Reed Gym · at Idaho St
Closing line
IDST -8.5✓ IDST covered by 5.5
IDST -8.5✓ IDST covered by 5.5Closing total142.5Over by 29.5
 DEN | This season | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 3-4 |
| 6-2 | ATS | 6-1 |
| 8-0 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEN 70–79 IDST · ✓ IDST (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 37 | 42 | 79 |
| IDST | 43 | 50 | 93 |
1st half: DEN 37, IDST 43 (IDST by 6). The model had IDST by 5.3 and a total of 69.5 (actual 80).
Team stats
| DEN | IDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-55 49% | Field goals | 32-64 50% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 15-29 52% |
| 20-27 74% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 29 10 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 2 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson G | 40 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 6-14 | 2-6 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 38 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-5 |
| Logan Kinsey F | 36 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Shaun Wysocki F | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Julius Rollins G | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gabe Oldham F | 26 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Zane Nelson G | 22 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Didier Maleng F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Lee, Loch Cunningham, Corleone Dandridge, Devin Carney, Trajan Thompson, Kaden Holdbrook, Ian Motta
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Brewer G | 37 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 7-11 | 3-6 |
| Martin Kheil G | 35 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 5-10 | 5-9 |
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 32 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4-11 | 3-7 |
| Jamison Guerra PG | 27 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2-10 | 1-3 |
| Evan Otten F | 17 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 17 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Cheikh Sow G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Gus Etchison G | 13 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-3 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Quin Patterson, Landen Birley, Trey Arland, Jaedyn Brown, Louis Bond, Kasen Carpenter
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIDST -8.5
ModelIDST -9.0
Model edgeIDST +0.5
W IDST covered
Total
Market142.5
Model148.3
Model edgeOver 5.8
W Over
Projected score
DEN 69.7 · IDST 78.7
DEN 79 · IDST 93
Win probability
IDST 78%
1st half
Spread
IDST -5.3
IDST -6.0
Total
69.5
80 points
Projected score
DEN 32.1 · IDST 37.4
DEN 37 · IDST 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIDST -7.5
1 → IDST
CloseIDST -8.5
1 pt toward IDST
Total
Open148.5
▼ 6
Close142.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
DEN +320 · IDST -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IDST -7.5 · closed IDST -8.5 · moved 1 toward IDSTmodel IDST -9
model IDST -9
Opened 148.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 6 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DENlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 6-2 75% | 8-0 100% |
| IDSTlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 6-1 86% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
DEN 2–0 IDSTDEN leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · DEN has won the last 2 meetings · DEN 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | IDST 82 @ DEN 95 | DEN -6.5 | DEN W |
| Nov 18, 2022-23 | DEN 70 @ IDST 69 | IDST -3.5 | DEN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Denver
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
6-2
75% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-0
100% overs · avg +13.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SEA | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 6 | @ WASH | L 70-84 | +27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ MTST | W 75-73 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTSA | L 79-84 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ CSU | W 83-81 | +18.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | @ ARIZ | L 73-103 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 26 | @ WYO | L 59-101 | +9.5 | L −32.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | vs EWU | W 93-89 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+2.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+13.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+9.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
−9.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+20.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+2.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
−32.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 2avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+20.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+0.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+1.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
+14.5
21
@CSU
CSUW 83-81
+14.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 73-103
+21.5
26
@WYO
WYOL 59-101
+6.5
3
vsEWU
EWUW 93-89
+26.5
over 8under 0avg +13.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Idaho St
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
6-1
86% covers · avg +7.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
USD
USDW 71-68
+7.5
9
@
SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
+5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+2.5
18
@
SCU
SCUL 55-64
+5.5
26
vs
SHSU
SHSUL 81-84
−1.5
28
vs
CSUN
CSUNW 82-50
+30.5
3
@
KC
KCW 68-59
+3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 1avg +7.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
−13.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
−5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+18.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
−22.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
+22.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
−16.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
−10.5
over 2under 5avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Denver
3-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Washington93–89
- L@ Wyoming59–101
- L@ Arizona73–103
- W@ Colorado St83–81
- Lvs UTSA79–84
3 days since their last game.
Idaho St
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kansas City68–59
- Wvs CSU Northridge82–50
- Lvs Sam Houston81–84
- L@ Santa Clara55–64
- L@ Seattle U74–83
3 days since their last game.