Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center · at GA Southern · Conference game
Closing line
GASO -2.5✓ GASO covered by 1.5
GASO -2.5✓ GASO covered by 1.5Closing total153.5Over by 34.5
 JMU | This season | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 7-5 |
| 3-8 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 7-4 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JMU 78–80 GASO · ✓ GASO (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 39 | 41 | 12 | 92 |
| GASO | 37 | 43 | 16 | 96 |
1st half: JMU 39, GASO 37 (JMU by 2). The model had GASO by 0.9 and a total of 73.9 (actual 76).
Team stats
| JMU | GASO | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-62 47% | Field goals | 30-68 44% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 6-26 23% |
| 28-38 74% | Free throws | 30-39 77% |
| 49 17 off | Rebounds | 33 12 off |
| 5 | Assists | 9 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 8 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 29 | Fouls | 25 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| JMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Douglas G | 42 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 9-19 | 3-8 |
| Cliff Davis G | 34 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-6 |
| Eddie Ricks III F | 29 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Justin McBride F | 28 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Gabe Newhof F | 25 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Preston Fowler F | 22 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Paul Jones III G | 21 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Christian Brown F | 17 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Paul Lewis G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Taylor G | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Wilborn F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chance Lundy, Ike Cornish, Josh Stephen, Kose Egbule
| GASO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyren Moore G | 42 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 5-14 | 0-7 |
| Spudd Webb G | 36 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 7-13 | 2-3 |
| Alden Applewhite F | 36 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Shainen Carter F | 26 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Williams G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nakavieon White F | 37 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 7-16 | 2-8 |
| Andres Burney F | 18 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Khayri Dunn G | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Tsvet Sotirov F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cade Lomas, Amare Neal, Cullen Schreiner, Sean Van Dorn Jr., Dallas Gardner, Jefferson Koulibaly, Pavle Ridesic, Dwayne Williams Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGASO -2.5
ModelGASO -1.7
Model edgeJMU +0.8
L GASO covered
Total
Market153.5
Model157.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
W Over
Projected score
JMU 78.1 · GASO 79.8
JMU 92 · GASO 96
Win probability
GASO 56%
1st half
Spread
GASO -0.9
JMU -2.0
Total
73.9
76 points
Projected score
JMU 36.5 · GASO 37.4
JMU 39 · GASO 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGASO -2.5
no move
CloseGASO -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open158.5
▼ 5
Close153.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
JMU +124 · GASO -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GASO -2.5 · unchangedmodel GASO -1.5
model GASO -1.5
Opened 158.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 5 downmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| GASO | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
JMU 5–1 GASOJMU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · JMU has won the last 4 meetings · JMU 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | GASO 73 @ JMU 78 | JMU -8.5 | GASO W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | JMU 77 @ GASO 72 | GASO +3.5 | JMU W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | JMU 80 @ GASO 74 | GASO +10.5 | GASO W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | GASO 80 @ JMU 87 | JMU -18.5 | GASO W |
| Feb 9, 2022-23 | JMU 73 @ GASO 76 | GASO +4.5 | GASO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
James Madison
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ AKR | L 71-85 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 9 | vs COPP | W 84-70 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ LONG | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | @ LIU | L 79-88 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 18 | vs TOW | W 81-75 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ FIU | W 80-72 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs OMA | W 88-77 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 29 | @ GMU | L 66-82 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCCU | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NORF | W 68-67 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 17 | @ ODU | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
−5.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
−4.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
−11.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
−5.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+9.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
+10.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+9.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
−3.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−9.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−9.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@AKR
AKRL 71-85
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 84-70
+12.5
12
@LONG
LONGL 72-82
+4.5
15
@LIU
LIUL 79-88
+19.5
18
vsTOW
TOWW 81-75
+15.5
24
@FIU
FIUW 80-72
−3.5
25
vsOMA
OMAW 88-77
+12.5
29
@GMU
GMUL 66-82
+6.5
3
vsNCCU
NCCUW 67-62
−14.5
6
vsNORF
NORFW 68-67
−3.5
17
@ODU
ODUL 68-77
−3.5
over 7under 4avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
GA Southern
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ECU | L 89-92 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | vs UNCA | W 93-90 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | @ FGCU | W 95-94 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 18 | @ GT | L 66-68 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ FSU | L 72-98 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 24 | vs YSU | L 61-67 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTSA | L 64-77 | -3.5 | L −16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs HCU | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs LT | W 77-69 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ GWEB | W 88-84 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ WGA | W 91-85 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 18 | vs GAST | W 90-67 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+2.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
−2.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+4.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
+8.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−7.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−4.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−16.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
+10.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+6.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
−6.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+2.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
+13.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+29.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
+20.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+25.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
−30.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−5.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−35.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−19.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
−6.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+0.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
+9.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+21.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
−2.5
over 6under 6avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
James Madison
6-5 overall · 0-1 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Old Dominion68–77
- Wvs Norfolk St68–67
- Wvs NC Central67–62
- L@ George Mason66–82
- Wvs Omaha88–77
3 days since their last game.
GA Southern
7-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgia St90–67
- W@ West Georgia91–85
- W@ Gardner-Webb88–84
- Wvs Louisiana Tech77–69
- Wvs Hou Christian80–62
2 days since their last game.