Bren Events Center · at UC Irvine · Conference game
Closing line
UCI -7.5✓ UCI covered by 6.5
UCI -7.5✓ UCI covered by 6.5Closing total152.5Over by 3.5
 CSUN | This season | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 4-4 |
| 3-4 | ATS | 2-6 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 2-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUN 69–79 UCI · ✓ UCI (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 41 | 30 | 71 |
| UCI | 37 | 48 | 85 |
1st half: CSUN 41, UCI 37 (CSUN by 4). The model had UCI by 6.3 and a total of 69.1 (actual 78).
Team stats
| CSUN | UCI | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-66 39% | Field goals | 31-63 49% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 9-19 47% |
| 11-18 61% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 47 15 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 6 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Brinson G | 38 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Josiah Davis G | 38 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 5-13 | 0-1 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 33 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Larry Hughes II G | 29 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 6-16 | 4-6 |
| Davius Loury F | 18 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Grady Lewis F | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Aleks Szymczyk C | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Omer Dahan, Max Rehl, Greg Gazarian, Robert Thibiant, Jalen Barbee, Joseph Barrio, Quinton Webb, Joshua O'Garro
| UCI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Evans F | 34 | 12 | 16 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Derin Saran G | 32 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7-15 | 2-4 |
| Tama Isaac G | 29 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4-5 | 3-3 |
| Jurian Dixon G | 24 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2-12 | 0-5 |
| Elijah Chol F | 18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andre Henry G | 21 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Jovan Jester Jr. G | 17 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Harrison Carrington F | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Akiva McBirney-Griffin F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nes Emeneke C | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Palmer, Bryce Goldman, Luke Isaak, Mason Hodges, Tishan Ahir, Torian Lee, Ben Egbo, Langston Redfield
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCI -7.5
ModelUCI -10.6
Model edgeUCI +3.1
W UCI covered
Total
Market152.5
Model147.5
Model edgeUnder 5.0
L Over
Projected score
CSUN 68.5 · UCI 79.1
CSUN 71 · UCI 85
Win probability
UCI 82%
1st half
Spread
UCI -6.3
CSUN -4.0
Total
69.1
78 points
Projected score
CSUN 31.4 · UCI 37.7
CSUN 41 · UCI 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCI -10.5
3 → CSUN
CloseUCI -7.5
3 pts toward CSUN
Total
Open147.5
▲ 5
Close152.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
CSUN +310 · UCI -395
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCI -10.5 · closed UCI -7.5 · moved 3 toward CSUNmodel UCI -10.5
model UCI -10.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 5 upmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUNlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% | 3-4 43% |
| UCIlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 2-6 25% | 2-6 25% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
CSUN 1–6 UCIUCI leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · CSUN 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | CSUN 84 @ UCI 72 | UCI -6.5 | CSUN W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | UCI 77 @ CSUN 67 | CSUN +4.5 | UCI W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | UCI 89 @ CSUN 64 | CSUN +7 | UCI W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | CSUN 72 @ UCI 77 | UCI -13.5 | CSUN W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | CSUN 56 @ UCI 81 | UCI -15.5 | UCI W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
CSU Northridge
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −7.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
UNI
UNIL 57-86
−19.5
9
@
UND
UNDW 93-85
+1.5
11
@
NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
−17.5
16
vs
TROY
TROYW 94-85
+13.5
26
vs
IDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−12.5
28
vs
IDST
IDSTL 50-82
−30.5
4
vs
CSUB
CSUBW 87-66
+15.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−10.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+19.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
+1.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+21.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−17.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−16.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
−2.5
over 3under 4avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Irvine
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-6
25% overs · avg −12.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs CBU | L 61-69 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs WEB | W 79-70 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ UVU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 22 | vsUNI | L 69-70 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs NMSU | L 45-57 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 102 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDST | W 64-52 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 30 | @ SJSU | W 72-63 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 4 | vs UCR | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−16.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
−3.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−14.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
+9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
+5.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCBU
CBUL 61-69
−17.5
15
vsWEB
WEBW 79-70
−2.5
19
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+1.5
22
vsUNI
UNIL 69-70
+0.5
25
vsNMSU
NMSUL 45-57
−37.5
26
vsSDST
SDSTW 64-52
−28.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 72-63
−4.5
4
vsUCR
UCRW 73-60
−9.5
over 2under 6avg −12.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
CSU Northridge
3-4 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bakersfield87–66
- Lvs Idaho St50–82
- Lvs Idaho64–78
- Wvs Troy94–85
- L@ N Dakota St68–90
2 days since their last game.
UC Irvine
4-4 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC Riverside73–60
- W@ San José St72–63
- Wvs S Dakota St64–52
- Lvs New Mexico St45–57
- Lvs Northern Iowa69–70
2 days since their last game.