Ford Center · at Evansville
Closing line
EVAN -6.5✓ EVAN covered by 5.5
EVAN -6.5✓ EVAN covered by 5.5Closing total136.5Under by 20.5
 BALL | This season | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 1-5 |
| 2-5 | ATS | 2-4 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BALL 67–72 EVAN · ✓ EVAN (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 32 | 20 | 52 |
| EVAN | 33 | 31 | 64 |
1st half: BALL 32, EVAN 33 (EVAN by 1). The model had EVAN by 2.8 and a total of 64.9 (actual 65).
Team stats
| BALL | EVAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-56 32% | Field goals | 22-52 42% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 6-25 24% |
| 10-14 71% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 41 9 off |
| 12 | Assists | 15 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 8 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| BALL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Jones F | 38 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Armoni Zeigler G | 35 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Juwan Maxey G | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-11 | 0-7 |
| Preston Copeland F | 24 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Elmore James IV G | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devon Barnes G | 22 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Kayden Fish F | 18 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Davion Hill G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Joey Hart G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Alex Farley, Easton Foster, Kody Clancy, Jai Anthoni Bearden, Cam Denson, Zane Doughty
| EVAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Turnbull F | 29 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 9-13 | 0-2 |
| Joshua Hughes F | 24 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Leif Moeller G | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Alex Hemenway G | 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Keishon Porter G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Casey F | 27 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Quinet G | 25 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Trent Hundley F | 25 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-9 |
| Kaia Berridge G | 20 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Aaron Gutman, Leo Amari IV, Marlon Barnes Jr., James Dyson-Merwe, Weston Aigner, Dakota Candler
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketEVAN -6.5
ModelEVAN -4.9
Model edgeBALL +1.6
L EVAN covered
Total
Market136.5
Model138.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
L Under
Projected score
BALL 66.8 · EVAN 71.6
BALL 52 · EVAN 64
Win probability
EVAN 67%
1st half
Spread
EVAN -2.8
EVAN -1.0
Total
64.9
65 points
Projected score
BALL 31 · EVAN 33.8
BALL 32 · EVAN 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenEVAN -6.5
no move
CloseEVAN -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open136.5
no move
Close136.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BALL +230 · EVAN -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened EVAN -6.5 · unchangedmodel EVAN -5
model EVAN -5
Opened 136.5 · unchangedmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BALLlast 7 | 2-5 29% | 2-5 29% | 2-5 29% |
| EVANlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BALL 2–1 EVANBALL leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · BALL 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | EVAN 43 @ BALL 80 | BALL -4.5 | BALL W |
| Nov 18, 2023-24 | BALL 50 @ EVAN 74 | EVAN +1.5 | EVAN W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | EVAN 69 @ BALL 88 | BALL -9.5 | BALL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ball State
7 games played
Straight up
2-5
29% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −8.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UL
ULW 75-64
+6.5
11
@
WIS
WISL 55-86
−4.5
15
vs
LR
LRL 62-68
−8.5
22
@
INST
INSTL 52-70
−10.5
28
vs
MONM
MONML 73-80
−4.5
29
@
LAF
LAFL 37-55
−19.5
30
vs
LEM
LEMW 96-85
+12.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUL
ULW 75-64
−2.5
11
@WIS
WISL 55-86
−15.5
15
vsLR
LRL 62-68
−16.5
22
@INST
INSTL 52-70
−32.5
28
vsMONM
MONML 73-80
+16.5
29
@LAF
LAFL 37-55
−48.5
30
vsLEM
LEMW 96-85
+40.5
over 2under 5avg −8.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Evansville
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −7.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
PUR
PURL 51-82
+2.5
12
vs
MTSU
MTSUL 72-77
−7.5
18
vs
UTA
UTAL 76-84
−10.5
21
vs
ORST
ORSTW 73-69
+10.5
23
vs
AKR
AKRL 59-97
−26.5
24
vs
COFC
COFCL 59-78
−14.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@PUR
PURL 51-82
−17.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 72-77
+8.5
18
vsUTA
UTAL 76-84
+21.5
21
vsORST
ORSTW 73-69
+5.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 59-97
−0.5
24
vsCOFC
COFCL 59-78
−4.5
over 3under 3avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ball State
2-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Le Moyne96–85
- L@ Lafayette37–55
- Lvs Monmouth73–80
- L@ Indiana St52–70
- Lvs Little Rock62–68
3 days since their last game.
Evansville
1-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Charleston59–78
- Lvs Akron59–97
- Wvs Oregon St73–69
- Lvs UT Arlington76–84
- Lvs MTSU72–77
A week or more of rest.