UNF Arena · at North Florida · Conference game
Closing line
STET -1.5✓ STET covered by 5.5
STET -1.5✓ STET covered by 5.5Closing total165.5Under by 4.5
| STET | This season | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| 5-14 | Record | 3-16 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 12-7 |
| 8-11 | O/U | 13-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STET 83–84 UNF · ✗ UNF (55%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STET | 39 | 45 | 84 |
| UNF | 36 | 41 | 77 |
1st half: STET 39, UNF 36 (STET by 3). The model had UNF by 0.8 and a total of 78.2 (actual 75).
Team stats
| STET | UNF | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-66 45% | Field goals | 27-60 45% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 36 13 off | Rebounds | 34 9 off |
| 21 | Assists | 18 |
| 4 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 20 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| STET | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Johnson G | 38 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| Ethan Copeland G | 38 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 8-13 | 6-9 |
| Finley Sheridan F | 30 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Collin Kuhl F | 29 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 11-16 | 0-0 |
| Calvin Sirmans III G | 28 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daniel Macgregor G | 19 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Alex Doyle F | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Janusz Ratowski F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| J.R. Leonard G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Morgan, Ben Gladieux, Jamie Phillips Jr., Miller McGowan, Isaac Jones, Matar Diop
| UNF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamrin Oriol G | 40 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3-12 | 0-4 |
| Kent Jackson G | 36 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 7-14 | 5-11 |
| Mason Lee G | 31 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| BJ Plummer G | 24 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Nestor Dyachok F | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dalton Gayman F | 27 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Devin Hines G | 18 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Dante Oliver G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trey Cady G | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Gabe Jacobs, Mason Watkins, Arden Begaj, Taylor Thompson, Alex Vargo
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTET -1.5
ModelUNF -1.5
Model edgeUNF +3.0
L STET covered
Total
Market165.5
Model167.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
STET 82.9 · UNF 84.4
STET 84 · UNF 77
Win probability
UNF 55%
1st half
Spread
UNF -0.8
STET -3.0
Total
78.2
75 points
Projected score
STET 38.7 · UNF 39.5
STET 39 · UNF 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNF -1.5
3 → STET
CloseSTET -1.5
3 pts toward STET
Total
Open167.5
▼ 2
Close165.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
STET -115 · UNF -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNF -1.5 · closed STET -1.5 · moved 3 toward STETmodel UNF -1.5
model UNF -1.5
Opened 167.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 2 downmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STET | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| UNF | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
STET 3–5 UNFUNF leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UNF has won the last 3 meetings · STET 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | UNF 79 @ STET 71 | STET +6.5 | UNF W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | STET 100 @ UNF 101 | UNF -9.5 | STET W |
| Mar 1, 2023-24 | STET 59 @ UNF 78 | UNF -1.5 | UNF W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | UNF 74 @ STET 75 | STET -7.5 | UNF W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | STET 81 @ UNF 92 | UNF -0.5 | UNF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stetson
19 games played
Straight up
5-14
26% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ URI | L 62-93 | +18.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 10 | @ MIA | L 61-102 | +34.5 | L −6.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 16 | @ WCU | L 65-76 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs HOW | W 64-60 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vs VMI | W 99-80 | +2.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 25 | vs WRST | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs SUU | L 68-70 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 30 | @ RMU | L 62-80 | +11.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | @ GCU | L 45-67 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | @ SC | L 51-82 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 22 | @ OU | L 54-107 | +31.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @ UNA | W 70-67 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ CARK | L 73-93 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 8 | vs LIP | W 91-83 | +11.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | vs APSU | L 69-81 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 15 | vs WGA | W 95-86 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vs QUC | L 81-87 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 22 | @LIP | L 74-79 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 23 | @APSU | L 65-73 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@URI
URIL 62-93
−12.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 61-102
−6.5
16
@WCU
WCUL 65-76
+1.5
19
vsHOW
HOWW 64-60
+5.5
22
vsVMI
VMIW 99-80
+21.5
25
vsWRST
WRSTL 62-79
−7.5
29
vsSUU
SUUL 68-70
−0.5
30
@RMU
RMUL 62-80
−6.5
2
@GCU
GCUL 45-67
+2.5
6
@SC
SCL 51-82
−8.5
22
@OU
OUL 54-107
−21.5
1
@UNA
UNAW 70-67
+12.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 73-93
−8.5
8
vsLIP
LIPW 91-83
+19.5
10
vsAPSU
APSUL 69-81
−2.5
15
vsWGA
WGAW 95-86
+10.5
17
vsQUC
QUCL 81-87
+4.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 74-79
+10.5
23
@APSU
APSUL 65-73
+8.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@URI
URIL 62-93
+2.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 61-102
+1.5
16
@WCU
WCUL 65-76
−14.5
19
vsHOW
HOWW 64-60
−25.5
22
vsVMI
VMIW 99-80
+30.5
25
vsWRST
WRSTL 62-79
−6.5
29
vsSUU
SUUL 68-70
−10.5
30
@RMU
RMUL 62-80
−0.5
2
@GCU
GCUL 45-67
−29.5
6
@SC
SCL 51-82
−9.5
22
@OU
OUL 54-107
+12.5
1
@UNA
UNAW 70-67
−5.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 73-93
+18.5
8
vsLIP
LIPW 91-83
+23.5
10
vsAPSU
APSUL 69-81
−0.5
15
vsWGA
WGAW 95-86
+29.5
17
vsQUC
QUCL 81-87
+5.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 74-79
−4.5
23
@APSU
APSUL 65-73
−10.5
over 8under 11avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Florida
19 games played
Straight up
3-16
16% wins
Against the spread
12-7
63% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-6
68% overs · avg +8.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ FLA | L 64-104 | +43.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ TENN | L 66-99 | +41.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 19 | @ WOF | L 78-86 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs USM | L 83-92 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 23 | vs PV | L 82-85 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 2 | vs SIUE | L 63-72 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ GONZ | L 58-109 | +42.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 13 | @ DAY | L 61-84 | +30.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 18 | @ CHSO | L 90-113 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 203 |
| Dec 21 | @MIA | L 67-105 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 171.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 28 | vs COLU | L 82-90 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 1 | @APSU | L 83-102 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 3 | @LIP | L 74-82 | +18.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 8 | vsWGA | L 73-85 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 164.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vsQUC | L 82-89 | +11.5 | W +4.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 15 | @UNA | W 105-91 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 157.5 | O 196 |
| Jan 17 | @CARK | L 69-98 | +12.5 | L −16.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 22 | vs EKU | W 87-85 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 24 | vs BELL | W 117-114 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | O 231 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@FLA
FLAL 64-104
+3.5
12
@TENN
TENNL 66-99
+8.5
19
@WOF
WOFL 78-86
+2.5
22
vsUSM
USML 83-92
+0.5
23
vsPV
PVL 82-85
+0.5
2
vsSIUE
SIUEL 63-72
−1.5
7
@GONZ
GONZL 58-109
−8.5
13
@DAY
DAYL 61-84
+7.5
18
@CHSO
CHSOL 90-113
−12.5
21
@MIA
MIAL 67-105
−0.5
28
vsCOLU
COLUL 82-90
+3.5
1
@APSU
APSUL 83-102
−3.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 74-82
+10.5
8
vsWGA
WGAL 73-85
−9.5
10
vsQUC
QUCL 82-89
+4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 105-91
+23.5
17
@CARK
CARKL 69-98
−16.5
22
vsEKU
EKUW 87-85
+10.5
24
vsBELL
BELLW 117-114
+6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 7avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@FLA
FLAL 64-104
−1.5
12
@TENN
TENNL 66-99
+9.5
19
@WOF
WOFL 78-86
+2.5
22
vsUSM
USML 83-92
+20.5
23
vsPV
PVL 82-85
+6.5
2
vsSIUE
SIUEL 63-72
−18.5
7
@GONZ
GONZL 58-109
+0.5
13
@DAY
DAYL 61-84
−14.5
18
@CHSO
CHSOL 90-113
+39.5
21
@MIA
MIAL 67-105
+0.5
28
vsCOLU
COLUL 82-90
+9.5
1
@APSU
APSUL 83-102
+22.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 74-82
−16.5
8
vsWGA
WGAL 73-85
−6.5
10
vsQUC
QUCL 82-89
−2.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 105-91
+38.5
17
@CARK
CARKL 69-98
+2.5
22
vsEKU
EKUW 87-85
+5.5
24
vsBELL
BELLW 117-114
+66.5
over 13under 6avg +8.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stetson
5-14 overall · 3-5 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Austin Peay65–73
- L@ Lipscomb74–79
- Lvs Queens University Royals81–87
- Wvs West Georgia95–86
- Lvs Austin Peay69–81
6 days since their last game.
North Florida
3-16 overall · 3-5 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bellarmine117–114
- Wvs E Kentucky87–85
- L@ C Arkansas69–98
- W@ North Alabama105–91
- Lvs Queens University Royals82–89
5 days since their last game.