When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
130 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 64–72 · pick one to list those games
44% went over. Of the 57 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 25% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 22% of games.
All 130 games
2023–2026 · Totals 64–72 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 8 |
USA -1.5 | 66.5 | 3121933 | U | MRSH Q2 | 13–20 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WVU -1.5 | 64.5 | 7354987 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2026 · Week 7 |
TXST -15.5 | 69.5 | 21669393 | Q3 | TXST Q1 | 27–66 |
2026 · Week 4 |
TXST -30.5 | 66.5 | 35525273 | Q4 | TXST Q2 Late over |
10–63 |
2026 · Week 3 |
OKST -56.5 | 70.5 | 14315259 | U | OKST Q4 | 0–59 |
2026 · Week 3 |
CAL -58.5 | 65.5 | 29465356 | U | WAG Q1 | 7–49 |
2026 · Week 3 |
ORE -58.5 | 71.5 | 28496384 | Q4 | ORE Q3 | 0–84 |
2026 · Week 2 |
FLA -51.5 | 66.5 | 13485555 | U | CAM Q1 | 3–52 |
2026 · Week 2 |
TXST -1.5 | 65.5 | 7244057 | U | UTSA Q4 | 31–26 |
2026 · Week 2 |
IU -57.5 | 67.5 | 20415555 | U | HOW Q1 | 0–55 |
2026 · Week 2 |
MIA -59.5 | 66.5 | 21497784 | Q3 | MIA Q3 | 7–77 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TENN -49.5 | 66.5 | 7285265 | U | FUR Q1 | 9–56 |
2025 · Postseason |
UNLV -6.5 | 64.5 | 061727 | U | OHIO Q1 | 10–17 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UNT -1.5 | 66.5 | 14314455 | U | TULN Q1 | 21–34 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TENN -2.5 | 66.5 | 14425269 | Q4 | VAN Q1 | 45–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ECU -6.5 | 66.5 | 24454545 | U | ECU Q1 | 42–3 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UNT -20.5 | 65.5 | 21425977 | Q4 | UNT Q2 | 25–52 |
2025 · Week 13 |
CONN -5.5 | 64.5 | 27446593 | Q3 | FAU Q3 | 48–45 |
2025 · Week 13 |
USF -22.5 | 68.5 | 17274466 | U | USF Q3 | 48–18 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UNLV -2.5 | 64.5 | 17343448 | U | UNLV Q1 | 10–38 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNLV -4.5 | 68.5 | 923334655 | U | USU Q1 Lead lost |
26–29 |
2025 · Week 12 |
USM -3.5 | 65.5 | 10273455 | U | TXST Q1 | 41–14 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNT -17.5 | 69.5 | 21386477 | Q4 | UNT Q1 | 53–24 |
2025 · Week 12 |
CONN -7.5 | 64.5 | 13162642 | U | CONN Q4 | 16–26 |
2025 · Week 11 |
SJSU -6.5 | 68.5 | 3192242 | U | AFA Q1 | 26–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
USF -13.5 | 66.5 | 17556878 | Q3 | USF Q2 | 23–55 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ARK -5.5 | 66.5 | 7204973 | Q4 | MSST Q4 Late over Lead lost |
38–35 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UNT -6.5 | 68.5 | 14344848 | U | UNT Q1 | 17–31 |
2025 · Week 9 |
CIN -3.5 | 69.5 | 14303961 | U | CIN Q1 | 20–41 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TXST -2.5 | 65.5 | 1430335477 | OT | MRSH Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
37–40 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TCU -3.5 | 67.5 | 7314678 | Q4 | TCU Q2 Late over |
36–42 |
2025 · Week 7 |
FAU -5.5 | 65.5 | 21498086 | Q3 | FAU Q1 | 33–53 |
2025 · Week 7 |
TENN -10.5 | 68.5 | 17344465 | U | ARK Q1 | 31–34 |
2025 · Week 7 |
UNLV -7.5 | 66.5 | 14345799 | Q4 | AFA Q1 Lead lost |
48–51 |
2025 · Week 7 |
UNT -2.5 | 68.5 | 21427799 | Q3 | USF Q2 | 63–36 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TENN -38.5 | 68.5 | 21497380 | Q3 | UAB Q4 Late cover flip |
24–56 |
2025 · Week 3 |
CLT -2.5 | 65.5 | 7214977 | Q4 | CLT Q3 Late over |
35–42 |
2025 · Week 3 |
BAY -52.5 | 64.5 | 21424249 | U | SAM Q1 | 7–42 |
2025 · Week 3 |
SYR -37.5 | 64.5 | 17416290 | Q4 | SYR Q4 Late cover flip |
24–66 |
2025 · Week 2 |
MIA -54.5 | 64.5 | 14313848 | U | BCU Q1 | 3–45 |
2025 · Week 2 |
OSU -51.5 | 64.5 | 21355670 | Q4 | OSU Q3 Late over |
0–70 |
2025 · Week 2 |
UTSA -4.5 | 64.5 | 2335779 | Q4 | TXST Q1 | 43–36 |
2025 · Week 2 |
SMU -2.5 | 65.5 | 1045487693 | Q4 | BAY Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
48–45 |
2025 · Week 1 |
SMU -50.5 | 64.5 | 14243155 | U | ETAM Q1 | 13–42 |
2025 · Week 1 |
UNLV -30.5 | 67.5 | 10314869 | Q4 | IDST Q1 | 31–38 |
2024 · Postseason |
TXST -15.5 | 66.5 | 13303758 | U | UNT Q1 | 28–30 |
2024 · Postseason |
USF -0.5 | 64.5 | 731415480 | OT | USF OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
41–39 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MIA -12.5 | 65.5 | 14356380 | Q4 | SYR Q2 | 38–42 |
2024 · Week 14 |
COLO -14.5 | 66.5 | 21213852 | U | COLO Q1 | 0–52 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MIA -23.5 | 65.5 | 17343456 | U | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
14–42 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 43% 56
Q2 18% 24
Q3 15% 20
Q4 21% 27
OT 1% 1
Push 2% 2
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 65% of 118 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 63% of 127 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 14 | 100% 14 |
| 1–3 | 7 | 100% 7 |
| 4–7 | 6 | 100% 6 |
| 8–10 | 5 | 80% 4 |
| 11–14 | 10 | 50% 5 |
| 15–17 | 13 | 54% 7 |
| 18–21 | 16 | 44% 7 |
| 22+ | 59 | 12% 7 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.