Leo D. Mahoney Arena · at Fairfield
Closing line
FAIR -9.5✓ UNH covered by 5.5
FAIR -9.5✓ UNH covered by 5.5Closing total147.5Under by 7.5
 UNH | This season | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| 0-5 | Record | 4-3 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNH 68–79 FAIR · ✓ FAIR (83%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNH | 45 | 23 | 68 |
| FAIR | 35 | 37 | 72 |
1st half: UNH 45, FAIR 35 (UNH by 10). The model had FAIR by 6.5 and a total of 68.6 (actual 80).
Team stats
| UNH | FAIR | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 27-59 46% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 10-17 59% |
| 34 13 off | Rebounds | 42 14 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UNH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davide Poser F | 33 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Jack Graham G | 32 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Belal El Shakery F | 29 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4-15 | 0-0 |
| John Squire F | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| KiJan Robinson G | 21 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Bike G | 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Comeh Emuobor F | 16 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| R.J. Kennedy G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Giannos Xanthopoulos C | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Blackley, Dylan Saunders, Jon O'Neill, Antoni Siewruk, Nick Sanford
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Benjamin F | 36 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 7-12 | 0-1 |
| Braden Sparks G | 35 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 7-9 | 5-7 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 34 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 6-13 | 0-2 |
| Deuce Turner G | 29 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1-9 | 1-4 |
| Eric Mejia G | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Estevez G | 26 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-2 |
| Halon Rawlins G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ryan Zan F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tony Williams G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Luke Davidson, Noah Best, Michael Rogan, Matt Curtis, Peyton Smith, Tanner Ostop, Aidan May, Joe Ganton
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFAIR -9.5
ModelFAIR -10.9
Model edgeFAIR +1.4
L UNH covered
Total
Market147.5
Model146.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
W Under
Projected score
UNH 67.8 · FAIR 78.7
UNH 68 · FAIR 72
Win probability
FAIR 83%
1st half
Spread
FAIR -6.5
UNH -10.0
Total
68.6
80 points
Projected score
UNH 31.1 · FAIR 37.5
UNH 45 · FAIR 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFAIR -9.5
no move
CloseFAIR -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 2
Close147.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UNH +440 · FAIR -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FAIR -9.5 · unchangedmodel FAIR -11
model FAIR -11
Opened 145.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNHlast 5 | 0-5 0% | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% |
| FAIRlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% | 5-2 71% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNH 2–1 FAIRUNH leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UNH 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024-25 | FAIR 62 @ UNH 56 | UNH +1.5 | FAIR W |
| Nov 24, 2023-24 | UNH 83 @ FAIR 80 | FAIR -1.5 | UNH W |
| Nov 11, 2022-23 | FAIR 71 @ UNH 83 | UNH +6.5 | UNH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Hampshire
5 games played
Straight up
0-5
0% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −14.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@
HARV
HARVL 75-86
+4.5
15
@
GMU
GMUL 44-61
+7.5
18
@
PROV
PROVL 66-98
−2.5
26
vs
BRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+13.5
15
@GMU
GMUL 44-61
−39.5
18
@PROV
PROVL 66-98
+2.5
26
vsBRWN
BRWNL 47-59
−30.5
over 2under 3avg −14.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Fairfield
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +10.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
PSU
PSUL 68-76
+7.5
8
@
NJIT
NJITW 74-53
+14.5
10
@
HALL
HALLL 59-82
−8.5
14
vs
STO
STOW 73-71
−4.5
16
vs
L-MD
L-MDW 85-82
−2.5
22
@
LEM
LEMW 97-83
+12.5
26
vs
COLU
COLUL 77-106
−25.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PSU
PSUL 68-76
−7.5
8
@NJIT
NJITW 74-53
−18.5
10
@HALL
HALLL 59-82
+3.5
14
vsSTO
STOW 73-71
+0.5
16
vsL-MD
L-MDW 85-82
+31.5
22
@LEM
LEMW 97-83
+34.5
26
vsCOLU
COLUL 77-106
+32.5
over 5under 2avg +10.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Hampshire
0-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Brown47–59
- L@ Providence66–98
- L@ George Mason44–61
- L@ Harvard75–86
- L@ Clemson38–88
4 days since their last game.
Fairfield
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Columbia77–106
- W@ Le Moyne97–83
- Wvs Loyola MD85–82
- Wvs Stonehill73–71
- L@ Seton Hall59–82
4 days since their last game.