Murphy Center · at MTSU · Conference game
Closing line
MTSU -6.5✓ MTSU covered by 30.5
MTSU -6.5✓ MTSU covered by 30.5Closing total134.5Over by 4.5
 LT | This season | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 4-5 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 3-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LT 64–70 MTSU · ✓ MTSU (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LT | 22 | 29 | 51 |
| MTSU | 39 | 49 | 88 |
1st half: LT 22, MTSU 39 (MTSU by 17). The model had MTSU by 3.5 and a total of 63.0 (actual 61).
Team stats
| LT | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-44 39% | Field goals | 32-58 55% |
| 4-18 22% | 3-pointers | 22-44 50% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 2-8 25% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 7 | Assists | 22 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Dudley G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Avery Thomas II F | 28 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| AJ Bates G | 27 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Kaden Cooper F | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sir Issac Herron F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Scooter Williams G | 27 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-4 |
| Will Allen F | 19 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kylan Howze F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Fenner G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Keegan Rowell G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Melian Martinez C | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: A'Meir Williams, Jermaurhiyun Anderson, Lachlan Thompson, Will Jeffress
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Oglesby G | 33 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 8-14 | 8-14 |
| Kamari Lands G | 29 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Torey Alston F | 25 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 21 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Chris Loofe F | 19 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Green G | 24 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 8-14 | 6-12 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 21 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Sean Smith G | 20 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| James Dent Jr. G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
Did not play: Savon Wykle, Jax Howard, Charvez Ambrose, Brandon Oloumou, Jarred Hall
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTSU -6.5
ModelMTSU -6.2
Model edgeLT +0.3
L MTSU covered
Total
Market134.5
Model134.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
L Over
Projected score
LT 64.1 · MTSU 70.2
LT 51 · MTSU 88
Win probability
MTSU 70%
1st half
Spread
MTSU -3.5
MTSU -17.0
Total
63.0
61 points
Projected score
LT 29.7 · MTSU 33.3
LT 22 · MTSU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTSU -5.5
1 → MTSU
CloseMTSU -6.5
1 pt toward MTSU
Total
Open131.5
▲ 3
Close134.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
LT +240 · MTSU -298
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTSU -5.5 · closed MTSU -6.5 · moved 1 toward MTSUmodel MTSU -6
model MTSU -6
Opened 131.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 3 upmodel 134.5 matches the line
model 134.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LTlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% |
| MTSUlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% | 3-6 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
LT 4–4 MTSUSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · LT 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | LT 75 vs MTSU 77 | MTSU -1.5 | MTSU W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | LT 85 @ MTSU 74 | MTSU -6.5 | LT W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MTSU 69 @ LT 75 | LT -2.5 | LT W |
| Mar 13, 2023-24 | MTSU 70 vs LT 67 | LT -8.5 | MTSU W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | MTSU 70 @ LT 84 | LT -13.5 | LT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Louisiana Tech
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −11.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ NEV | L 50-77 | +9.5 | L −17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 15 | vs JKST | W 68-51 | -8.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 19 | @ INST | L 51-60 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 26 | vsINST | W 75-73 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 29 | vs ALCN | W 83-58 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ GASO | L 69-77 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 13 | vs UL | W 65-44 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 17 | @ TULN | L 53-61 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTEP | W 75-63 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−17.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
+8.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−5.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
−0.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+8.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
−6.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
+11.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−3.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@NEV
NEVL 50-77
−9.5
15
vsJKST
JKSTW 68-51
−27.5
19
@INST
INSTL 51-60
−36.5
26
vsINST
INSTW 75-73
+6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 83-58
+3.5
3
@GASO
GASOL 69-77
+0.5
13
vsUL
ULW 65-44
−17.5
17
@TULN
TULNL 53-61
−26.5
29
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-63
+7.5
over 4under 5avg −11.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
MTSU
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-6
33% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ EVAN | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ MICH | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs MUR | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs GW | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MCN | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vs UAB | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs BEL | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vs KENN | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ HOU | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−2.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
+16.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−25.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
−9.5
over 3under 6avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Louisiana Tech
5-4 overall · 1-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTEP75–63
- L@ Tulane53–61
- Wvs Louisiana65–44
- L@ GA Southern69–77
- Wvs Alcorn St83–58
4 days since their last game.
MTSU
4-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Houston60–69
- Wvs Kennesaw St68–67
- Lvs Belmont62–83
- Wvs UAB76–61
- Lvs McNeese62–72
4 days since their last game.