Worthington Arena · at Montana St · Conference game
Closing line
MTST -2.5✓ MTST covered by 4.5
MTST -2.5✓ MTST covered by 4.5Closing total147.5Under by 8.5
 IDHO | This season | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| 10-9 | Record | 10-10 |
| 8-11 | ATS | 12-8 |
| 8-11 | O/U | 11-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IDHO 71–75 MTST · ✓ MTST (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO | 26 | 40 | 66 |
| MTST | 36 | 37 | 73 |
1st half: IDHO 26, MTST 36 (MTST by 10). The model had MTST by 2.0 and a total of 68.5 (actual 62).
Team stats
| IDHO | MTST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-64 42% | Field goals | 22-51 43% |
| 4-19 21% | 3-pointers | 3-11 27% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 26-30 87% |
| 33 7 off | Rebounds | 30 4 off |
| 7 | Assists | 7 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| IDHO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Rasmussen F | 33 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-1 |
| Kolton Mitchell G | 31 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 9-18 | 0-4 |
| Biko Johnson G | 29 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-5 |
| Jack Payne G | 25 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Brody Rowbury F | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Brickner G | 27 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Seth Joba F | 20 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Tre Blassingame G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Miles Klapper G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kristian Gonzalez, Ewan Steele, Talon Jenkins, Will Jenson, Titus Yearout, Tyler Linhardt, Aidan Sevilla
| MTST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick McMahon G | 33 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Christian King F | 33 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Jed Miller G | 31 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| Jeremiah Davis G | 27 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Chris Hodges F | 24 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Seth Amunrud G | 23 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| Jaden Steppe F | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Howie Keene G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Calum Rutherfurd, Waka Mbatch, Grayson Gaddis, Davian Brown, CJ Purdie, Cavin Holden, James Steward
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTST -2.5
ModelMTST -3.5
Model edgeMTST +1.0
W MTST covered
Total
Market147.5
Model146.3
Model edgeUnder 1.2
W Under
Projected score
IDHO 71.4 · MTST 74.9
IDHO 66 · MTST 73
Win probability
MTST 62%
1st half
Spread
MTST -2.0
MTST -10.0
Total
68.5
62 points
Projected score
IDHO 33.3 · MTST 35.2
IDHO 26 · MTST 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTST -3.5
1 → IDHO
CloseMTST -2.5
1 pt toward IDHO
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
IDHO +120 · MTST -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTST -3.5 · closed MTST -2.5 · moved 1 toward IDHOmodel MTST -3.5
model MTST -3.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDHO | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| MTST | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
IDHO 4–5 MTSTMTST leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · IDHO 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | MTST 89 @ IDHO 92 | IDHO -1.5 | IDHO W |
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | IDHO 60 @ MTST 75 | MTST -5.5 | MTST W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | MTST 64 @ IDHO 69 | IDHO +1.5 | IDHO W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | MTST 62 @ IDHO 48 | IDHO -1.5 | MTST W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | IDHO 81 @ MTST 75 | MTST -8.5 | IDHO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Idaho
19 games played
Straight up
10-9
53% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WSU | W 83-81 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ USD | L 74-78 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 15 | @ UCSD | L 67-75 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs CSUN | W 78-64 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs SHSU | L 68-94 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs UND | W 90-58 | -11.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ SDST | W 84-81 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 10 | @ ND | L 65-80 | +11.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 21 | @ CP | W 83-80 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 23 | @ CSUB | L 63-64 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs EWU | W 84-81 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 8 | vs MONT | L 73-79 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vsMTST | W 92-89 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 15 | @ IDST | L 68-76 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | @ WEB | W 75-67 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 22 | vs SAC | W 86-76 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | vs PRST | L 66-69 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | @ UNCO | L 83-91 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 31 | @ NAU | W 79-62 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WSU
WSUW 83-81
+9.5
12
@USD
USDL 74-78
−5.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDL 67-75
−2.5
26
vsCSUN
CSUNW 78-64
+12.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 68-94
−27.5
3
vsUND
UNDW 90-58
+20.5
6
@SDST
SDSTW 84-81
+8.5
10
@ND
NDL 65-80
−3.5
21
@CP
CPW 83-80
+1.5
23
@CSUB
CSUBL 63-64
−8.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 84-81
−3.5
8
vsMONT
MONTL 73-79
−10.5
10
vsMTST
MTSTW 92-89
+1.5
15
@IDST
IDSTL 68-76
−5.5
17
@WEB
WEBW 75-67
+6.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 86-76
−0.5
24
vsPRST
PRSTL 66-69
−4.5
29
@UNCO
UNCOL 83-91
−5.5
31
@NAU
NAUW 79-62
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WSU
WSUW 83-81
+9.5
12
@USD
USDL 74-78
−3.5
15
@UCSD
UCSDL 67-75
−6.5
26
vsCSUN
CSUNW 78-64
−17.5
28
vsSHSU
SHSUL 68-94
+7.5
3
vsUND
UNDW 90-58
−3.5
6
@SDST
SDSTW 84-81
+17.5
10
@ND
NDL 65-80
+0.5
21
@CP
CPW 83-80
−4.5
23
@CSUB
CSUBL 63-64
−23.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 84-81
+6.5
8
vsMONT
MONTL 73-79
−2.5
10
vsMTST
MTSTW 92-89
+36.5
15
@IDST
IDSTL 68-76
−5.5
17
@WEB
WEBW 75-67
−16.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 86-76
+0.5
24
vsPRST
PRSTL 66-69
−10.5
29
@UNCO
UNCOL 83-91
+18.5
31
@NAU
NAUW 79-62
−5.5
over 8under 11avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Montana St
20 games played
Straight up
10-10
50% wins
Against the spread
12-8
60% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ COLO | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs DEN | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 12 | @ STAN | L 68-77 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ BOIS | L 58-62 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 21 | @ LBSU | W 78-72 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | @ USU | L 81-84 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs STMN | W 82-74 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ORU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ ORST | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 16 | @CP | W 83-80 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 1 | vsUNCO | W 89-75 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vsNAU | W 77-68 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | @EWU | W 68-64 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | @IDHO | L 89-92 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vsMONT | W 76-67 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | @UNCO | W 73-68 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 22 | vsIDST | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vsWEB | W 91-88 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 29 | @SAC | L 80-83 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | @PRST | L 54-63 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
−9.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
+5.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
+12.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+2.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+14.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+5.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−8.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+0.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+11.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
−1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
+1.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
−1.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
+3.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
+7.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
+6.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
−3.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
−7.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 8avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
+1.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
−3.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
−27.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+9.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+16.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+8.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−16.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+3.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+9.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
+1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
−24.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
+36.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
−7.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
−12.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
−8.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
+31.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
+9.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−21.5
over 11under 9avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Idaho
10-9 overall · 5-4 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ N Arizona79–62
- L@ N Colorado83–91
- Lvs Portland St66–69
- Wvs Sacramento St86–76
- W@ Weber St75–67
5 days since their last game.
Montana St
10-10 overall · 7-3 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Portland St54–63
- L@ Sacramento St80–83
- Wvs Weber St91–88
- Wvs Idaho St74–62
- W@ N Colorado73–68
5 days since their last game.