLU -11
model SLU -11
Opened 148.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 7 upmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% | 3-6 33% |
| SLUlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 6-3 67% | 5-4 56% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SF 1–0 SLUSF leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SF 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024-25 | SLU 61 @ SF 78 | SF -8.5 | SF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Francisco
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ MEM | L 70-76 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRST | W 80-70 | -13.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs BRAD | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs NWST | W 84-64 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs MINN | W 77-65 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs COLO | L 69-79 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs NEV | L 65-81 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNA | L 63-65 | -16.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 7 | vs MSST | W 65-62 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−3.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−3.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
+1.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+3.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+13.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−11.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
−21.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−18.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
+7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@MEM
MEML 70-76
−11.5
12
vsPRST
PRSTW 80-70
−4.5
15
vsBRAD
BRADW 75-64
−7.5
18
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-64
+4.5
22
vsMINN
MINNW 77-65
+1.5
27
vsCOLO
COLOL 69-79
−2.5
28
vsNEV
NEVL 65-81
+3.5
3
vsUNA
UNAL 63-65
−17.5
7
vsMSST
MSSTW 65-62
−23.5
over 3under 6avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Louis
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +6.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SEMO | W 92-67 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 6 | vs CHST | W 108-86 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 10 | vs LIN | W 109-66 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | vs GCU | W 78-64 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs PFW | W 91-60 | -19.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 27 | vs SCU | W 71-70 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs STAN | L 77-78 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 2 | @ LMU | W 91-70 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 7 | vs CMU | W 107-65 | -24.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
−8.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+18.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
+5.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
+11.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−0.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−2.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+13.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+17.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
+38.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+9.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
−25.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
−15.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−17.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−5.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+10.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+11.5
over 5under 4avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Francisco
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mississippi St65–62
- Lvs North Alabama63–65
- Lvs Nevada65–81
- Lvs Colorado69–79
- Wvs Minnesota77–65
6 days since their last game.
Saint Louis
8-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Michigan107–65
- W@ LMU91–70
- Lvs Stanford77–78
- Wvs Santa Clara71–70
- Wvs Purdue FW91–60
6 days since their last game.