When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
3,143 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
51% went over. Of the 1,606 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Went over in Q3, cover changed hands in the last 5 minutes: 37 games
2023–2026 · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
JXST -3 | 44.5 | 21344851 | Q3 | Push Late cover flip |
24–27 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ISU -3 | 53.5 | 14355687 | Q3 | Push Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2026 · Week 3 |
USA -7 | 49.5 | 21315277 | Q3 | OHIO Q4 Late cover flip |
36–41 |
2026 · Week 3 |
MICH -34.5 | 48.5 | 7315969 | Q3 | MICH Q4 Late cover flip |
17–52 |
2025 · Postseason |
UNT -7.5 | 55.5 | 27486296 | Q3 | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
49–47 |
2025 · Postseason |
ORE -20.5 | 47.5 | 16406885 | Q3 | JMU Q4 Late cover flip |
34–51 |
2025 · Week 14 |
MSU -4 | 49.5 | 7315966 | Q3 | MSU Q4 Late cover flip |
28–38 |
2025 · Week 12 |
OSU -32.5 | 46.5 | 10274858 | Q3 | OSU Q3 Late cover flip |
10–48 |
2025 · Week 11 |
VAN -5.5 | 46.5 | 730547683 | Q3 | VAN OT Late cover flip |
38–45 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TROY -7.5 | 47.5 | 14384858 | Q3 | TROY Q3 Late cover flip |
23–35 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TA&M -8.5 | 57.5 | 10416587 | Q3 | ARK Q4 Late cover flip |
45–42 |
2025 · Week 8 |
UGA -7.5 | 56.5 | 10416178 | Q3 | UGA Q4 Late cover flip |
35–43 |
2025 · Week 6 |
BYU -19.5 | 46.5 | 14384862 | Q3 | WVU Q1 Late cover flip |
24–38 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MRSH -1.5 | 48.5 | 6345482105 | Q3 | UL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
51–54 |
2025 · Week 5 |
VAN -24.5 | 58.5 | 14526990 | Q3 | USU Q4 Late cover flip |
35–55 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TENN -38.5 | 68.5 | 21497380 | Q3 | UAB Q4 Late cover flip |
24–56 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UNLV -1.5 | 49.5 | 14346279 | Q3 | UNLV Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
41–38 |
 NORF @  RUTG2025 · Week 3 |
RUTG -45.5 | 55.5 | 13295670 | Q3 | RUTG Q4 Late cover flip |
10–60 |
2025 · Week 2 |
MIZ -6.5 | 49.5 | 27425273 | Q3 | MIZ Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–42 |
2025 · Week 1 |
TENN -13.5 | 51.5 | 17455871 | Q3 | TENN Q1 Late cover flip |
26–45 |
2024 · Postseason |
MIZ -1.5 | 41.5 | 21354551 | Q3 | MIZ Q4 Late cover flip |
24–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
MIA -5.5 | 61.5 | 35597383 | Q3 | ISU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–41 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UTSA -17.5 | 55.5 | 10456278 | Q3 | UTSA Q4 Late cover flip |
27–51 |
2024 · Week 12 |
COLO -13.5 | 43.5 | 17304473 | Q3 | COLO Q4 Late cover flip |
24–49 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ORE -14.5 | 45.5 | 14384855 | Q3 | ORE Q4 Late cover flip |
38–17 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UTSA -9.5 | 52.5 | 14426691 | Q3 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
45–46 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UNLV -18.5 | 66.5 | 21486884 | Q3 | USU Q4 Late cover flip |
50–34 |
2024 · Week 6 |
IU -12.5 | 38.5 | 7274165 | Q3 | IU Q4 Late cover flip |
41–24 |
2024 · Week 5 |
TTU -3.5 | 59.5 | 24486185 | Q3 | CIN Q4 Late cover flip |
41–44 |
2024 · Week 1 |
BOIS -12.5 | 57.5 | 144466101 | Q3 | GASO Q2 Late cover flip |
56–45 |
2023 · Week 12 |
LOU PK | 46 | 28415169 | Q3 | LOU Q4 Late cover flip |
38–31 |
2023 · Week 10 |
WASH -3 | 75.5 | 21638494 | Q3 | WASH Q4 Late cover flip |
52–42 |
2023 · Week 10 |
FAU PK | 59 | 7426387 | Q3 | UAB Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2023 · Week 7 |
SC -1.5 | 49.5 | 24455180 | Q3 | FLA Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
41–39 |
 DSU @  M-OH2023 · Week 4 |
M-OH -40.5 | 49.5 | 24477582 | Q3 | M-OH Q4 Late cover flip |
20–62 |
 DUQ @  WVU2023 · Week 2 |
WVU -38.5 | 55.5 | 14455973 | Q3 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip |
17–56 |
2023 · Week 1 |
UK -25 | 49 | 10305158 | Q3 | UK Q4 Late cover flip |
14–44 |
FIU
JXST
ISU
OHIO
USA
UTEP
MICH
UNT
SDSU
JMU
ORE
MD
MSU
UCLA
OSU
AUB
VAN
UL
TROY
TA&M
ARK
MISS
UGA
BYU
MRSH
USU
UAB
TENN
UNLV
KU
MIZ
SYR
IOWA
MIA
TEM
UTSA
UTAH
COLO
TLSA
IU
NU
CIN
TTU
BOIS
GASO
LOU
WASH
USC
FAU
FLA
SC
BALL
UKWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 1,568
Q2 16% 495
Q3 15% 471
Q4 18% 557
OT 1% 18
Push 1% 34
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 69% of 2,931 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 72% of 2,990 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 516 | 100% 516 |
| 1–3 | 192 | 95% 182 |
| 4–7 | 295 | 86% 255 |
| 8–10 | 261 | 70% 184 |
| 11–14 | 345 | 58% 200 |
| 15–17 | 270 | 41% 110 |
| 18–21 | 339 | 27% 92 |
| 22+ | 925 | 7% 67 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.