Seahawks @ Raiders: Lines, Model & ATS Trends (Week 10, 2026)

Sun, Nov 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ESTWeek 10 · at Las Vegas Raiders

Kickoff forecastIndoorsDome or roof: weather does not applyWeather watch ›

Seattle Seahawks

3-3 · Power #1

projected

Sun 4:05 PM ET

Las Vegas Raiders

3-3 · Power #23

projected

SEA 73%

27% LV

Spread

SEA -7

Total

43.5

model 45

Spread edge

LV by 3

lean · context

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Spread

Total

Winner

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentSEA -7

Total43.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Market

Open → current

Spread

Open—

no open

NowSEA -7

Opening line not available

Total

Open—

no open

Now43.5

Line context

Road favorites of 6–8 since 2023: won 74%, covered 42% (53 games)ⓘ

ESPNupdated Sep 21, 12:32 PM ET

SourceESPN odds feed

Opennot available

CurrentSEA -7

Total43.5

Last updateSep 21, 12:32 PM ET

Over 6 hours old. Books differ and lines move; check your sportsbook before betting.

Similar games

The recent games that looked most like this one before kickoff, and how they turned out

In the 10 games most like SEA as a 7-point road favorite at LV, the favorite won 9, covered 4, and 5 went over the total.

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games

Favorite won

9 of 1090%

Normal range · usually 71%

Favorite covered

4 of 1040%

Normal range · usually 46%

Went over

5 of 1050%

Normal range · usually 57%

All three sit in the normal range for favorites of this size, so history shows no clear lean. Average result: favorite by 7.7 against an average line of 6.9; 41.9 points a game (usually 46.6). Of the 5 overs, 0 had cashed by the end of Q3. When games like this go over ›

All 10 games

Match	Game	Line	Final	Covered	O/U
Very close	GB @ ARI 2025 · Week 7 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	27–23	L	O44.5
Very close	KC @ GB 2023 · Week 13 · very close · similar total & season form	-6	19–27	L	O44
Very close	SEA @ ATL 2025 · Week 14 · very close · similar spread & situation	-7	37–9	W	O44.5
Very close	PHI @ WSH 2025 · Week 16 · very close · similar spread & total	-7	29–18	W	O43.5
Very close	WSH @ NO 2024 · Week 15 · very close · similar situation & spread	-7.5	20–19	L	U44.5
Very close	LAC @ LV 2024 · Week 18 · very close · similar rest & spread	-6.5	34–20	W	O41.5
Very close	SEA @ CAR 2025 · Week 17 · very close · similar spread & total	-6.5	27–10	W	U42.5
Very close	GB @ CHI 2024 · Week 11 · very close · similar spread & season form	-6.5	20–19	L	U41.5
Close	MIN @ JAX 2024 · Week 10 · close · similar rest & spread	-7.5	12–7	L	U42.5
Close	WSH @ DAL 2024 · Week 18 · close · similar total & rest	-7.5	23–19	L	U43.5

History, not a prediction. Every NFL game from 2023 on is compared with this one as it looked before kickoff (team strength, the betting line, season form, situation, venue and rest), and only close matches are kept. How matches are found

ATS

Records before kickoff

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
SEA WLPLL	1-3-2	25%	1-2	1-3-2
LV WWWLW	5-1	83%	3-0	4-1

Venue/role: SEA away, as favorite; LV home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before kickoff

	O-U	Over %	SU
SEA UOOOU	3-3	50%	3-3
LV UOOOO	4-2	67%	3-3

In 495 games with totals 40.5–46.5, 52% went over; 3% of those overs had cashed by halftime and 24% by the end of Q3.

When games like this go over ›

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Hover for the score and line.

Last 10 games

Before kickoff, this and last season

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
SEA	7-3 70%	5-3-2 63%	5-5 50%
LV	4-6 40%	7-3 70%	6-4 60%

Wins-losses (pushes and ties last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Seattle Seahawks

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 29	@ SF	L29–32LO
Dec 7	vs DAL	L35–41WO
Dec 13	vs NYG	L20–29LO

Las Vegas Raiders

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 22	@ DEN	L17–24WO
Nov 29	@ CLE	L10–24LU
Dec 13	vs LAC	W26–14WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

The series

SEA 6–6 LV Series tied · 12 games since 1999 · LV has won the last meeting

All-time series from nflverse.

Matchup stats

Season to date before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

Power rating this season

pts vs an average team · #rank · tap a dot

SEA+3.2 →+4.3▲ 1.1#1

LV−3.0 →−2.1▲ 0.9#23

Predashed line = average team · hover or tap a dotW9

SEA

Longer bar = better

#19

Offense

LV better ▶

#13

Defense

◀ SEA better

#26

−0.2 #19

Turnovers

LV better ▶

+0.3 #15

63 plays #12

Pace

Even

64 plays #9

Unit by unitEach offense against the other's defense

When SEA has the ball

Advantage: SEA offense

	SEA off	LV def	Edge
Points / game	24.7 #13	27.0 #26	SEA
Yards / play	5.26 #17	5.99 #29	SEA
EPA / play	−0.08 #24	+0.03 #22	Even
Success rate	41% #22	45% #26	Even

When LV has the ball

Advantage: SEA defense

	LV off	SEA def	Edge
Points / game	27.0 #6	20.3 #6	Even
Yards / play	5.33 #16	3.96 #1	SEA
EPA / play	+0.02 #14	−0.13 #2	SEA
Success rate	43% #17	37% #2	SEA

Bars show league standing (dashed mark = league middle); Offense and Defense use the average rank across the four stats below. In the tables, a highlighted value and the Edge column mark the side ranked better by at least 15% of the league; defense values are what that team allows. Yards and turnovers from ESPN box scores; EPA from nflverse play-by-play. Descriptive only: the model already uses these.

Points by quarter and half

Per game this season before kickoff · ranks among 32 teams

SEA scoring against the LV defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
SEA scored	4.0 #18	4.8 #25	8.8 #24	7.2 #6	8.7 #7	15.8 #4
LV allowed	5.0 #17	6.7 #17	11.7 #18	8.7 #31	6.7 #15	15.3 #27

LV scoring against the SEA defense

	Q1	Q2	1H	Q3	Q4	2H
LV scored	5.2 #8	7.5 #11	12.7 #11	4.3 #19	10.0 #2	14.3 #8
SEA allowed	2.8 #7	9.2 #28	12.0 #20	2.8 #3	5.0 #6	7.8 #3

Regulation only (overtime is left out). 1H = Q1 + Q2, 2H = Q3 + Q4. #1 scores the most, or allows the fewest. Season to date, not adjusted for opponents.