Legacy Arena at BJCC · Neutral site
Closing line
ARIZ -2.5✓ ARIZ covered by 18.5
ARIZ -2.5✓ ARIZ covered by 18.5Closing total178.5Under by 7.5
| ARIZ | This season | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| 8-0 | Record | 7-2 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 5-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARIZ 88–88 ALA · ✗ ALA (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 39 | 57 | 96 |
| ALA | 41 | 34 | 75 |
1st half: ARIZ 39, ALA 41 (ALA by 2). The model had ALA by 0.1 and a total of 82.0 (actual 80).
Team stats
| ARIZ | ALA | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-84 43% | Field goals | 25-56 45% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 12-32 38% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 52 22 off | Rebounds | 32 3 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 10 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 15 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Burries G | 34 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 11-19 | 5-10 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 31 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 29 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 5-16 | 1-2 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 24 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Koa Peat F | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tobe Awaka F | 23 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 19 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-13 | 2-7 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Addison Arnold G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sven Djopmo G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Sidi Gueye C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Evan Nelson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mabil Mawut, Jackson Francois, Jackson Cook, Bryce James
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 34 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 7-16 | 3-6 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 26 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 25 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 8-12 | 3-6 |
| Aden Holloway G | 21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Houston Mallette G | 24 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Amari Allen G | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Keitenn Bristow F | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Noah Williamson C | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| London Jemison F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jacob Martin, Klark James, Jack Fagan, Collins Onyejiaka, Davion Hannah, Preston Murphy Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARIZ -2.5
ModelALA -0.3
Model edgeALA +2.9
L ARIZ covered
Total
Market178.5
Model175.4
Model edgeUnder 3.1
W Under
Projected score
ARIZ 87.5 · ALA 87.9
ARIZ 96 · ALA 75
Win probability
ALA 51%
1st half
Spread
ALA -0.1
ALA -2.0
Total
82.0
80 points
Projected score
ARIZ 41 · ALA 41
ARIZ 39 · ALA 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -1.5
1 → ARIZ
CloseARIZ -2.5
1 pt toward ARIZ
Total
Open174.5
▲ 4
Close178.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
ARIZ -170 · ALA +142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -1.5 · closed ARIZ -2.5 · moved 1 toward ARIZmodel ALA -0.5
model ALA -0.5
Opened 174.5 · closed 178.5 · moved 4 upmodel 175.5
model 175.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZlast 8 | 8-0 100% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% |
| ALAlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 5-4 56% | 5-4 56% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ARIZ 1–0 ALAARIZ leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ARIZ 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2023-24 | ALA 74 vs ARIZ 87 | ARIZ -7.5 | ARIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona
8 games played
Straight up
8-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FLA | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTU | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAU | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCLA | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ CONN | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs DEN | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs NORF | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs AUB | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+17.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+2.5
over 4under 4avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
over 5under 4avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona
8-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Auburn97–68
- Wvs Norfolk St98–61
- Wvs Denver103–73
- W@ UConn71–67
- Wvs UCLA69–65
A week or more of rest.
Alabama
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTSA97–55
- Wvs Clemson90–84
- Wvs Maryland105–72
- Wvs UNLV115–76
- Lvs Gonzaga85–95
6 days since their last game.