Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena · at Saint Joseph's · Conference game
Closing line
DUQ -1.5✓ JOES covered by 8.5
DUQ -1.5✓ JOES covered by 8.5Closing total149.5Over by 37.5
| DUQ | This season | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| 7-6 | Record | 6-7 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 3-10 |
| 11-2 | O/U | 5-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DUQ 79–78 JOES · ✗ DUQ (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUQ | 34 | 49 | 7 | 90 |
| JOES | 40 | 43 | 14 | 97 |
1st half: DUQ 34, JOES 40 (JOES by 6). The model had DUQ by 0.8 and a total of 73.3 (actual 74).
Team stats
| DUQ | JOES | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-74 46% | Field goals | 33-68 49% |
| 9-34 26% | 3-pointers | 9-29 31% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 22-29 76% |
| 37 14 off | Rebounds | 37 13 off |
| 13 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 23 | Fouls | 12 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| DUQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard G | 39 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 9-19 | 2-10 |
| Jimmie Williams G | 38 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 7-19 | 1-9 |
| David Dixon F | 35 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Jakub Necas F | 23 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-2 |
| Cam Crawford G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jake DiMichele G | 27 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Alex Williams F | 26 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-5 |
| Brandon Hall G | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Lazar Milosevic F | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Maximus Edwards G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lucas Prolla, Frederik Jellum, Dom Aekins, John Hugley IV, Stef van Bussel, Seamus McDermott, Ethan Anish, Arness Lawson
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Simpson G | 41 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 6-12 | 1-5 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 39 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 8-16 | 5-11 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 37 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Finkley F | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Smith C | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Justice Ajogbor C | 27 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Austin Williford G | 24 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 6-9 | 3-4 |
| Khaafiq Myers G | 18 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Kevin Kearney F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Al Amadou, Mekai Johnson, Billy Rayer, Owen Verna, Will Lange, Steven Solano
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDUQ -1.5
ModelDUQ -1.1
Model edgeJOES +0.4
W JOES covered
Total
Market149.5
Model156.4
Model edgeOver 6.9
W Over
Projected score
DUQ 78.8 · JOES 77.6
DUQ 90 · JOES 97
Win probability
DUQ 54%
1st half
Spread
DUQ -0.8
JOES -6.0
Total
73.3
74 points
Projected score
DUQ 37 · JOES 36.2
DUQ 34 · JOES 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDUQ -2.5
1 → JOES
CloseDUQ -1.5
1 pt toward JOES
Total
Open152.5
▼ 3
Close149.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
DUQ -135 · JOES +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DUQ -2.5 · closed DUQ -1.5 · moved 1 toward JOESmodel DUQ -1
model DUQ -1
Opened 152.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 3 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUQ | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
| JOES | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
DUQ 4–3 JOESDUQ leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · DUQ 6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | DUQ 72 @ JOES 76 | JOES -9.5 | DUQ W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | JOES 81 @ DUQ 85 | DUQ +2.5 | DUQ W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | JOES 56 @ DUQ 66 | DUQ -3.5 | DUQ W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | DUQ 69 @ JOES 71 | JOES -5.5 | DUQ W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | JOES 62 @ DUQ 76 | DUQ -6.5 | DUQ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Duquesne
13 games played
Straight up
7-6
54% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-2
85% overs · avg +10.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NIA | W 83-63 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHU | W 92-80 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs QUC | W 87-81 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | @ VILL | L 77-87 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs L-MD | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs NE | L 86-93 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 2 | vs W&M | L 79-83 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs STBK | W 84-75 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ BOIS | L 64-86 | +14.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ NEV | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 22 | vs CAN | W 103-59 | -19.5 | W +24.5 | 143.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 30 | @ DAV | W 89-83 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | vs VCU | L 80-93 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNIA
NIAW 83-63
+2.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 92-80
−0.5
11
vsQUC
QUCW 87-81
−6.5
15
@VILL
VILLL 77-87
+0.5
19
vsL-MD
L-MDW 92-78
−0.5
22
vsNE
NEL 86-93
−14.5
2
vsW&M
W&ML 79-83
−9.5
6
vsSTBK
STBKW 84-75
−0.5
10
@BOIS
BOISL 64-86
−7.5
13
@NEV
NEVL 75-78
+2.5
22
vsCAN
CANW 103-59
+24.5
30
@DAV
DAVW 89-83
+8.5
3
vsVCU
VCUL 80-93
−7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNIA
NIAW 83-63
+6.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 92-80
+14.5
11
vsQUC
QUCW 87-81
+5.5
15
@VILL
VILLL 77-87
+12.5
19
vsL-MD
L-MDW 92-78
+19.5
22
vsNE
NEL 86-93
+31.5
2
vsW&M
W&ML 79-83
−8.5
6
vsSTBK
STBKW 84-75
+8.5
10
@BOIS
BOISL 64-86
−0.5
13
@NEV
NEVL 75-78
+1.5
22
vsCAN
CANW 103-59
+18.5
30
@DAV
DAVW 89-83
+21.5
3
vsVCU
VCUL 80-93
+7.5
over 11under 2avg +10.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Joseph's
13 games played
Straight up
6-7
46% wins
Against the spread
3-10
23% covers · avg −5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LAF | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs DREX | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @ VT | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @ PENN | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ UNLV | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRIN | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs TEM | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs COPP | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 11 | @ SYR | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs DSU | W 67-51 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 22 | vs CCU | L 62-68 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 31 | @ SLU | L 79-102 | +19.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vsDAV | L 56-62 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
−4.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−22.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−14.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
−3.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−3.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
+2.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
−0.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
+3.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−1.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−13.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
−3.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 10avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLAF
LAFW 85-76
+22.5
8
vsDREX
DREXW 76-65
+1.5
12
@VT
VTL 59-94
−5.5
17
@PENN
PENNL 74-83
−6.5
20
@UNLV
UNLVL 85-99
+22.5
30
vsPRIN
PRINW 60-58
−28.5
6
vsTEM
TEMW 70-69
−8.5
9
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-65
+5.5
11
@SYR
SYRL 63-71
−12.5
18
vsDSU
DSUW 67-51
−19.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 62-68
−14.5
31
@SLU
SLUL 79-102
+19.5
3
vsDAV
DAVL 56-62
−21.5
over 5under 8avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Duquesne
7-6 overall · 1-1 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs VCU80–93
- W@ Davidson89–83
- Wvs Canisius103–59
- L@ Nevada75–78
- L@ Boise St64–86
4 days since their last game.
Saint Joseph's
6-7 overall · 0-2 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Davidson56–62
- L@ Saint Louis79–102
- Lvs Coastal62–68
- Wvs Delaware St67–51
- L@ Syracuse63–71
4 days since their last game.