When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
67 games · 2025 · Week 3 · pick one to list those games
58% went over. Of the 39 overs, 10% had cashed by halftime and 38% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 21% of games.
All 67 games
2025 · Week 3 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 3 |
HAW -36.5 | 54.5 | 0142026 | U | PRST Q1 | 3–23 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MINN -3.5 | 39.5 | 7173141 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Late over |
14–27 |
2025 · Week 3 |
BC -13.5 | 46.5 | 6404750 | Q3 | STAN Q1 | 20–30 |
2025 · Week 3 |
ASU -18.5 | 61.5 | 6234349 | U | ASU Q3 | 15–34 |
2025 · Week 3 |
FRES -35.5 | 50.5 | 14424963 | Q4 | FRES Q4 | 7–56 |
2025 · Week 3 |
AFA -3.5 | 51.5 | 7245179 | Q4 | USU Q1 | 30–49 |
2025 · Week 3 |
FIU -1.5 | 56.5 | 14385966 | Q3 | FIU Q3 | 28–38 |
2025 · Week 3 |
UAB -13.5 | 59.5 | 31515159 | U | AKR Q1 | 28–31 |
2025 · Week 3 |
UTAH -24.5 | 47.5 | 331737 | U | UTAH Q4 Late cover flip |
31–6 |
2025 · Week 3 |
DUKE -1.5 | 53.5 | 14334761 | Q4 | TULN Q1 Late over |
27–34 |
2025 · Week 3 |
TCU -41.5 | 58.5 | 14284463 | Q4 | ACU Q1 | 21–42 |
2025 · Week 3 |
NAVY -13.5 | 53.5 | 21385265 | Q4 | NAVY Q3 | 42–23 |
2025 · Week 3 |
SC -2.5 | 48.5 | 14212838 | U | VAN Q1 | 31–7 |
2025 · Week 3 |
LSU -5.5 | 47.5 | 3233030 | U | LSU Q3 | 10–20 |
2025 · Week 3 |
ND -7.5 | 48.5 | 21526281 | Q2 | TA&M Q1 | 41–40 |
2025 · Week 3 |
UK -26.5 | 50.5 | 17445471 | Q3 | EMU Q1 | 23–48 |
2025 · Week 3 |
IOWA -35.5 | 44.5 | 20374754 | Q3 | IOWA Q4 | 7–47 |
2025 · Week 3 |
LT -10.5 | 42.5 | 10414163 | Q4 | LT Q2 | 14–49 |
2025 · Week 3 |
ECU -7.5 | 56.5 | 10101738 | U | ECU Q1 | 38–0 |
2025 · Week 3 |
OSU -28.5 | 49.5 | 3163246 | U | OHIO Q1 | 9–37 |
2025 · Week 3 |
ILL -27.5 | 50.5 | 3102438 | U | ILL Q4 | 0–38 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MISS -4.5 | 60.5 | 14596676 | Q3 | MISS Q3 | 35–41 |
2025 · Week 3 |
VT -5.5 | 50.5 | 7284571 | Q4 | ODU Q1 | 45–26 |
2025 · Week 3 |
GASO -3.5 | 57.5 | 31556575 | Q3 | GASO Q4 | 34–41 |
2025 · Week 3 |
GAST -31.5 | 63.5 | 14303758 | U | MUR Q1 | 21–37 |
2025 · Week 3 |
APP -2.5 | 56.5 | 14243860 | Q4 | USM Q1 Late over |
22–38 |
2025 · Week 3 |
RICE -29.5 | 48.5 | 14314155 | Q4 | PV Q1 Late over |
17–38 |
2025 · Week 3 |
USC -20.5 | 59.5 | 3204050 | U | PUR Q1 | 33–17 |
2025 · Week 3 |
KENN -17.5 | 44.5 | 072440 | U | MRMK Q4 | 13–27 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MRSH -17.5 | 51.5 | 17314545 | U | MRSH Q2 | 7–38 |
2025 · Week 3 |
CLT -2.5 | 65.5 | 7214977 | Q4 | CLT Q3 Late over |
35–42 |
2025 · Week 3 |
LIB -6.5 | 51.5 | 3102036 | U | BGSU Q1 | 13–23 |
2025 · Week 3 |
NEV -9.5 | 49.5 | 0131327 | U | MTSU Q4 Lead lost |
14–13 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MIA -17.5 | 56.5 | 17344161 | Q4 | MIA Q2 Late over |
12–49 |
2025 · Week 3 |
TEX -40.5 | 52.5 | 7172337 | U | UTEP Q1 | 10–27 |
2025 · Week 3 |
ISU -20.5 | 55.5 | 9273040 | U | ARST Q1 | 24–16 |
2025 · Week 3 |
PSU -47.5 | 56.5 | 7213158 | Q4 | VILL Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
6–52 |
2025 · Week 3 |
UGA -3.5 | 50.5 | 2838557685 | Q3 | TENN Q1 Lead lost |
44–41 |
2025 · Week 3 |
TTU -23.5 | 61.5 | 14283859 | U | TTU Q2 | 14–45 |
2025 · Week 3 |
RUTG -45.5 | 55.5 | 13295670 | Q3 | RUTG Q4 Late cover flip |
10–60 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MSU -27.5 | 56.5 | 10274865 | Q4 | YSU Q1 Late over |
24–41 |
2025 · Week 3 |
UNT -6.5 | 58.5 | 17455569 | Q4 | UNT Q1 | 10–59 |
2025 · Week 3 |
SMU -28.5 | 59.5 | 10243138 | U | MOST Q1 | 28–10 |
2025 · Week 3 |
PITT -6.5 | 54.5 | 010284855 | OT | WVU Q1 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
24–31 |
2025 · Week 3 |
UNC -24.5 | 47.5 | 10233047 | U | UNC Q4 | 6–41 |
2025 · Week 3 |
UTSA -21.5 | 62.5 | 10245268 | Q4 | UTSA Q2 Late cover flip Late over |
20–48 |
2025 · Week 3 |
TOL -33.5 | 54.5 | 3465360 | Q4 | TOL Q2 | 0–60 |
2025 · Week 3 |
CONN -9.5 | 51.5 | 2452667685 | Q2 | DEL Q1 Lead lost |
41–44 |
2025 · Week 3 |
BALL -2.5 | 46.5 | 28495863 | Q2 | BALL Q2 | 29–34 |
2025 · Week 3 |
MIZ -27.5 | 46.5 | 14485562 | Q2 | MIZ Q2 | 10–52 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 51% 34
Q2 18% 12
Q3 10% 7
Q4 21% 14
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 91% and covered 67% of 66 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 94% and covered 66% of 64 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 15 | 100% 15 |
| 1–3 | 7 | 100% 7 |
| 4–7 | 9 | 78% 7 |
| 8–10 | 5 | 60% 3 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 18–21 | 10 | 10% 1 |
| 22+ | 17 | 12% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.