Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center · at SC State · Conference game
Closing line
NORF -5.5✓ NORF covered by 1.5
NORF -5.5✓ NORF covered by 1.5Closing total139.5Over by 31.5
| NORF | This season | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| 4-12 | Record | 2-15 |
| 6-10 | ATS | 7-10 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 8-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NORF 75–69 SCST · ✓ NORF (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NORF | 36 | 53 | 89 |
| SCST | 36 | 46 | 82 |
1st half: NORF 36, SCST 36 (tied). The model had NORF by 3.5 and a total of 67.3 (actual 72).
Team stats
| NORF | SCST | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-43 56% | Field goals | 27-61 44% |
| 4-11 36% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 37-47 79% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 28 15 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 30 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 32 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| NORF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony McComb III G | 34 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Devon Ellis F | 26 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Keyontae Lewis F | 24 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Leaks G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Adrean Newton G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Jamison G | 32 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| My'kel Jenkins G | 24 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Dian Wright-Forde G | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Melo Baines F | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaquel Morris F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ahmad Torrence, Yel Deeng, Ryan Williams, Mekhi Reid, Dramane Camara
| SCST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Johnson G | 33 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 5-14 | 1-6 |
| James Morrow G | 28 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 4-6 |
| Florian Tenebay G | 25 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Derwin Hodge Jr. F | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Clark F | 22 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Obie Bronston Jr. G | 22 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Noah Treadwell G | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Rayniel Wright G | 13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Chris Parker F | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Tim Okojie C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamal Miles G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: D'Shay Knights Wright, Colin McKenzie, Teon Tindal
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNORF -5.5
ModelNORF -5.7
Model edgeNORF +0.2
W NORF covered
Total
Market139.5
Model143.6
Model edgeOver 4.1
W Over
Projected score
NORF 74.7 · SCST 69
NORF 89 · SCST 82
Win probability
NORF 69%
1st half
Spread
NORF -3.5
tied
Total
67.3
72 points
Projected score
NORF 35.4 · SCST 31.9
NORF 36 · SCST 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNORF -6.5
1 → SCST
CloseNORF -5.5
1 pt toward SCST
Total
Open140.5
▼ 1
Close139.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NORF -278 · SCST +225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NORF -6.5 · closed NORF -5.5 · moved 1 toward SCSTmodel NORF -5.5 matches the line
model NORF -5.5 = line ✓
Opened 140.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NORF | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| SCST | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
NORF 8–1 SCSTNORF leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · NORF 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | SCST 65 vs NORF 66 | NORF -1.5 | SCST W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | NORF 88 @ SCST 91 | SCST -2.5 | SCST W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | SCST 65 @ NORF 67 | NORF -7.5 | SCST W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | SCST 67 @ NORF 71 | NORF -8.5 | SCST W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | NORF 79 @ SCST 72 | SCST +6.5 | NORF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Norfolk St
16 games played
Straight up
4-12
25% wins
Against the spread
6-10
38% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs W&M | L 78-81 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ ODU | L 57-60 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 14 | @ TOW | L 41-51 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 21 | vs HAMP | W 62-60 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 133.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 23 | @ WYO | L 67-75 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ARIZ | L 61-98 | +35.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ JMU | L 67-68 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 10 | @ BAY | L 67-97 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vs GRAM | L 68-80 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 135.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 19 | vs JKST | W 82-72 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 21 | @ UTEP | W 72-71 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs UCI | L 70-89 | +11.5 | L −7.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 28 | @ UL | L 54-63 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 126.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 3 | @ NCCU | L 67-69 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 10 | @ DSU | W 66-64 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 132.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 12 | vs UMES | L 70-74 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsW&M
W&ML 78-81
−0.5
11
@ODU
ODUL 57-60
+5.5
14
@TOW
TOWL 41-51
+3.5
21
vsHAMP
HAMPW 62-60
−0.5
23
@WYO
WYOL 67-75
+7.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-98
−1.5
6
@JMU
JMUL 67-68
+9.5
10
@BAY
BAYL 67-97
−3.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAML 68-80
−13.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 82-72
+4.5
21
@UTEP
UTEPW 72-71
+11.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 70-89
−7.5
28
@UL
ULL 54-63
−5.5
3
@NCCU
NCCUL 67-69
−3.5
10
@DSU
DSUW 66-64
−2.5
12
vsUMES
UMESL 70-74
−9.5
covered 6didn’t cover 10avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsW&M
W&ML 78-81
+0.5
11
@ODU
ODUL 57-60
−32.5
14
@TOW
TOWL 41-51
−46.5
21
vsHAMP
HAMPW 62-60
−11.5
23
@WYO
WYOL 67-75
+0.5
29
@ARIZ
ARIZL 61-98
+12.5
6
@JMU
JMUL 67-68
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYL 67-97
+15.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAML 68-80
+12.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 82-72
+13.5
21
@UTEP
UTEPW 72-71
+6.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 70-89
+22.5
28
@UL
ULL 54-63
−9.5
3
@NCCU
NCCUL 67-69
−5.5
10
@DSU
DSUW 66-64
−2.5
12
vsUMES
UMESL 70-74
+11.5
over 9under 7avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
SC State
17 games played
Straight up
2-15
12% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ LOU | L 45-104 | +35.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 7 | @ SAM | L 72-82 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 10 | @ NCAT | L 62-85 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ COFC | L 61-88 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs UTC | L 66-78 | +11.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | @ SDAK | L 81-82 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | @ MIZ | L 66-98 | +34.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 29 | @ WIN | L 79-101 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 5 | @ BCU | L 59-80 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 8 | @ CHSO | L 44-84 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 12 | @ QUC | L 78-102 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 16 | vs UPST | L 72-78 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | @ SC | L 70-95 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 30 | @ TENN | L 54-105 | +44.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | vs HOW | W 58-57 | +8.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | @ MORG | L 67-72 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | @ COPP | W 74-72 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@LOU
LOUL 45-104
−23.5
7
@SAM
SAML 72-82
+4.5
10
@NCAT
NCATL 62-85
−20.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 61-88
−8.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 66-78
−0.5
23
@SDAK
SDAKL 81-82
+14.5
25
@MIZ
MIZL 66-98
+2.5
29
@WIN
WINL 79-101
−1.5
5
@BCU
BCUL 59-80
−7.5
8
@CHSO
CHSOL 44-84
−27.5
12
@QUC
QUCL 78-102
−5.5
16
vsUPST
UPSTL 72-78
+4.5
22
@SC
SCL 70-95
+6.5
30
@TENN
TENNL 54-105
−6.5
3
vsHOW
HOWW 58-57
+9.5
10
@MORG
MORGL 67-72
−0.5
12
@COPP
COPPW 74-72
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@LOU
LOUL 45-104
−10.5
7
@SAM
SAML 72-82
−0.5
10
@NCAT
NCATL 62-85
−12.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 61-88
−7.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 66-78
−10.5
23
@SDAK
SDAKL 81-82
+2.5
25
@MIZ
MIZL 66-98
+3.5
29
@WIN
WINL 79-101
+22.5
5
@BCU
BCUL 59-80
−9.5
8
@CHSO
CHSOL 44-84
−28.5
12
@QUC
QUCL 78-102
+22.5
16
vsUPST
UPSTL 72-78
+2.5
22
@SC
SCL 70-95
+15.5
30
@TENN
TENNL 54-105
+11.5
3
vsHOW
HOWW 58-57
−29.5
10
@MORG
MORGL 67-72
−8.5
12
@COPP
COPPW 74-72
+5.5
over 8under 9avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Norfolk St
4-12 overall · 1-2 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs MD Eastern70–74
- W@ Delaware St66–64
- L@ NC Central67–69
- L@ Louisiana54–63
- Lvs UC Irvine70–89
5 days since their last game.
SC State
2-15 overall · 2-1 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Coppin St74–72
- L@ Morgan St67–72
- Wvs Howard58–57
- L@ Tennessee54–105
- L@ South Carolina70–95
5 days since their last game.