Michelob ULTRA Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
SJU -4.5✓ AUB covered by 15.5
SJU -4.5✓ AUB covered by 15.5Closing total166.5Under by 7.5
| SJU | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 5-2 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 7-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJU 89–82 AUB · ✗ SJU (73%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJU | 39 | 35 | 74 |
| AUB | 30 | 55 | 85 |
1st half: SJU 39, AUB 30 (SJU by 9). The model had SJU by 4.3 and a total of 80.0 (actual 69).
Team stats
| SJU | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-60 38% | Field goals | 29-53 55% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 6-14 43% |
| 21-28 75% | Free throws | 21-25 84% |
| 32 19 off | Rebounds | 35 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 35 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 34 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Joson Sanon G | 30 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-7 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 28 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 2-11 | 0-5 |
| Dylan Darling G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dillon Mitchell F | 31 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Ian Jackson G | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Ruben Prey F | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Casper Pohto, Fotis Konstantinidis, Imran Suljanovic, Kelvin Odih, Lefteris Liotopoulos, Handje Tamba
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Overton G | 38 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 37 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 10-19 | 3-8 |
| Elyjah Freeman G | 37 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 35 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 22 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Emeka Opurum C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Magwood G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Simon Walker G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Filip Jovic, Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Reed Trapp, Blake Muschalek, CJ Williams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSJU -4.5
ModelSJU -6.9
Model edgeSJU +2.4
L AUB covered
Total
Market166.5
Model171.0
Model edgeOver 4.5
L Under
Projected score
SJU 88.9 · AUB 82.1
SJU 74 · AUB 85
Win probability
SJU 73%
1st half
Spread
SJU -4.3
SJU -9.0
Total
80.0
69 points
Projected score
SJU 42.2 · AUB 37.9
SJU 39 · AUB 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -6.5
2 → AUB
CloseSJU -4.5
2 pts toward AUB
Total
Open166.5
no move
Close166.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SJU -218 · AUB +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -6.5 · closed SJU -4.5 · moved 2 toward AUBmodel SJU -7
model SJU -7
Opened 166.5 · unchangedmodel 171
model 171
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJUlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 5-1 83% | 4-2 67% |
| AUBlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 5-2 71% | 7-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
St John's
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
QUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vs
ALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vs
W&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vs
BUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vs
ISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vs
BAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
over 4under 2avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-0
100% overs · avg +10.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
over 7under 0avg +10.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
St John's
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Baylor96–81
- Lvs Iowa State82–83
- Wvs Bucknell97–49
- Wvs William & Mary93–60
- Lvs Alabama96–103
1 day since their last game.
Auburn
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan72–102
- Wvs Oregon84–73
- Wvs Jackson St112–66
- Lvs Houston72–73
- Wvs Wofford93–62
1 day since their last game.