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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

3,141 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games3,141100%By halftime512%In Q346515%In Q41,05434%In OT361%Stayed under1,53549%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands33611%Over cashed44714%Leader lost the game2468%
51% went over. Of the 1,606 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.

Went over in overtime: 36 games

2023–2026 · newest first
Show all games
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 7
 MIA -20.5 57.5 728355678 OT FSU Q1
Late over
 35–43
2026 · Week 2
 OHIO -1.5 48.5 731384856 OT OHIO OT
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 27–29
2026 · Week 2
 WAKE -2.5 51.5 1427334674 OT PUR Q4
Late cover flip Late over
 38–36
2025 · Postseason
 USC -4.5 56.5 327354857 OT TCU Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 27–30
2025 · Week 11
 LOU -18.5 49.5 1430434655 OT CAL Q1
Late over
 29–26
2025 · Week 9
 CONN -9.5 48.5 1038414871 OT RICE Q1
Late over
 34–37
2025 · Week 9
 LT -4.5 48.5 1727344055 OT WKU Q1
Late over
 28–27
2025 · Week 8
 TXST -2.5 65.5 1430335477 OT MRSH Q3
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 37–40
2025 · Week 6
 BUFF -9.5 53.5 1428424861 OT EMU Q1
Late over Lead lost
 30–31
2025 · Week 5
 PSU -4.5 52.5 06133454 OT ORE Q1
Late over
 30–24
2025 · Week 5
 GT -11.5 53.5 320374659 OT WAKE Q1
Late over Lead lost
 30–29
2025 · Week 5
 HOU -11.5 48.5 724274851 OT ORST Q1
Late over Lead lost
 27–24
2025 · Week 3
 PITT -6.5 54.5 010284855 OT WVU Q1
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 24–31
2025 · Week 2
 UNT -12.5 56.5 024415463 OT WMU Q1
Late over Lead lost
 33–30
2024 · Postseason
 TEX -13.5 52.5 1720254870 OT ASU Q3
Late over
 39–31
2024 · Postseason
 USF -0.5 64.5 731415480 OT USF OT
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 41–39
2024 · Postseason
 NIU -2.5 40.5 1616262648 OT NIU OT
Late cover flip Late over
 28–20
2024 · Week 14
 JMU -2.5 52.5 1417344868 OT MRSH Q3
Late over
 35–33
2024 · Week 10
 PUR -3.5 44.5 1327304046 OT NU Q1
Late over
 26–20
2024 · Week 9
 SMU -11.5 50.5 721344255 OT DUKE Q1
Late over
 28–27
2024 · Week 8
 LT -12.5 48.5 024314863 OT NMSU Q1
Late over
 30–33
2024 · Week 4
 MIZ -18.5 52.5 1423404057 OT VAN Q1
Late over
 27–30
2024 · Week 4
 NIU -12.5 42.5 717244043 OT BUFF Q1
Late over
 23–20
2024 · Week 2
 NU -2.5 37.5 1017202646 OT DUKE Q3
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 26–20
2023 · Postseason
 MICH -2 46 1423234047 OT MICH OT
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 20–27
2023 · Week 13
 OKST -16.5 55.5 1330375474 OT BYU Q1
Late over Lead lost
 34–40
2023 · Week 12
 WIS -7 36.5 1424313441 OT Push
Late cover flip Late over
 17–24
2023 · Week 12
 EMU -3 39.5 028283457 OT Push
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 27–30
2023 · Week 9
 MIA -18.5 48 713374655 OT UVA Q1
Late over
 26–29
2023 · Week 8
 CLEM -6 45 714243448 OT MIA Q4
Late over Lead lost
 20–28
2023 · Week 8
 SHSU -5.5 42 320274060 OT FIU Q1
Late over
 33–27
2023 · Week 4
 IU -16.5 45.5 010243456 OT AKR Q1
Late over
 27–29
2023 · Week 3
 COLO -23 63 2835355678 OT CSU Q1
Late over Lead lost
 35–43
EWU @ FRES
2023 · Week 2
 FRES -31.5 63.5 1017384865 OT EWU Q1
Late over
 31–34
2023 · Week 2
 UNC -18 58 020375474 OT APP Q1
Late over
 34–40
2023 · Week 1
 BC -8 50 07214251 OT NIU Q1
Late over
 27–24
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 1,568
Q2 16% 494
Q3 15% 471
Q4 18% 556
OT 1% 18
Push 1% 34
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 69% of 2,929 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 72% of 2,988 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over516100% 516
1–319295% 182
4–729586% 255
8–1026170% 184
11–1434558% 200
15–1727041% 110
18–2133927% 92
22+9237% 67
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.