Cardinals @ Seahawks: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 9, 2026)

Sun, Nov 8, 2026, 4:25 PM ESTWeek 9 · at Seattle Seahawks · Division game

Arizona Cardinals

2-4 · Power #28

projected

Sun 4:25 PM ET

Seattle Seahawks

3-3 · Power #1

projected

ARI 12%

88% SEA

Spread

SEA -13.5

Total

45.5

model 44.5

Spread edge

ARI by 5.5

lean · context

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentSEA -13.5

Total45.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowSEA -13.5

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now45.5

Line context

Home favorites of 11.5–15.5 since 2023: won 91%, covered 50% (46 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentSEA -13.5

Total45.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 13.5-point home favorite against ARI, the favorite won 8, covered 5, and 4 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

8 of 1080%

Normal range · usually 91%

Favorite covered

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 53%

Went over

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 58%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 14.6 against an average line of 13.7; 42.2 points a game (usually 46.1). Of the 4 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	KC vs LV 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar spread & total	-13.5	31–0	W	U45.5
Very close	GB vs CAR 2025 · Week 9 · very close · similar spread & rest	-13.5	13–16	L	U43.5
Very close	TB vs NO 2024 · Week 18 · very close · similar rest & total	-14.5	27–19	L	O44.5
Very close	NE vs MIA 2025 · Week 18 · very close · similar rest & situation	-14.5	38–10	W	O43.5
Very close	JAX vs TEN 2025 · Week 18 · very close · similar spread & rest	-13.5	41–7	W	O46.5
Close	PHI vs ARI 2023 · Week 17 · close · similar rest & season form	-12.5	31–35	L	O48
Close	BAL vs NYJ 2025 · Week 12 · close · similar total & season form	-14.5	23–10	L	U44.5
Close	NE vs NYJ 2025 · Week 11 · close · similar situation & season form	-12.5	27–14	W	U42.5
Close	LAR vs NO 2025 · Week 9 · close · similar total & season form	-14.5	34–10	W	U45.5
Close	KC vs LV 2024 · Week 13 · close · similar spread & season form	-13.5	19–17	L	U41.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ARI LWLLW	3-3	50%	3-1	3-2
SEA WLPLL	1-3-2	25%	0-1-2	1-3-2

Venue/role: ARI away, as underdog; SEA home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
ARI UOOOU	3-3	50%	2-4
SEA UOOOU	3-3	50%	3-3

In 491 games with totals 42.5–48.5, 52% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 24% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ARI	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
SEA	7-3 70%	5-3-2 63%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Arizona Cardinals

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 15	vs LAR	W18–16WU
Nov 22	@ KC	No meeting since 2023
Nov 29	vs WSH	L14–42LO

Seattle Seahawks

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 15	@ LV	No meeting since 2023
Nov 29	@ SF	L29–32LO
Dec 7	vs DAL	L35–41WO

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Last 5 since 2023

ARI 17–31 SEA (1 tied) SEA leads · 49 games since 2002 · SEA has won the last 10 meetings

All-time series from nflverse.

Date	Result	Line	ATS
Sep 20 2026	Seattle Seahawks 31 @ Arizona Cardinals 7	SEA -3.5	SEA W
Nov 9 2025	Arizona Cardinals 22 @ Seattle Seahawks 44	SEA -7.5	SEA W
Sep 25 2025	Seattle Seahawks 23 @ Arizona Cardinals 20	SEA -1.5	SEA W
Dec 8 2024	Seattle Seahawks 30 @ Arizona Cardinals 18	ARI -3.5	SEA W
Nov 24 2024	Arizona Cardinals 6 @ Seattle Seahawks 16	ARI -1.5	SEA W

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

ARI−1.3 →−2.5▼ 1.2#28

SEA+3.2 →+4.3▲ 1.1#1

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW8

ARI

Longer bar = better

SEA

#20

Offense

Even

#19

#29

Defense

SEA better ▶

+0.3 #13

Turnovers

◀ ARI better

−0.2 #19

67 plays #4

Pace

◀ ARI faster

63 plays #12

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When ARI has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	ARI off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	21.0 #24	20.3 #6	SEA
Yards / play	4.56 #28	3.96 #1	SEA
EPA / play	−0.02 #17	−0.13 #2	SEA
Success rate	46% #11	37% #2	SEA

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	ARI def	Edge
Points / game	24.7 #13	29.7 #32	SEA
Yards / play	5.26 #17	6.01 #30	SEA
EPA / play	−0.08 #24	+0.08 #28	Even
Success rate	41% #22	45% #24	Even

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

ARI scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
ARI scored	5.2 #8	4.7 #26	9.8 #19	4.5 #18	6.7 #19	11.2 #20
SEA allowed	2.8 #7	9.2 #28	12.0 #20	2.8 #3	5.0 #6	7.8 #3

SEA scoring against the ARI defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	4.0 #18	4.8 #25	8.8 #24	7.2 #6	8.7 #7	15.8 #4
ARI allowed	4.5 #15	9.3 #30	13.8 #31	7.5 #28	8.3 #26	15.8 #29

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.