Thomas & Mack Center · at UNLV · Conference game
Closing line
UNLV -8.5✓ UNLV covered by 3.5
UNLV -8.5✓ UNLV covered by 3.5Closing total159.5Under by 3.5
 FRES | This season | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 4-6 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 4-6 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FRES 76–83 UNLV · ✓ UNLV (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 41 | 31 | 72 |
| UNLV | 39 | 45 | 84 |
1st half: FRES 41, UNLV 39 (FRES by 2). The model had UNLV by 4.1 and a total of 74.2 (actual 80).
Team stats
| FRES | UNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-64 42% | Field goals | 28-49 57% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 19-22 86% |
| 31 13 off | Rebounds | 30 4 off |
| 17 | Assists | 20 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| FRES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder G | 39 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 7-16 | 2-7 |
| Wilson Jacques C | 35 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Zaon Collins G | 32 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5-16 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Faas G | 29 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| DeShawn Gory F | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Douglas Jr. G | 22 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| DJ Stickman G | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bastien Rieber G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Gasper Kocevar C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jac Mani F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Nathan Zulemie, Matteo Porto, Aram Vladimir Soqui Urbano, Troy Jenkins, Makhan Diouf
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 38 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 9-15 | 6-10 |
| Tyrin Jones F | 38 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 7-7 | 0-0 |
| Kimani Hamilton F | 37 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 7-10 | 1-3 |
| Howie Fleming Jr. G | 29 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Jacob Bannarbie F | 25 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Issac Williamson G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Emmanuel Stephen C | 12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Naas Cunningham F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Walter Brown F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Xavier Brumfield, Jalen Cunningham, Al Green, Mason Abittan, Myles Che, Ladji Dembele
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNLV -8.5
ModelUNLV -7.0
Model edgeFRES +1.5
L UNLV covered
Total
Market159.5
Model158.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
W Under
Projected score
FRES 75.7 · UNLV 82.7
FRES 72 · UNLV 84
Win probability
UNLV 73%
1st half
Spread
UNLV -4.1
FRES -2.0
Total
74.2
80 points
Projected score
FRES 35 · UNLV 39.1
FRES 41 · UNLV 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNLV -7.5
1 → UNLV
CloseUNLV -8.5
1 pt toward UNLV
Total
Open156.5
▲ 3
Close159.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
FRES +300 · UNLV -380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNLV -7.5 · closed UNLV -8.5 · moved 1 toward UNLVmodel UNLV -7
model UNLV -7
Opened 156.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 3 upmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FRES | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| UNLV | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
FRES 3–5 UNLVUNLV leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UNLV has won the last 4 meetings · FRES 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | UNLV 52 @ FRES 51 | FRES +8.5 | FRES W |
| Dec 28, 2024-25 | FRES 77 @ UNLV 87 | UNLV -15.5 | FRES W |
| Feb 14, 2023-24 | UNLV 67 @ FRES 65 | FRES +4.5 | FRES W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | FRES 69 @ UNLV 78 | UNLV -7.5 | UNLV W |
| Feb 3, 2022-23 | FRES 82 @ UNLV 79 | UNLV -9.5 | FRES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fresno St
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UPST | L 66-67 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs LBSU | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs UCSD | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs UVU | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 18 | vs SFA | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | vs NOLA | W 85-76 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs PEPP | W 76-53 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 30 | vs CSUB | L 71-76 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARK | L 58-82 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 10 | @ CSUN | L 87-89 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−10.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+13.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
−6.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
+5.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+4.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+2.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
+20.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−15.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−4.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUPST
UPSTL 66-67
−31.5
8
vsLBSU
LBSUW 82-62
+1.5
12
vsUCSD
UCSDL 73-78
+2.5
15
vsUVU
UVUW 75-74
−7.5
18
vsSFA
SFAW 80-78
+11.5
21
vsNOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+6.5
26
vsPEPP
PEPPW 76-53
−21.5
30
vsCSUB
CSUBL 71-76
−3.5
6
@ARK
ARKL 58-82
−21.5
10
@CSUN
CSUNL 87-89
+14.5
over 5under 5avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNLV
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UTM | L 81-86 | -16.5 | L −21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTC | W 101-69 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 11 | vs MONT | L 93-102 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 16 | @ MEM | W 92-78 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs JOES | W 99-85 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs MD | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ALA | L 76-115 | +13.5 | L −25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 27 | vs RUTG | L 65-80 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ STAN | W 75-74 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs TNST | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+3.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−4.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
−25.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−19.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
+10.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−15.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+22.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−23.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
+9.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−8.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
−15.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−38.5
over 6under 4avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fresno St
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ CSU Northridge87–89
- L@ Arkansas58–82
- Lvs Bakersfield71–76
- Wvs Pepperdine76–53
- Wvs LSU N Orleans85–76
A week or more of rest.
UNLV
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Tennessee St60–63
- W@ Stanford75–74
- Lvs Rutgers65–80
- Lvs Alabama76–115
- Lvs Maryland67–74
A week or more of rest.