Viking Pavilion · at Portland St · Conference game
Closing line
PRST -4.5✓ MONT covered by 8.5
Closing total143.5Under by 19.5
| This season | PRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-8 | Record | 10-5 |
| 10-7 | ATS | 13-2 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MONT 72–76 PRST · ✗ PRST (63%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MONT | 33 | 31 | 64 |
| PRST | 28 | 32 | 60 |
1st half: MONT 33, PRST 28 (MONT by 5). The model had PRST by 2.2 and a total of 69.6 (actual 61).
Team stats
| MONT | PRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-45 47% | Field goals | 18-47 38% |
| 2-12 17% | 3-pointers | 3-16 19% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 21-30 70% |
| 28 5 off | Rebounds | 30 10 off |
| 6 | Assists | 11 |
| 12 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MONT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Thompson G | 34 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Grant Kepley G | 31 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer F | 30 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Money Williams G | 30 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 8-14 | 0-0 |
| Kenyon Aguino F | 26 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trae Taylor F | 20 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Brooklyn Hicks G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Isaak G | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Chase Henderson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Connor Dick, Kadyn Betts, Courtney Anderson Jr., Luke Moxon, Amari Jedkins
| PRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre-Vaughn Minott C | 40 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Terri Miller Jr. F | 40 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 0-4 |
| Jaylin Henderson G | 38 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 3-13 | 0-3 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. G | 29 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Alex Dupre G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brycen Long G | 24 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Kelcy Phipps G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Williams G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brayden Barron, Charles Chukwu, Samuel Stewart IV, Kean Webb, Sebastian Tidor, Isaac Brice, Colt Ness, Matt Beatty
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPRST -4.5
ModelPRST -3.9
Model edgeMONT +0.6
W MONT covered
Total
Market143.5
Model148.6
Model edgeOver 5.1
L Under
Projected score
MONT 72.4 · PRST 76.2
MONT 64 · PRST 60
Win probability
PRST 63%
1st half
Spread
PRST -2.2
MONT -5.0
Total
69.6
61 points
Projected score
MONT 33.7 · PRST 35.9
MONT 33 · PRST 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPRST -4.5
no move
ClosePRST -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
no move
Close143.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MONT +180 · PRST -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PRST -4.5 · unchangedmodel PRST -4
model PRST -4
Opened 143.5 · unchangedmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% | |
| 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MONT 6–2 PRSTMONT leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MONT 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | MONT 76 @ PRST 79 | PRST -3.5 | MONT W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | PRST 78 @ MONT 92 | MONT -3.5 | MONT W |
| Mar 11, 2023-24 | PRST 81 vs MONT 87 | MONT -6.5 | PRST W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | PRST 73 @ MONT 82 | MONT -8.5 | MONT W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | MONT 46 @ PRST 72 | PRST +5.5 | PRST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Montana
17 games played
Straight up
9-8
53% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 68-91 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ | W 102-93 | +10.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 90-82 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 81-86 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 63-68 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 87-95 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 72-81 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 79-75 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 54-94 | +30.5 | L −9.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 78-64 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 88-79 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 79-73 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 65-66 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 161.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 67-76 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | @ | W 98-72 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 81-65 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 69-60 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
STAN
L 68-91
−10.5
11
@
UNLV
W 102-93
+19.5
14
vs
CP
W 90-82
+0.5
18
@
TA&M
L 81-86
+12.5
23
vs
LAM
L 63-68
−9.5
25
vs
OAK
L 87-95
−12.5
3
vs
NDSU
L 72-81
−12.5
6
@
UND
W 79-75
−1.5
20
@
LOU
L 54-94
−9.5
1
vs
NAU
W 78-64
+8.5
3
vs
UNCO
W 88-79
+10.5
8
@
IDHO
W 79-73
+10.5
10
@
EWU
L 65-66
+0.5
17
@
MTST
L 67-76
−3.5
19
@
NAU
W 98-72
+22.5
22
vs
WEB
W 81-65
+11.5
24
vs
IDST
W 69-60
+4.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
STAN
L 68-91
+8.5
11
@
UNLV
W 102-93
+37.5
14
vs
CP
W 90-82
+3.5
18
@
TA&M
L 81-86
+2.5
23
vs
LAM
L 63-68
−17.5
25
vs
OAK
L 87-95
+19.5
3
vs
NDSU
L 72-81
−0.5
6
@
UND
W 79-75
−0.5
20
@
LOU
L 54-94
−18.5
1
vs
NAU
W 78-64
−7.5
3
vs
UNCO
W 88-79
+5.5
8
@
IDHO
W 79-73
−2.5
10
@
EWU
L 65-66
−30.5
17
@
MTST
L 67-76
−7.5
19
@
NAU
W 98-72
+23.5
22
vs
WEB
W 81-65
−11.5
24
vs
IDST
W 69-60
−19.5
over 7under 10avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Portland St
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
13-2
87% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 79-89 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 70-80 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 93-80 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | @ | W 68-63 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 3 | @ | W 77-71 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 55-60 | -12.5 | L −17.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ | L 73-84 | +16.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 61-63 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 1 | @ | W 95-90 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 96-69 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 76-73 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 63-52 | -11.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @ | W 65-61 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 69-66 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
STAN
L 79-89
+1.5
12
@
SF
L 70-80
+3.5
17
vs
CSUB
W 93-80
+4.5
25
@
UTU
W 68-63
+3.5
3
@
SDAK
W 77-71
+3.5
6
vs
OMA
L 55-60
−17.5
17
@
COLO
L 73-84
+5.5
20
@
TULN
L 61-63
+0.5
1
@
WEB
W 95-90
+3.5
3
@
IDST
W 93-87
+9.5
10
vs
SAC
W 96-69
+17.5
15
vs
UNCO
W 76-73
+0.5
17
vs
NAU
W 63-52
−0.5
22
@
EWU
W 65-61
+1.5
24
@
IDHO
W 69-66
+4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 2avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
STAN
L 79-89
+23.5
12
@
SF
L 70-80
−4.5
17
vs
CSUB
W 93-80
+31.5
25
@
UTU
W 68-63
−15.5
3
@
SDAK
W 77-71
−10.5
6
vs
OMA
L 55-60
−29.5
17
@
COLO
L 73-84
+6.5
20
@
TULN
L 61-63
−21.5
1
@
WEB
W 95-90
+36.5
3
@
IDST
W 93-87
+37.5
10
vs
SAC
W 96-69
+4.5
15
vs
UNCO
W 76-73
−6.5
17
vs
NAU
W 63-52
−25.5
22
@
EWU
W 65-61
−24.5
24
@
IDHO
W 69-66
−10.5
over 6under 9avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Montana
9-8 overall · 6-2 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Idaho St69–60
- Wvs Weber St81–65
- W@ N Arizona98–72
- L@ Montana St67–76
- L@ E Washington65–66
5 days since their last game.
Portland St
10-5 overall · 7-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Idaho69–66
- W@ E Washington65–61
- Wvs N Arizona63–52
- Wvs N Colorado76–73
- Wvs Sacramento St96–69
5 days since their last game.