Moody Center · at Texas · Conference game
Closing line
TEX -4.5✓ TA&M covered by 8.5
TEX -4.5✓ TA&M covered by 8.5Closing total166.5Under by 22.5
 TA&M | This season | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| 13-4 | Record | 10-6 |
| 10-7 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 12-5 | O/U | 10-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TA&M 84–87 TEX · ✗ TEX (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M | 29 | 45 | 74 |
| TEX | 29 | 41 | 70 |
1st half: TA&M 29, TEX 29 (tied). The model had TEX by 1.5 and a total of 79.9 (actual 58).
Team stats
| TA&M | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-53 51% | Field goals | 22-53 42% |
| 8-20 40% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 20-26 77% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 10 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| TA&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashaun Agee F | 33 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 6-14 | 0-2 |
| Jacari Lane G | 29 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Ruben Dominguez G | 27 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Rylan Griffen G | 25 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 6-7 | 4-5 |
| Marcus Hill G | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ali Dibba G | 22 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Pop Isaacs G | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Josh Holloway G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamie Vinson F | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Zach Clemence F | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Noah Shelby, Mackenzie Mgbako, Federiko Federiko, Chris McDermott, Jeremiah Green
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 37 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Pope G | 33 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 5-12 | 4-9 |
| Tramon Mark G | 32 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 30 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Camden Heide F | 27 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chendall Weaver G | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Lassina Traore F | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: John Clark, Nic Codie, Brandon Taylor, Anthon McDermott, Declan Duru Jr., Lewis Obiorah, Cole Bott
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTEX -4.5
ModelTEX -2.7
Model edgeTA&M +1.8
W TA&M covered
Total
Market166.5
Model170.6
Model edgeOver 4.1
L Under
Projected score
TA&M 83.9 · TEX 86.7
TA&M 74 · TEX 70
Win probability
TEX 59%
1st half
Spread
TEX -1.5
tied
Total
79.9
58 points
Projected score
TA&M 39.2 · TEX 40.7
TA&M 29 · TEX 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTEX -4.5
no move
CloseTEX -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open164.5
▲ 2
Close166.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TA&M +185 · TEX -225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TEX -4.5 · unchangedmodel TEX -2.5
model TEX -2.5
Opened 164.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 2 upmodel 170.5
model 170.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TA&M | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
| TEX | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TA&M 1–2 TEXTEX leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · TEX has won the last 2 meetings · TA&M 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | TEX 94 vs TA&M 89 | TA&M -5.5 | TEX W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | TA&M 69 @ TEX 70 | TEX -0.5 | TEX W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | TEX 60 @ TA&M 80 | TA&M -6.5 | TA&M W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas A&M
17 games played
Straight up
13-4
76% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-5
71% overs · avg +7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NWST | W 98-68 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 6 | vs TXSO | W 104-70 | -29.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 9 | @ OKST | L 63-87 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 174.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCF | L 74-86 | -10.5 | L −22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONT | W 86-81 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MAN | W 109-68 | -23.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 25 | vs MVSU | W 120-84 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 28 | vs FSU | W 95-59 | +1.5 | W +37.5 | 174.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ PITT | W 81-73 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMU | L 80-93 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 14 | vs JAX | W 112-75 | -26.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 21 | vs ETAM | W 118-77 | -28.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 29 | vs PV | W 111-82 | -29.5 | L −0.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 3 | vs LSU | W 75-72 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | @ AUB | W 90-88 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs OU | W 83-76 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | @ TENN | L 82-87 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+8.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+4.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−26.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−22.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
−12.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+17.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
−6.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
+37.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+4.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
−14.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+10.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+12.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
−0.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+8.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
+2.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNWST
NWSTW 98-68
+12.5
6
vsTXSO
TXSOW 104-70
+12.5
9
@OKST
OKSTL 63-87
−24.5
14
vsUCF
UCFL 74-86
−12.5
18
vsMONT
MONTW 86-81
+2.5
21
vsMAN
MANW 109-68
+14.5
25
vsMVSU
MVSUW 120-84
+49.5
28
vsFSU
FSUW 95-59
−20.5
2
@PITT
PITTW 81-73
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 80-93
+8.5
14
vsJAX
JAXW 112-75
+39.5
21
vsETAM
ETAMW 118-77
+28.5
29
vsPV
PVW 111-82
+15.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 75-72
−21.5
6
@AUB
AUBW 90-88
+9.5
10
vsOU
OUW 83-76
−6.5
13
@TENN
TENNL 82-87
+9.5
over 12under 5avg +7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs NCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vs VAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
over 10under 6avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas A&M
13-4 overall · 3-1 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee82–87
- Wvs Oklahoma83–76
- W@ Auburn90–88
- Wvs LSU75–72
- Wvs Prairie View111–82
4 days since their last game.
Texas
10-6 overall · 2-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Vanderbilt80–64
- W@ Alabama92–88
- L@ Tennessee71–85
- Lvs Mississippi St98–101
- Wvs MD Eastern94–71
3 days since their last game.