Tarlton Complex · Neutral site
Closing line
HPU -12.5✓ APP covered by 20.5
HPU -12.5✓ APP covered by 20.5Closing total144.5Over by 19.5
| HPU | This season | APP |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | Record | 4-5 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 6-3 | O/U | 2-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HPU 81–68 APP · ✗ HPU (86%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HPU | 33 | 38 | 7 | 78 |
| APP | 34 | 37 | 15 | 86 |
1st half: HPU 33, APP 34 (APP by 1). The model had HPU by 7.6 and a total of 69.8 (actual 67).
Team stats
| HPU | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-75 35% | Field goals | 27-57 47% |
| 11-44 25% | 3-pointers | 13-27 48% |
| 15-27 56% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 45 19 off | Rebounds | 45 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 19 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 26 | Fouls | 20 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| HPU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Anderson F | 41 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 6-13 | 3-7 |
| Cam'Ron Fletcher F | 30 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 4-15 | 0-6 |
| Rob Martin G | 28 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Owen Aquino F | 19 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Chase Johnston G | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Conrad Martinez G | 31 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 4-12 | 1-7 |
| Braden Hausen F | 23 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3-11 | 3-9 |
| Youssouf Singar C | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Scotty Washington G | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Josh Ibukunoluwa F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mavrick Miller, Kasen Krueger, Dorian Grosber, Caden Miller, Babacar Diallo, Vincent Brady II, Birgir Irving, Liam Carney, David Fonville
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wilson C | 39 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Kasen Jennings G | 37 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 8-13 | 3-5 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 37 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 5-9 | 5-6 |
| Eren Banks G | 37 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 5-15 | 4-11 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 22 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacari Brim G | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Andrin Njock F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Chad Moodie F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Tot G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grant Clayton, Tre McKinnon, Ted Neal, KJ Vasser, Dalyn Brandon, Brewer Carruth, Luke Ledford, Cameron O'Kelley
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHPU -12.5
ModelHPU -12.4
Model edgeAPP +0.1
W APP covered
Total
Market144.5
Model149.0
Model edgeOver 4.5
W Over
Projected score
HPU 80.7 · APP 68.3
HPU 78 · APP 86
Win probability
HPU 86%
1st half
Spread
HPU -7.6
APP -1.0
Total
69.8
67 points
Projected score
HPU 38.7 · APP 31.1
HPU 33 · APP 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHPU -11.5
1 → HPU
CloseHPU -12.5
1 pt toward HPU
Total
Open144.5
no move
Close144.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
HPU -850 · APP +575
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HPU -11.5 · closed HPU -12.5 · moved 1 toward HPUmodel HPU -12.5 matches the line
model HPU -12.5 = line ✓
Opened 144.5 · unchangedmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HPUlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 4-5 44% | 6-3 67% |
| APPlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% | 2-7 22% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
HPU 1–0 APPHPU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · HPU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | APP 59 vs HPU 65 | HPU -5.5 | HPU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
High Point
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FUR | W 97-71 | -3.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs JAX | W 85-64 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | @ UAB | L 74-91 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 168.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs CAN | W 93-50 | -23.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs UIC | W 90-80 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs UIW | W 91-80 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 29 | vs WCU | W 93-73 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 3 | vs SIU | L 84-86 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 162.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs NJIT | W 89-72 | -28.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+22.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
+3.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−18.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
+19.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
−0.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
−1.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+3.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
−11.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
−11.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFUR
FURW 97-71
+14.5
11
vsJAX
JAXW 85-64
−7.5
14
@UAB
UABL 74-91
−3.5
17
vsCAN
CANW 93-50
−9.5
20
vsUIC
UICW 90-80
+11.5
22
vsUIW
UIWW 91-80
+10.5
29
vsWCU
WCUW 93-73
+6.5
3
vsSIU
SIUL 84-86
+7.5
5
vsNJIT
NJITW 89-72
+5.5
over 6under 3avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
App State
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-7
22% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vs NCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vs ELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | @ ECU | W 67-54 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
+17.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
−9.5
over 2under 7avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
High Point
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NJIT89–72
- Lvs S Illinois84–86
- Wvs W Carolina93–73
- Wvs Incarnate Word91–80
- Wvs UIC90–80
A week or more of rest.
App State
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ East Carolina67–54
- Lvs UNC Asheville55–67
- L@ Mercer67–75
- Lvs Elon53–88
- Wvs Charlotte65–63
3 days since their last game.